EconBase
← All papers

Forecasting day ahead electricity spot prices: The impact of the EXAA to other European electricity markets

Florian Ziel, Rick Steinert, Sven Husmann

arXiv 5 Jan 2015 · Finance — Trading · publishedEnergy Economics (2015) · 56 citations (OpenAlex)

arXiv:1501.00818 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

In our paper we analyze the relationship between the day-ahead electricity price of the Energy Exchange Austria (EXAA) and other day-ahead electricity prices in Europe. We focus on markets, which settle their prices after the EXAA, which enables traders to include the EXAA price into their calculations. For each market we employ econometric models to incorporate the EXAA price and compare them with their counterparts without the price of the Austrian exchange. By employing a forecasting study, we find that electricity price models can be improved when EXAA prices are considered.

Citation extraction

27
references
31
in-text mentions
27
distinct cited
1
self-citations
9,373
main-text words

appendix boundary found by appendix_titled_section at “Appendix” · 89% of the source is main text. Read the extracted text to check this.

Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Bunn, D. W. and Gianfreda, A (2010) Integration and shock transmissions across european electricity forward markets0.64422100%
2Ferkingstad, E., Lland, A., and Wilhelmsen, M (2011) Causal modeling and inference for electricity markets0.64422100%
3Viehmann, J (2011) Risk premiums in the german day-ahead electricity market0.64422100%
4Hamilton, J. D (1994) Time series analysis, volume 20.51121100%
5Bollino, C. A., Ciferri, D., and Polinori, P (2013) Integration and convergence in european electricity markets0.40511100%
6Bordignon, S., Bunn, D. W., Lisi, F., and Nan, F (2013) Combining day-ahead forecasts for British electricity prices0.40511100%
7Bosco, B., Parisio, L., Pelagatti, M., and Baldi, F (2010) Long-run relations in european electricity prices0.40511100%
8Diebold, F. X (2012) Comparing predictive accuracy, twenty years later: A personal perspective on the use and abuse of diebold-mariano tests0.40511100%
9Erni, D (2012) Day-Ahead Electricity Spot Prices-Fundamental Modelling and the Role of Expected Wind Electricity Infeed at the European Energy…0.40511100%
10Hickey, E., Loomis, D. G., and Mohammadi, H (2012) Forecasting hourly electricity prices using armax–garch models: An application to miso hubs0.40511100%

Showing the top 10 of 27 scored citations.

Cited by, within the corpus

arXiv econ.EM papers that cite this one, ranked by how heavily they lean on it.

Citing paperIntensityMentionsSections
1The value of forecasts: Quantifying the economic gains of accurate quarter-hourly electricity price forecasts0.64422
2Econometric modelling and forecasting of intraday electricity prices0.64422