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Estimating the perturbed utility route choice model with trip-level data

Mogens Fosgerau, Nikolaj Nielsen, Thomas Rasmussen, Rui Yao

arXiv 11 Aug 2026 · Statistics — Methodology

arXiv:2608.11464 · PDF · Extracted main text

Abstract

We provide an estimator for the perturbed utility route choice (PURC) model that works with data at the level of individual trips. The estimator is a nested fixed-point algorithm that combines an upper bias-corrected linear regression problem with a lower individual-level perturbed utility maximization problem. We establish the statistical properties of the microPURC estimator and confirm these results with an experiment using simulated data. Finally, we demonstrate the estimator in practice using a large real-world dataset.

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38
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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Fosgerau, Mogens and Paulsen, Mads and Rasmussen, Thomas Kjær (2022) A perturbed utility route choice model self1.000113100%
2Fosgerau, Mogens and Nielsen, Nikolaj and Paulsen, Mads and Rasmusse… (2025) Sensitivity Analysis of the Perturbed Utility Stochastic Traffic Equilibrium self0.8434375%
3Fosgerau, Mogens and Łukawska, M. and Paulsen, M. and Rasmussen, T.K (2023) Bikeability and the induced demand for cycling self0.58531100%
4Schwan, Roland and Jiang, Yuning and Kuhn, Daniel and Jones, Colin N (2023) PIQP: A proximal interior-point quadratic programming solver0.5112250%
5Dial, R B (1971) A probabilistic multipath traffic assignment algorithm which obviates path enumeration0.40511100%
6eurostat (2024) Average number of actual weekly hours of work in the main job by occupation (ISCO-08)0.40511100%
7Knittel, Christopher R. and Metaxoglou, Konstantinos (2014) Estimation of Random-Coefficient Demand Models: Two Empiricists' Perspective0.40511100%
8Mai, Tien and Fosgerau, Mogens and Frejinger, Emma (2015) A nested recursive logit model for route choice analysis self0.40511100%
9Mai, Tien and Frejinger, Emma and Bastin, Fabien (2015) A Dynamic Programming Approach for Quickly Estimating Large Scale MEV Models0.40511100%
10Tien Mai (2016) A method of integrating correlation structures for a generalized recursive route choice model0.40511100%

Showing the top 10 of 38 scored citations.