← All authors Charles F. Manski Northwestern University (per OpenAlex) · ORCID · OpenAlex
179 papers in scope · 168 published · 20 on the econ.EM arXiv · 30,209 citations · h-index 64 (over the papers listed here)
Related authors The 20 authors closest to this one in our weighted citation graph, most related first.
Gabriel Ziegler Peter J. Embí Coady Wing Nir Menachemi Daniel W. Sacks Chen Qiu Philipp Eisenhauer Lena Janys Janos Gabler Andres Fernandez Seung-Jin Han Jörg Stoye Silvia Sarpietro Moyu Liao José Luis Montiel Olea Samuel Higbee Xiaoyu Cheng Cheaheon Lim Maximilian Blesch Li T Proximity is measured over citations between two papers we both hold, weighted by how heavily one leans on the other, and is symmetric — it does not distinguish citing from being cited. Authors without a profile here are skipped, and a genuinely close colleague can be missing simply because their work is not in our arXiv corpus. Method: docs/06-citations-pipeline.md .
Papers (25 of 179)
published 2026 · Theory and Decision
working paper 2025 · arXiv
working paper 2025 · arXiv
working paper 2025 · arXiv
working paper 2025 · arXiv
published 2025 · Social Choice and Welfare · first circulated 2024
published 2025 · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 3 citations · first circulated 2024
Assessing the Estimands and Estimates of Hospitalization Rates in Health Economics and Clinical Medicine
published 2025 · Health Economics
working paper 2025 · arXiv
working paper 2025 · arXiv
working paper 2024 · arXiv · first circulated 2023
published 2024 · Epidemiology · 3 citations · first circulated 2023
published 2024 · Journal of Labor Economics · first circulated 2022
published 2024 · Econometric Theory · 2 citations · first circulated 2022
Toward Patient-Centered Drug Approval for Treatment of Rare Diseases
published 2024 · Value in Health · 2 citations
working paper 2024 · arXiv · 2 citations
Increasing prevalence of cirrhosis among insured adults in the United States, 2012–2018
published 2024 · PLoS ONE · 24 citations
published 2023 · Japanese Economic Review · 7 citations
Preface to the Special Issue on “Statistical Decision Theory and Treatment Choice”
published 2023 · Japanese Economic Review
published 2023 · Epidemiology · 7 citations · first circulated 2022
published 2022 · Journal of Econometrics · 2 citations · first circulated 2021
published 2022 · Ecological Economics · 9 citations
published 2022 · Health Economics · 1 citations · first circulated 2021
Precise or Imprecise Probabilities? Evidence from Survey Response Related to Late-Onset Dementia
published 2021 · Journal of the European Economic Association · 30 citations · first circulated 2019
Statistical Decision Properties of Imprecise Trials Assessing Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Drugs
published 2021 · Value in Health · 11 citations
Evaluating the maximum regret of statistical treatment rules with sample data on treatment response
published 2021 · The Stata Journal Promoting communications on statistics and Stata · 1 citations
working paper 2021 · arXiv
Minimax-regret sample design in anticipation of missing data, with application to panel data
published 2021 · Journal of Econometrics · 3 citations
published 2021 · Econometrica · 17 citations · first circulated 2019
Bounding the Accuracy of Diagnostic Tests, With Application to COVID-19 Antibody Tests
published 2020 · Epidemiology · 16 citations
Tail and center rounding of probabilistic expectations in the Health and Retirement Study
published 2020 · Journal of Econometrics · 48 citations · first circulated 2018
working paper 2020 · arXiv · 2 citations
published 2020 · Journal of Econometrics · 172 citations
Toward Credible Patient-centered Meta-analysis
published 2020 · Epidemiology · 20 citations
Judicial and Clinical Decision-Making under Uncertainty
published 2020 · Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics JITE · 4 citations
TOWARDS REASONABLE PATIENT CARE UNDER UNCERTAINTY
published 2019 · Contemporary Economic Policy · 1 citations
working paper 2019 · arXiv
Treatment Choice With Trial Data: Statistical Decision Theory Should Supplant Hypothesis Testing
published 2019 · The American Statistician · 46 citations
Trial Size for Near-Optimal Choice Between Surveillance and Aggressive Treatment: Reconsidering MSLT-II
published 2019 · The American Statistician · 22 citations
Reasonable patient care under uncertainty
published 2018 · Health Economics · 35 citations
Response to commentaries on “Reasonable patient care under uncertainty”
published 2018 · Health Economics · 1 citations
Survey Measurement of Probabilistic Macroeconomic Expectations: Progress and Promise
published 2018 · NBER Macroeconomics Annual · 224 citations · first circulated 2017
Credible ecological inference for medical decisions with personalized risk assessment
published 2018 · Quantitative Economics · 33 citations
Evaluating the Maximum MSE of Mean Estimators with Missing Data
published 2017 · The Stata Journal Promoting communications on statistics and Stata · 3 citations
More on random utility models with bounded ambiguity
published 2017 · Theory and Decision · 2 citations
How Do Right-to-Carry Laws Affect Crime Rates? Coping with Ambiguity Using Bounded-Variation Assumptions
published 2017 · The Review of Economics and Statistics · 160 citations · first circulated 2015
with John V. Pepper
Optimize, satisfice, or choose without deliberation? A simple minimax-regret assessment
published 2017 · Theory and Decision · 38 citations
Mandating vaccination with unknown indirect effects
published 2017 · Journal of Public Economic Theory · 30 citations
More Data or Better Data? A Statistical Decision Problem
published 2017 · The Review of Economic Studies · 34 citations
Sufficient trial size to inform clinical practice
published 2016 · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · 56 citations
Interpreting Point Predictions: Some Logical Issues
published 2016 · Foundations and Trends® in Accounting · 15 citations
SURVEY MEASURES OF FAMILY DECISION PROCESSES FOR ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF SCHOOLING DECISIONS
published 2016 · Economic Inquiry · 30 citations
with Pamela Giustinelli
Credible interval estimates for official statistics with survey nonresponse
published 2015 · Journal of Econometrics · 42 citations
Narrow or Broad Cost–Benefit Analysis?
published 2015 · Criminology & Public Policy · 5 citations
How to communicate the uncertainty in economic statistics
published 2015 · Significance
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Communicating Uncertainty in Official Economic Statistics: An Appraisal Fifty Years after Morgenstern
published 2015 · Journal of Economic Literature · 113 citations · first circulated 2014
Randomizing Regulatory Approval for Adaptive Diversification and Deterrence
published 2015 · The Journal of Legal Studies · 1 citations
Clinical trial design enabling epsilon-optimal treatment rules
published 2015 · Carlo Alberto Notebooks
Choosing Size of Government Under Ambiguity: Infrastructure Spending and Income Taxation
published 2014 · The Economic Journal · 11 citations · first circulated 2012
Identification of income-leisure preferences and evaluation of income tax policy
published 2014 · Quantitative Economics · 71 citations · first circulated 2012
The Quantile Performance Of Statistical Treatment Rules Using Hypothesis Tests To Allocate A Population To Two Treatments
published 2014 · Carlo Alberto Notebooks · 2 citations
Response to the Review of ‘Public Policy in an Uncertain World’
published 2013 · The Economic Journal · 10 citations
Comment
published 2013 · Journal of Business and Economic Statistics · 4 citations
First-and second-order subjective expectations in strategic decision-making: Experimental evidence
published 2013 · Games and Economic Behavior · 47 citations · first circulated 2012
with Claudia Neri
Identification of treatment response with social interactions
published 2013 · Econometrics Journal · 277 citations · first circulated 2010
Diagnostic testing and treatment under ambiguity: Using decision analysis to inform clinical practice
published 2013 · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · 32 citations
Status Quo Deference and Policy Choice under Ambiguity
published 2013 · Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics JITE · 7 citations
Process and context in choice models
published 2012 · Marketing Letters · 77 citations
Genes, Eyeglasses, and Social Policy
published 2011 · The Journal of Economic Perspectives · 74 citations
Policy Analysis with Incredible Certitude
published 2011 · The Economic Journal · 126 citations · first circulated 2010
Measuring consumer uncertainty about future inflation
published 2011 · Journal of Applied Econometrics · 151 citations · first circulated 2009
with Wändi Bruine de Bruin, Giorgio Topa, Wilbert van der Klaauw
Introduction: ‘Measurement and analysis of subjective expectations’
published 2011 · Journal of Applied Econometrics · 7 citations
with Charles Bellemare
Choosing Treatment Policies Under Ambiguity
published 2011 · Annual Review of Economics · 41 citations
Competitive Lending with Partial Knowledge of Loan Repayment: Some Positive and Normative Analysis
published 2011 · Journal of money credit and banking · 12 citations · first circulated 2008
with William A. Brock, William R. Brock
Measuring and interpreting expectations of equity returns
published 2010 · Journal of Applied Econometrics · 186 citations · first circulated 2005
Policy choice with partial knowledge of policy effectiveness
published 2010 · Journal of Experimental Criminology · 5 citations
Assessing the temporal variation of macroeconomic forecasts by a panel of changing composition
published 2010 · Journal of Applied Econometrics · 68 citations
with Joseph Engelberg, Jared Williams
USING ELICITED CHOICE PROBABILITIES TO ESTIMATE RANDOM UTILITY MODELS: PREFERENCES FOR ELECTRICITY RELIABILITY*
published 2010 · International Economic Review · 123 citations · first circulated 2008
with Asher Blass, Saul Lach
Arthur S. Goldberger, 1930–2009
published 2010 · Econometric Theory
Unlearning and Discovery
published 2010 · The American Economist · 4 citations
Probabilistic Polling And Voting In The 2008 Presidential Election
published 2010 · Public Opinion Quarterly · 38 citations
When consensus choice dominates individualism: Jensen's inequality and collective decisions under uncertainty
published 2010 · Quantitative Economics · 13 citations · first circulated 2009
THE 2009 LAWRENCE R. KLEIN LECTURE: DIVERSIFIED TREATMENT UNDER AMBIGUITY*
published 2009 · International Economic Review · 51 citations
Actualist rationality
published 2009 · Theory and Decision · 28 citations
Rounding Probabilistic Expectations in Surveys
published 2009 · Journal of Business and Economic Statistics · 312 citations
Adaptive Partial Drug Approval: A Health Policy Proposal
published 2009 · The Economists Voice · 18 citations
More on monotone instrumental variables
published 2009 · Econometrics Journal · 133 citations
with John V. Pepper
Social Planning with Partial Knowledge of Social Interactions
published 2009 · Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics JITE · 11 citations
Comparing the Point Predictions and Subjective Probability Distributions of Professional Forecasters
published 2009 · Journal of Business and Economic Statistics · 97 citations · first circulated 2006
with Joseph Engelberg, Jared Williams
ECONOMICS TO ECONOMETRICS: IN HONOR OF DANIEL L. McFADDEN*
published 2007 · International Economic Review · 2 citations
PARTIAL IDENTIFICATION OF COUNTERFACTUAL CHOICE PROBABILITIES*
published 2007 · International Economic Review · 93 citations
Expected Equity Returns and Portfolio Choice: Evidence from the Health and Retirement Study
published 2007 · Journal of the European Economic Association · 162 citations
Search Profiling with Partial Knowledge of Deterrence
published 2006 · The Economic Journal · 58 citations · first circulated 2005
Profiling: Introduction to the Feature
published 2006 · The Economic Journal · 6 citations
Admissible treatment rules for a risk-averse planner with experimental data on an innovation
published 2006 · Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference · 43 citations
Minimax-regret treatment choice with missing outcome data
published 2006 · Journal of Econometrics · 90 citations
Interpreting the predictions of prediction markets
published 2006 · Economics Letters · 43 citations · first circulated 2004
Identification and estimation of statistical functionals using incomplete data
published 2005 · Journal of Econometrics · 57 citations
Optimal Search Profiling with Linear Deterrence
published 2005 · American Economic Review · 13 citations
Walk or wait? An empirical analysis of street crossing decisions
published 2005 · Journal of Applied Econometrics · 134 citations
with Sanghamitra Das, Mark D. Manuszak
Comment on J. Copas and S. Eguchi, Local Model Uncertainty and Incomplete-Data Bias
published 2005 · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Methodological)
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Partial identification with missing data: concepts and findings
published 2004 · International Journal of Approximate Reasoning · 43 citations
Confidence Intervals for Partially Identified Parameters
published 2004 · Econometrica · 659 citations · first circulated 2003
Measuring Expectations
published 2004 · Econometrica · 1412 citations
Statistical Treatment Rules for Heterogeneous Populations
published 2004 · Econometrica · 415 citations · first circulated 1999
How Should We Measure Consumer Confidence?
published 2004 · The Journal of Economic Perspectives · 155 citations · first circulated 2003
Social Learning from Private Experiences: The Dynamics of the Selection Problem
published 2004 · The Review of Economic Studies · 75 citations
On the Construction of Bounds in Prospective Studies with Missing Ordinal Outcomes: Application to the Good Behavior Game Trial
published 2004 · Biometrics · 33 citations
with Daniel O. Scharfstein, James C. Anthony
Computation of Bounds on Population Parameters When the Data Are Incomplete
published 2003 · Reliable Computing · 34 citations
Identification Problems in the Social Sciences and Everyday Life
published 2003 · Southern Economic Journal · 27 citations
Private Incentives and Social Interactions: Fertility Puzzles in Israel
published 2003 · Journal of the European Economic Association · 85 citations
with Joram Mayshar
Using Performance Standards to Evaluate Social Programs with Incomplete Outcome Data
published 2002 · Evaluation Review · 12 citations
with John L. Newman, John V. Pepper
Treatment choice under ambiguity induced by inferential problems
published 2002 · Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference · 3 citations
Identification of decision rules in experiments on simple games of proposal and response
published 2002 · European Economic Review · 95 citations
Inference on Regressions with Interval Data on a Regressor or Outcome
published 2002 · Econometrica · 421 citations
Regressions, Short and Long
published 2002 · Econometrica
with Philip J. Cross
Daniel McFadden and the Econometric Analysis of Discrete Choice
published 2001 · Scandinavian Journal of Economics · 81 citations
Bibliography of Daniel L. McFadden’s Publications, 1963‐2001
published 2001 · Scandinavian Journal of Economics
Designing Programs for Heterogeneous Populations: The Value of Covariate Information
published 2001 · American Economic Review · 36 citations
Economic Analysis of Social Interactions
published 2000 · The Journal of Economic Perspectives · 2089 citations
Monotone Instrumental Variables: With an Application to the Returns to Schooling
published 2000 · Econometrica · 455 citations · first circulated 1998
with John V. Pepper, John Pepper
Identification problems and decisions under ambiguity: Empirical analysis of treatment response and normative analysis of treatment choice
published 2000 · Journal of Econometrics · 175 citations
Nonparametric Analysis of Randomized Experiments with Missing Covariate and Outcome Data: Rejoinder
published 2000 · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 427 citations
Rejoinder
published 2000 · Journal of the American Statistical Association
Teen Expectations for Significant Life Events
published 2000 · Public Opinion Quarterly · 248 citations
with Baruch Fischhoff, Andrew M. Parker, Wändi Bruine de Bruin, Julie S. Downs, Claire Palmgren, Robyn M. Dawes
Analysis of Choice Expectations in Incomplete Scenarios
published 1999 · Journal of Risk and Uncertainty · 69 citations
Editors' Introduction: Elicitation of Preferences
published 1999 · Journal of Risk and Uncertainty · 9 citations
with Baruch Fischhoff
Bounding Disagreements about Treatment Effects: A Case Study of Sentencing and Recidivism
published 1998 · Sociological Methodology · 155 citations · first circulated 1995
with Daniel S. Nagin
Treatment choice in heterogeneous populations using experiments without covariate data
published 1998 · Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence · 2 citations
Censoring of outcomes and regressors due to survey nonresponse: Identification and estimation using weights and imputations
published 1998 · Journal of Econometrics · 28 citations
Monotone Treatment Response
published 1997 · Econometrica · 387 citations · first circulated 1996
The Mixing Problem in Programme Evaluation
published 1997 · The Review of Economic Studies · 72 citations · first circulated 1993
Using Expectations Data to Study Subjective Income Expectations
published 1997 · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 408 citations · first circulated 1994
Perceptions of Economic Insecurity: Evidence From the Survey of Economic Expectations
published 1997 · Public Opinion Quarterly · 239 citations · first circulated 1996
Learning about Treatment Effects from Experiments with Random Assignment of Treatments
published 1996 · The Journal of Human Resources · 104 citations
Identification and Robustness with Contaminated and Corrupted Data
published 1995 · Econometrica · 343 citations
The Bell Curve: Review Article
published 1995 · Journal of Economic Literature · 42 citations
with Arthur S. Goldberger
no link
Nonparametric and semiparametric approaches to discrete response analysis
published 1993 · Journal of Econometrics · 10 citations
Identification of Endogenous Social Effects: The Reflection Problem
published 1993 · The Review of Economic Studies · 6288 citations · first circulated 1991
Dynamic choice in social settings
published 1993 · Journal of Econometrics · 154 citations · first circulated 1990
Distribution theory for the analysis of binary choice under uncertainty with nonparametric estimation of expectations
published 1993 · Journal of Econometrics · 53 citations
with Hyungtaik Ahn
Identification Problems in the Social Sciences.
published 1993 · Sociological Methodology · 1005 citations
with Michael E. Sobel, Raymond Sin-Kwok Wong
[The Impact of Sociological Methodology on Statistical Methodology]: Comment
published 1992 · Statistical Science · 21 citations
Alternative Estimates of the Effect of Family Structure during Adolescence on High School Graduation
published 1992 · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 276 citations
with Gary D. Sandefur, Sara McLanahan, Daniel Powers
The Use of Intentions Data to Predict Behavior: A Best-Case Analysis
published 1990 · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 329 citations · first circulated 1989
The Logit Model and Response-Based Samples
published 1989 · Sociological Methods & Research · 109 citations
with Yu Xie
NONPARAMETRIC BOUNDS ON TREATMENT EFFECTS
published 1989 · American Economic Review · 570 citations
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Anatomy of the Selection Problem
published 1989 · The Journal of Human Resources · 545 citations
Estimation of best predictors of binary response
published 1989 · Journal of Econometrics · 42 citations
with T. Scott Thompson
Identification of Binary Response Models
published 1988 · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 274 citations
Ordinal utility models of decision making under uncertainty
published 1988 · Theory and Decision · 105 citations · first circulated 1986
Estimation by the Analogy Principle
published 1987 · Econometrica
Monte Carlo Evidence on Adaptive Maximum Likelihood Estimation of a Regression
published 1987 · The Annals of Statistics · 77 citations
with David A. Hsieh
Semiparametric Analysis of Random Effects Linear Models from Binary Panel Data
published 1987 · Econometrica · 252 citations · first circulated 1985
The demand for teleshopping
published 1987 · Regional Science and Urban Economics · 33 citations
with Ilan Salomon
Comment
published 1987 · Econometric Reviews
Operational characteristics of maximum score estimation
published 1986 · Journal of Econometrics · 110 citations
with T. Scott Thompson
Semiparametric analysis of binary response from response-based samples
published 1986 · Journal of Econometrics · 26 citations
Estimation of Response Probabilities from Augmented Retrospective Observations
published 1985 · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 137 citations
with David A. Hsieh, Daniel McFadden
Semiparametric analysis of discrete response
published 1985 · Journal of Econometrics · 570 citations
College Choice in America
published 1984 · Journal of Policy Analysis and Management · 784 citations · first circulated 1983
with Michael S. McPherson, David A. Wise, Stephen A. Hoenack, David E. Wiley
Adaptive estimation of non–linear regression models
published 1984 · Econometric Reviews · 117 citations
Reply
published 1984 · Econometric Reviews
Analysis of equilibrium automobile holdings in Israel with aggregate discrete choice models
published 1983 · Transportation Research Part B Methodological · 31 citations
Closest Empirical Distribution Estimation
published 1983 · Econometrica · 47 citations
Structural Analysis of Discrete Data with Econometric Applications
published 1982 · Journal of Marketing Research · 1128 citations
with Wagner A. Kamakura, Daniel McFadden, Joseph B. Kadane
New Evidence on the Economic Determinants of Postsecondary Schooling Choices
published 1982 · The Journal of Human Resources · 254 citations
with Winship C. Fuller, David A. Wise
A Behavioral Approach to Modelling Household Motor Vehicle Ownership and Applications to Aggregate Policy Analysis
published 1981 · Environment and Planning A Economy and Space · 18 citations
Learning and Decision Making when Subjective Probabilities have Subjective Domains
published 1981 · The Annals of Statistics · 25 citations
Structural Models for Discrete Data: The Analysis of Discrete Choice
published 1981 · Sociological Methodology · 45 citations
Sample design for discrete choice analysis of travel behavior: The state of the art
published 1979 · Transportation Research Part A General · 43 citations · first circulated 1978
with Steven R. Lerman
The Zero Elasticity Rule for Pricing a Government Service: A Summary of Findings
published 1979 · The Bell Journal of Economics · 5 citations
The Implications of Demand Instability for the Behavior of Firms: The Case of Residential Construction
published 1978 · Real Estate Economics · 6 citations
with Kenneth T. Rosen
The Estimation of Choice Probabilities from Choice Based Samples
published 1977 · Econometrica · 1222 citations
with Steven R. Lerman
The structure of random utility models
published 1977 · Theory and Decision · 1726 citations
ALTERNATIVE SAMPLING PROCEDURES FOR CALIBRATING DISAGGREGATE CHOICE MODELS.
published 1976 · Transportation Research Record Journal of the Transportation Research Board · 14 citations
with Steven R. Lerman
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Commonsense Statistics for Economists and Others.
published 1975 · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 2 citations
with Flavia Jolliffe
Maximum score estimation of the stochastic utility model of choice
published 1975 · Journal of Econometrics · 904 citations
Assembled from arXiv and OpenAlex. Duplicate records for the same paper are merged, and the published version is shown where we could identify one. Corrections welcome.
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