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Debiased Machine Learning of Aggregated Intersection Bounds and Other Causal Parameters

Vira Semenova

arXiv 2 Mar 2023 · Econometrics

arXiv:2303.00982 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

This paper proposes a novel framework of aggregated intersection of regression functions, where the target parameter is obtained by averaging the minimum (or maximum) of a collection of regression functions over the covariate space. Such quantities include the lower and upper bounds on distributional effects (Frechet-Hoeffding, Makarov) and the optimal welfare in the statistical treatment choice problem. The proposed estimator -- the envelope score estimator -- is shown to have an oracle property, where the oracle knows the identity of the minimizer for each covariate value. I apply this result to the bounds in the Roy model and the Horowitz-Manski-Lee bounds with a discrete outcome. The proposed approach performs well empirically on the data from the Oregon Health Insurance Experiment.

Citation extraction

98
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173
in-text mentions
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distinct cited
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self-citations
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main-text words

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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Kitagawa, T. and Tetenov, A (2018) Who should be treated? empirical welfare maximization methods for treatment choice1.00053100%
2Mourifié, I., Henry, M., and Meango, R (2020) Sharp bounds and testability of a roy model of stem major choices0.9285380%
3Qian, M. and Murphy, S. A (2011) Performance guarantees for individualized treatment rules0.92844100%
4Semenova, V (2020) Generalized lee bounds self0.92843100%
5Finkelstein, A., Taubman, S., Wright, B., Bernstein, M., Gruber, J.,… (2012) The oregon health insurance experiment: Evidence from the first year0.92843100%
6Luedtke, A. and van der Laan, M (2016) Statistical inference for the mean outcome under a possibly non-unique optimal treatment strategy0.9209578%
7Fan, Y. and Park, S. S (2010) Sharp bounds on the distribution of treatment effects and their statistical inference0.87472100%
8Semenova, V (2023) Debiased machine learning for set-identified linear models self0.8434375%
9Chandrasekhar, A., Chernozhukov, V., Molinari, F., and Schrimpf, P (2012) Inference for best linear approximations to set identified functions0.81142100%
10Lee, D (2009) Training, wages, and sample selection: Estimating sharp bounds on treatment effects0.81142100%

Showing the top 10 of 98 scored citations.

Cited by, within the corpus

arXiv econ.EM papers that cite this one, ranked by how heavily they lean on it.

Citing paperIntensityMentionsSections
1Training and Testing with Multiple Splits: A Central Limit Theorem for Split-Sample Estimators0.40511
2Partial Identification under Stratified Randomization0.40511