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Universal Factor Models

Songnian Chen, Junlong Feng

arXiv 27 Jan 2025 · Econometrics

arXiv:2501.15761 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

We propose a new factor analysis framework and estimators of the factors and loadings that are robust to weak factors in a large $N$ and large $T$ setting. Our framework, by simultaneously considering all quantile levels of the outcome variable, induces standard mean and quantile factor models, but the factors can have an arbitrarily weak influence on the outcome's mean or quantile at most quantile levels. Our method estimates the factor space at the $\sqrt{N}$-rate without requiring the knowledge of weak factors' presence or strength, and achieves $\sqrt{N}$- and $\sqrt{T}$-asymptotic normality for the factors and loadings based on a novel sample splitting approach that handles incidental nuisance parameters. We also develop a weak-factor-robust estimator of the number of factors and consistent selectors of factors of any tolerated level of influence on the outcome's mean or quantiles. Monte Carlo simulations demonstrate the effectiveness of our method.

Citation extraction

34
references
126
in-text mentions
34
distinct cited
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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Bai, J (2003) Inferential theory for factor models of large dimensions1.000136100%
2Bai, J. and S. Ng (2023) Approximate factor models with weaker loadings1.000135100%
3Chen, L., J. J. Dolado, and J. Gonzalo (2021) Quantile factor models0.96136889%
4Bai, J. and S. Ng (2002) Determining the number of factors in approximate factor models0.92843100%
5Fernandes, M., E. Guerre, and E. Horta (2021) Smoothing quantile regressions0.8947571%
6He, X., X. Pan, K. M. Tan, and W.-X. Zhou (2023) Smoothed quantile regression with large-scale inference0.81142100%
7Fan, J., Y. Yan, and Y. Zheng (2024) When can weak latent factors be statistically inferred?0.73732100%
8Onatski, A (2012) Asymptotics of the principal components estimator of large factor models with weakly influential factors0.73732100%
9Galvao, A. F. and K. Kato (2016) Smoothed quantile regression for panel data0.6443267%
10Bai, J. and S. Ng (2019) Rank regularized estimation of approximate factor models0.64422100%

Showing the top 10 of 34 scored citations.