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Discordant Relaxations of Misspecified Models

Lixiong Li, Désiré Kédagni, Ismaël Mourifié

arXiv 21 Dec 2020 · Econometrics · publishedQuantitative Economics (2024) · 8 citations (OpenAlex)

arXiv:2012.11679 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

In many set-identified models, it is difficult to obtain a tractable characterization of the identified set. Therefore, researchers often rely on non-sharp identification conditions, and empirical results are often based on an outer set of the identified set. This practice is often viewed as conservative yet valid because an outer set is always a superset of the identified set. However, this paper shows that when the model is refuted by the data, two sets of non-sharp identification conditions derived from the same model could lead to disjoint outer sets and conflicting empirical results. We provide a sufficient condition for the existence of such discordancy, which covers models characterized by conditional moment inequalities and the Artstein (1983) inequalities. We also derive sufficient conditions for the non-existence of discordant submodels, therefore providing a class of models for which constructing outer sets cannot lead to misleading interpretations. In the case of discordancy, we follow Masten and Poirier (2021) by developing a method to salvage misspecified models, but unlike them, we focus on discrete relaxations. We consider all minimum relaxations of a refuted model that restores data-consistency. We find that the union of the identified sets of these minimum relaxations is robust to detectable misspecifications and has an intuitive empirical interpretation.

Citation extraction

38
references
106
in-text mentions
38
distinct cited
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main-text words

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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Masten, Matthew A and Alexandre Poirier (2021) Salvaging falsified instrumental variable models1.000113100%
2Artstein, Zvi (1983) Distributions of random sets and random selections1.000105100%
3Ciliberto, Federico and Elie Tamer (2009) Market structure and multiple equilibria in airline markets1.00095100%
4Manski, Charles F (1990) Nonparametric bounds on treatment effects1.00084100%
5Molinari, Francesca (2020) Microeconometrics with partial identification1.00063100%
6Sheng, Shuyang (2020) A structural econometric analysis of network formation games through subnetworks0.92843100%
7Andrews, Donald WK and Xiaoxia Shi (2013) Inference based on conditional moment inequalities0.87462100%
8Chesher, Andrew and Adam M Rosen (2020) Econometric modeling of interdependent discrete choice with applications to market structure0.84333100%
9Manski, Charles F and John V Pepper (2000) Monotone Instrumental Variables: With an Application to the Returns to Schooling0.84333100%
10Berry, Steven T and Giovanni Compiani (2023) An instrumental variable approach to dynamic models0.73732100%

Showing the top 10 of 38 scored citations.

Cited by, within the corpus

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Citing paperIntensityMentionsSections
1Robust Identification in Randomized Experiments with Noncompliance1.00083
2Pairwise Valid Instruments0.928155
3Information Based Inference in Models with Set-Valued Predictions and Misspecification0.81142
4A Sharp Test for the Judge Leniency Design0.64422
5Estimating Discrete Games of Complete Information: Bringing Logit Back in the Game0.40511
6Debiased Machine Learning of Aggregated Intersection Bounds and Other Causal Parameters0.40511
7Causal Effects in Matching Mechanisms with Strategically Reported Preferences0.40511
8The Markup Falsification Adaptive Set0.40511