Isaiah Andrews, Maximilian Kasy
arXiv 28 Nov 2017 · Econometrics · publishedAmerican Economic Review (2019) · 380 citations (OpenAlex)
arXiv:1711.10527 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text
Some empirical results are more likely to be published than others. Such selective publication leads to biased estimates and distorted inference. This paper proposes two approaches for identifying the conditional probability of publication as a function of a study's results, the first based on systematic replication studies and the second based on meta-studies. For known conditional publication probabilities, we propose median-unbiased estimators and associated confidence sets that correct for selective publication. We apply our methods to recent large-scale replication studies in experimental economics and psychology, and to meta-studies of the effects of minimum wages and de-worming programs.
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The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.
| Reference | Intensity | Mentions | Sections | Main text | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brodeur, A., Lé, M., Sangnier, M., and Zylberberg, Y (2016) Star wars: The empirics strike back | 0.928 | 4 | 3 | 100% |
| 2 | Camerer, C. F., Dreber, A., Forsell, E., Ho, T.-H., Huber, J., Johan… (2016) Evaluating replicability of laboratory experiments in economics | 0.899 | 22 | 7 | 73% |
| 3 | Croke, K., Hicks, J. H., Hsu, E., Kremer, M., and Miguel, E (2016) Does mass deworming affect child nutrition? Meta-analysis, cost-effectiveness, and statistical power | 0.874 | 12 | 5 | 67% |
| 4 | McCrary, J., Christensen, G., and Fanelli, D (2016) Conservative tests under satisficing models of publication bias | 0.874 | 5 | 2 | 100% |
| 5 | Wolfson, P. J. and Belman, D (2015) 15 years of research on us employment and the minimum wage | 0.851 | 13 | 5 | 62% |
| 6 | Card, D. and Krueger, A. B (1995) Time-series minimum-wage studies: A meta-analysis | 0.843 | 3 | 3 | 100% |
| 7 | Open Science Collaboration (2015) Estimating the reproducibility of psychological science | 0.804 | 25 | 7 | 52% |
| 8 | Gilbert, D. T., King, G., Pettigrew, S., and Wilson, T. D (2016) Estimating the reproducibility of psychological science | 0.737 | 3 | 3 | 67% |
| 9 | Christensen, G. S. and Miguel, E (2016) Transparency, reproducibility, and the credibility of economics research | 0.737 | 3 | 2 | 100% |
| 10 | Hedges, L. V (1992) Modeling publication selection effects in meta-analysis | 0.644 | 3 | 2 | 67% |
Showing the top 10 of 51 scored citations.
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