← All authors Florian Ziel University of Duisburg-Essen (from arXiv:2604.19580, 2026) · ORCID · OpenAlex
54 papers in scope · 48 published · 16 on the econ.EM arXiv · 2,908 citations · h-index 22 (over the papers listed here)
Related authors The 20 authors closest to this one in our weighted citation graph, most related first.
Simon Hirsch Rafał Weron Bartosz Uniejewski Paul Ghelasi Michał Narajewski Fotios Petropoulos Feng Li Alisa Yusupova Souhaib Ben Taieb Gael M. Martin David T. Frazier Kevin Berk João L. Assunção Pedro Afonso Fernandes Li Li Yanfei Kang Jonathan Berrisch Xuewen Yu Rick Steinert Sven Husmann Proximity is measured over citations between two papers we both hold, weighted by how heavily one leans on the other, and is symmetric — it does not distinguish citing from being cited. Authors without a profile here are skipped, and a genuinely close colleague can be missing simply because their work is not in our arXiv corpus. Method: docs/06-citations-pipeline.md .
Papers (21 of 54)
Probabilistic load forecasting in Europe: Capturing meteorological, socio-economic and political risks
published 2026 · Energy Economics
with Monika Zimmermann
working paper 2026 · arXiv
The role of probabilistic load and renewable prediction in enhancing day-ahead electricity price forecasts
published 2026 · Renewable Energy
working paper 2026 · arXiv
Recurrent neural networks with linear structures for electricity price forecasting
published 2026 · Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews · 2 citations · first circulated 2025
with Souhir Ben Amor
published 2025 · Energy Economics · 3 citations
published 2025 · Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews · 20 citations · first circulated 2024
Efficient mid-term forecasting of hourly electricity load using generalized additive models” [Appl. Energy 388 (2025) 125444
published 2025 · Applied Energy · 17 citations · first circulated 2024
with Monika Zimmermann
working paper 2024 · arXiv
published 2024 · International Journal of Forecasting · 17 citations · first circulated 2023
published 2024 · Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry · 10 citations · first circulated 2023
Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting
published 2023 · Energy Economics · 87 citations · first circulated 2022
published 2023 · The Energy Journal · 12 citations · first circulated 2022
published 2023 · Energy and AI · 14 citations · first circulated 2022
published 2022 · International Journal of Forecasting · 4 citations
published 2022 · Finance research letters · 28 citations
The Role of Weather Predictions in Electricity Price Forecasting Beyond the Day-Ahead Horizon
published 2022 · IEEE Transactions on Power Systems · 42 citations
Optimal bidding in hourly and quarter-hourly electricity price auctions: Trading large volumes of power with market impact and transaction costs
published 2022 · Energy Economics · 28 citations · first circulated 2021
published 2022 · International Journal of Forecasting · 843 citations
Distributional modeling and forecasting of natural gas prices
published 2022 · Journal of Forecasting · 22 citations · first circulated 2020
Smoothed Bernstein Online Aggregation for Short-Term Load Forecasting in IEEE DataPort Competition on Day-Ahead Electricity Demand Forecasting: Post-COVID Paradigm
published 2022 · IEEE Open Access Journal of Power and Energy · 20 citations · first circulated 2021
CRPS learning
published 2021 · Journal of Econometrics · 22 citations
Event-Based Evaluation of Electricity Price Ensemble Forecasts
published 2021 · Forecasting · 3 citations
with Arne Vögler
Integrated day-ahead and intraday self-schedule bidding for energy storage systems using approximate dynamic programming
published 2021 · European Journal of Operational Research · 41 citations
with Benedikt Finnah, Jochen Gönsch
M5 competition uncertainty: Overdispersion, distributional forecasting, GAMLSS, and beyond
published 2021 · International Journal of Forecasting · 12 citations
tsrobprep — an R package for robust preprocessing of time series data
published 2021 · SoftwareX · 16 citations · first circulated 2020
A new approach to extended‐range multimodel forecasting: Sequential learning algorithms
published 2021 · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · 12 citations
with Paula González, David Brayshaw
Uncertainties in Energy and Electricity Markets: An Introduction
published 2021 · Economics of Energy and Environmental Policy · 1 citations
with Christian Furtwängler, Christoph S. Weber
no link
published 2020 · International Journal of Forecasting · 56 citations
published 2020 · Applied Energy · 62 citations
Load Nowcasting: Predicting Actuals with Limited Data
published 2020 · Energies · 11 citations
Anticipating special events in Emergency Department forecasting
published 2020 · International Journal of Forecasting · 22 citations
with Bahman Rostami-Tabar
published 2020 · International Journal of Forecasting · 45 citations · first circulated 2018
with Peru Muniain
Electricity Price Forecasting
published 2019 · Wiley StatsRef: Statistics Reference Online · 11 citations · first circulated 2018
working paper 2019 · arXiv · 14 citations
published 2019 · Journal of commodity markets · 111 citations · first circulated 2018
Short term load forecasting and the effect of temperature at the low voltage level
published 2018 · International Journal of Forecasting · 96 citations
with Stephen Haben, Georgios Giasemidis, Siddharth Arora
published 2018 · Energy Economics · 76 citations
Quantile regression for the qualifying match of GEFCom2017 probabilistic load forecasting
published 2018 · International Journal of Forecasting · 28 citations
Probabilistic mid-and long-term electricity price forecasting
published 2018 · Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews · 159 citations · first circulated 2017
Modeling public holidays in load forecasting: a German case study
published 2018 · Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy · 65 citations
Day-ahead electricity price forecasting with high-dimensional structures: Univariate vs. multivariate modeling frameworks
published 2018 · Energy Economics · 239 citations · first circulated 2016
Evaluating the effectiveness of storage control in reducing peak demand on low-voltage feeders
published 2017 · CIRED - Open Access Proceedings Journal · 11 citations
with Timur Yunusov, Stephen Haben, T. E. Lee, William Holderbaum, Ben Potter
Variance Stabilizing Transformations for Electricity Spot Price Forecasting
published 2017 · IEEE Transactions on Power Systems · 6 citations
Electricity price forecasting using sale and purchase curves: The X-Model
published 2016 · Energy Economics · 112 citations · first circulated 2015
Forecasting wind power – Modeling periodic and non-linear effects under conditional heteroscedasticity
published 2016 · Applied Energy · 78 citations
with Carsten Croonenbroeck, Daniel Ambach
Lasso estimation for GEFCom2014 probabilistic electric load forecasting
published 2016 · International Journal of Forecasting · 88 citations
with Bidong Liu
Forecasting Electricity Spot Prices Using Lasso: On Capturing the Autoregressive Intraday Structure
published 2016 · IEEE Transactions on Power Systems · 133 citations · first circulated 2015
Iteratively reweighted adaptive lasso for conditional heteroscedastic time series with applications to AR–ARCH type processes
published 2015 · Computational Statistics & Data Analysis · 22 citations
published 2015 · Energy Economics · 56 citations
Quasi-maximum Likelihood Estimation of Periodic Autoregressive, Conditionally Heteroscedastic Time Series
published 2015 · Springer proceedings in mathematics & statistics · 4 citations
Efficient modeling and forecasting of electricity spot prices
published 2014 · Energy Economics · 119 citations
working paper 2014 · arXiv · 1 citations
working paper
with Jens Kley-Holsteg
Assembled from arXiv and OpenAlex. Duplicate records for the same paper are merged, and the published version is shown where we could identify one. Corrections welcome.
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