← All authors Fotios Petropoulos University of Bath (from arXiv:2012.03854, 2020) · ORCID · OpenAlex
71 papers in scope · 71 published · 1 on the econ.EM arXiv · 4,761 citations · h-index 31 (over the papers listed here)
Related authors The 20 authors closest to this one in our weighted citation graph, most related first.
Florian Ziel Rafał Weron Feng Li Paul Ghelasi Alisa Yusupova Bartosz Uniejewski Souhaib Ben Taieb Li Li Yanfei Kang João L. Assunção Pedro Afonso Fernandes Gael M. Martin David T. Frazier Xuewen Yu Simon Hirsch Kevin Berk Efthymios Pavlidis Cheng Zhang Nicos G. Pavlidis Jonathan Berrisch Proximity is measured over citations between two papers we both hold, weighted by how heavily one leans on the other, and is symmetric — it does not distinguish citing from being cited. Authors without a profile here are skipped, and a genuinely close colleague can be missing simply because their work is not in our arXiv corpus. Method: docs/06-citations-pipeline.md .
Papers (2 of 71)
Scalable forecast reconciliation through (un)guided Sub-hierarchies
published 2025 · Journal of the Operational Research Society · 1 citations
with Ross Hollyman, Evangelos Spiliotis
Operations & supply chain management: principles and practice
published 2025 · International Journal of Production Research · 24 citations
with Henk Akkermans, O. Zeynep Akşin, Imran Ali, M. Zied Babai, Ana Paula Barbosa-Póvoa, Olga Battaïa, Maria Besiou, Nils Boysen, Stephen Brammer, Alistair Brandon-Jones, Dirk Briskorn, Tyson R. Browning, …
Introduction to the M6 forecasting competition Special Issue
published 2025 · International Journal of Forecasting
with Spyros Makridakis, Evangelos Spiliotis, Norman R. Swanson
Judgmental selection of parameters for simple forecasting models
published 2025 · European Journal of Operational Research · 5 citations
with Evangelos Spiliotis
The M6 forecasting competition: Bridging the gap between forecasting and investment decisions
published 2024 · International Journal of Forecasting · 22 citations · first circulated 2023
with Spyros Makridakis, Evangelos Spiliotis, Ross Hollyman, Norman R. Swanson, Anil Gaba
Wielding Occam’s razor: Fast and frugal retail forecasting
published 2024 · Journal of the Operational Research Society · 11 citations · first circulated 2021
with Yael Grushka-Cockayne, Enno Siemsen, Evangelos Spiliotis
Combining probabilistic forecasts of intermittent demand
published 2024 · European Journal of Operational Research · 25 citations · first circulated 2023
with Shengjie Wang, Yanfei Kang
Business forecasting methods: Impressive advances, lagging implementation
published 2023 · PLoS ONE · 8 citations
with Paul Goodwin, Jim Hoover, Spyros Makridakis, Len Tashman
Probabilistic forecast-based portfolio optimization of electricity demand at low aggregation levels
published 2023 · Applied Energy · 13 citations
with Jungyeon Park, Estêvão Alvarenga, Jooyoung Jeon, Ran Li, H. S. Kim, Kwangwon Ahn
On the update frequency of univariate forecasting models
published 2023 · European Journal of Operational Research · 8 citations
with Evangelos Spiliotis
Large Language Models: Their Success and Impact
published 2023 · Forecasting · 81 citations
with Spyros Makridakis, Yanfei Kang
On the Disagreement of Forecasting Model Selection Criteria
published 2023 · Forecasting · 3 citations
with Evangelos Spiliotis, Vassilios Assimakopoulos
published 2022 · International Journal of Production Research · 22 citations
Model combinations through revised base rates
published 2022 · International Journal of Forecasting · 5 citations · first circulated 2021
Forecast Selection and Representativeness
published 2022 · Management Science · 26 citations
with Enno Siemsen
Introduction to the M5 forecasting competition Special Issue
published 2022 · International Journal of Forecasting · 7 citations
with Spyros Makridakis, Evangelos Spiliotis
The M5 competition: Conclusions
published 2022 · International Journal of Forecasting · 11 citations
with Spyros Makridakis, Evangelos Spiliotis
published 2022 · International Journal of Forecasting · 843 citations
Improving forecasting by subsampling seasonal time series
published 2022 · International Journal of Production Research · 15 citations · first circulated 2021
with Xixi Li, Yanfei Kang
The Future of Forecasting Competitions: Design Attributes and Principles
published 2021 · INFORMS Journal on Data Science · 4 citations
with Spyros Makridakis, Chris Fry, Evangelos Spiliotis
Forecast with forecasts: Diversity matters
published 2021 · European Journal of Operational Research · 1 citations
with Yanfei Kang, Wei Cao, Feng Li
Hierarchical forecast reconciliation with machine learning
published 2021 · Applied Soft Computing · 10 citations
with Evangelos Spiliotis, Mahdi Abolghasemi, Rob J. Hyndman, Vassilios Assimakopoulos
The Wisdom of the Data: Getting the Most Out of Univariate Time Series Forecasting
published 2021 · Forecasting · 29 citations
with Evangelos Spiliotis
On the selection of forecasting accuracy measures
published 2021 · Journal of the Operational Research Society · 136 citations
with Diamantis Koutsandreas, Evangelos Spiliotis, Vassilios Assimakopoulos
The uncertainty estimation of feature-based forecast combinations
published 2021 · Journal of the Operational Research Society · 1 citations
with Xiaoqian Wang, Yanfei Kang, Feng Li
Understanding forecast reconciliation
published 2021 · European Journal of Operational Research · 72 citations
with Ross Hollyman, Michael E. Tipping
COVID-19: Forecasting confirmed cases and deaths with a simple time series model
published 2020 · International Journal of Forecasting · 101 citations
with Spyros Makridakis, Neophytos Stylianou
Déjà vu: A data-centric forecasting approach through time series cross-similarity
published 2020 · Journal of Business Research · 21 citations
The Impact of Imperfect Weather Forecasts on Wind Power Forecasting Performance: Evidence from Two Wind Farms in Greece
published 2020 · Energies · 12 citations
with Evangelos Spiliotis, Κωνσταντίνος Νικολόπουλος
Forecasting the novel coronavirus COVID-19
published 2020 · PLoS ONE · 605 citations
with Spyros Makridakis
A disaster response model driven by spatial–temporal forecasts
published 2020 · International Journal of Forecasting · 6 citations
with Κωνσταντίνος Νικολόπουλος, Vasco Sanchez Rodrigues, Stephen Pettit, Anthony Kenneth Charles Beresford
Cross-temporal aggregation: Improving the forecast accuracy of hierarchical electricity consumption
published 2019 · Applied Energy · 6 citations
with Evangelos Spiliotis, Nikolaos Kourentzes, Vassilios Assimakopoulos
Improving the forecasting performance of temporal hierarchies
published 2019 · PLoS ONE · 38 citations
with Evangelos Spiliotis, Vassilios Assimakopoulos
Forecasting in social settings: The state of the art
published 2019 · International Journal of Forecasting · 144 citations
with Spyros Makridakis, Rob J. Hyndman
The M4 competition: Conclusions
published 2019 · International Journal of Forecasting · 31 citations
with Spyros Makridakis
The M4 competition: Bigger. Stronger. Better
published 2019 · International Journal of Forecasting · 16 citations
with Spyros Makridakis
Reconciliation of probabilistic forecasts with applications to wind power and electric load
published 2019 · European Journal of Operational Research · 87 citations
A simple combination of univariate models
published 2019 · International Journal of Forecasting · 79 citations
with Ivan Svetunkov
Judgmental model selection
published 2019 · Foresight · 2 citations
no link
Brain imaging and forecasting: Insights from judgmental model selection
published 2018 · Omega · 41 citations
with Weiwei Han, Xun Wang, Jing Wang
Another look at forecast selection and combination: Evidence from forecast pooling
published 2018 · International Journal of Production Economics · 110 citations
with Nikolaos Kourentzes, Devon K. Barrow
Judgmental selection of forecasting models
published 2018 · Journal of Operations Management · 164 citations
with Nikolaos Kourentzes, Κωνσταντίνος Νικολόπουλος, Enno Siemsen
The inventory performance of forecasting methods: Evidence from the M3 competition data
published 2018 · International Journal of Forecasting · 63 citations
with Xun Wang, Stephen Michael Disney
Exploring the sources of uncertainty: Why does bagging for time series forecasting work?
published 2018 · European Journal of Operational Research · 158 citations
On reconciling macro and micro energy transport forecasts for strategic decision making in the tanker industry
published 2017 · Transportation Research Part E Logistics and Transportation Review · 21 citations
with Wessam Abouarghoub, Nikos K. Nomikos
Old dog, new tricks: a modelling view of simple moving averages
published 2017 · International Journal of Production Research · 73 citations
with Ivan Svetunkov
Forecasting for big data: Does suboptimality matter?
published 2017 · Computers & Operations Research · 47 citations
with Κωνσταντίνος Νικολόπουλος
A note on upper bounds for forecast-value-added relative to naïve forecasts
published 2017 · Journal of the Operational Research Society · 8 citations
with Paul Goodwin, Rob J. Hyndman
Forecasting with temporal hierarchies
published 2017 · European Journal of Operational Research · 267 citations
with George Athanasopoulos, Rob J. Hyndman, Nikolaos Kourentzes
The Theta Method
published 2017 · Foresight
with Κωνσταντίνος Νικολόπουλος
no link
Forecasting methods tutorial: The Theta Method
published 2017 · Foresight
with Κωνσταντίνος Νικολόπουλος
no link
Models for optimising the theta method and their relationship to state space models
published 2016 · International Journal of Forecasting · 70 citations
with José Augusto Fiorucci, Tiago Ribeiro Pellegrini, Francisco Louzada, Anne B. Koehler
Another look at estimators for intermittent demand
published 2016 · International Journal of Production Economics · 51 citations
with Nikolaos Kourentzes, Κωνσταντίνος Νικολόπουλος
Using a rolling training approach to improve judgmental extrapolations elicited from forecasters with technical knowledge
published 2016 · International Journal of Forecasting · 24 citations
with Paul Goodwin, Robert Fildes
To select or to combine? The inventory performance of model and expert forecasts
published 2016 · International Journal of Production Research · 47 citations
with Xun Wang
Forecasting with multivariate temporal aggregation: The case of promotional modelling
published 2015 · International Journal of Production Economics · 101 citations
with Nikolaos Kourentzes
Do ‘big losses’ in judgmental adjustments to statistical forecasts affect experts’ behaviour?
published 2015 · European Journal of Operational Research · 70 citations
with Robert Fildes, Paul Goodwin
Is there a Golden Rule?
published 2015 · Journal of Business Research · 7 citations
with Robert Fildes
Relative performance of methods for forecasting special events
published 2015 · Journal of Business Research · 39 citations
with Κωνσταντίνος Νικολόπουλος, Akrivi Litsa, Vasileios Bougioukos, Marwan Khammash
Simple versus complex selection rules for forecasting many time series
published 2015 · Journal of Business Research · 91 citations
with Robert Fildes
Amplifying the learning effects via a Forecasting and Foresight Support System
published 2014 · International Journal of Forecasting · 11 citations
with Georgios Spithourakis, Κωνσταντίνος Νικολόπουλος, Vassilios Assimakopoulos
Forecast combinations for intermittent demand
published 2014 · Journal of the Operational Research Society · 124 citations
with Nikolaos Kourentzes
‘Horses for Courses’ in demand forecasting
published 2014 · European Journal of Operational Research · 208 citations
with Spyros Makridakis, Vassilios Assimakopoulos, Κωνσταντίνος Νικολόπουλος
Improving forecasting by estimating time series structural components across multiple frequencies
published 2014 · International Journal of Forecasting · 182 citations
with Nikolaos Kourentzes, Juan R. Trapero
Empirical heuristics for improving intermittent demand forecasting
published 2013 · Industrial Management & Data Systems · 39 citations
with Κωνσταντίνος Νικολόπουλος, Georgios Spithourakis, Vassilios Assimakopoulos
A systemic view of the ADIDA framework
published 2012 · IMA Journal of Management Mathematics · 30 citations
with Georgios Spithourakis, Κωνσταντίνος Νικολόπουλος, Vassilios Assimakopoulos
A web forecasting system supporting policy implementation: the case of 'digital planning' in Greece
published 2012 · International Journal of Business Information Systems · 1 citations
with Κωνσταντίνος Νικολόπουλος, Akrivi Litsa, Konstantinos Metaxiotis, Vassilios Assimakopoulos
Improving the Performance of Popular Supply Chain Forecasting Techniques
published 2011 · Supply Chain Forum an International Journal · 25 citations
with Georgios Spithourakis, M. Zied Babaï, Κωνσταντίνος Νικολόπουλος, Vassilios Assimakopoulos
Forecasting Sales in a Sugar Factory
published 2011 · Journal of Knowledge Management, Economics and Information Technology
with Sofia-ira Ktena, Dimitrios Michos
no link
An aggregate–disaggregate intermittent demand approach (ADIDA) to forecasting: an empirical proposition and analysis
published 2010 · Journal of the Operational Research Society · 149 citations
with Κωνσταντίνος Νικολόπουλος, Aris Syntetos, John E. Boylan, Vassilios Assimakopoulos
An expert system for forecasting mutual funds in Greece
published 2008 · International Journal of Electronic Finance · 9 citations
with Κωνσταντίνος Νικολόπουλος, Vassilios Assimakopoulos
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