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Random Set Quantile Estimation of Partially Identified Discrete Response Models

Shakeeb Khan, Tatiana Komarova, Denis Nekipelov

arXiv 1 Jun 2026 · Econometrics

arXiv:2606.02200 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

Semiparametric discrete choice models are widely applied in economics, yet a fundamental tension arises when covariates are discrete as regression coefficients that are point identified under continuous regressors may become only partially identified. We show that this is not merely an identification problem but creates serious estimation pathologies. Classical estimators, including the maximum score estimator of Manski (1975), not only have population maximizers that are outer regions of the identified set (Komarova (2013)) but also converge to a random set drawn from a finite collection of deterministic regions that partition that outer region. To resolve this failure, we introduce the Random Set Quantile (RSQ) estimator which extracts the $τ$-quantile of the classical estimator for $τ\in (1/2,1)$. We prove this result for a class of widely used models, which includes binary/multinomial choice and discrete outcome panel data models. This construction is consistent and locally robust across the full parameter space, including precisely those configurations where classical estimators break down. A feasible implementation based on the $m$-out-of-$n$ bootstrap inherits both properties. We apply the methodology to the 2019 UK General Election, where the discrete support of Brexit-related covariates generates the partial identification our theory analyzes.

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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Charles F Manski (1975) Maximum Score Estimation of the Stochastic Utility Model of Choice1.000143100%
2Molchanov, Ilya (2006) Theory of Random Sets1.00084100%
3Tatiana Komarova (2013) Binary choice models with discrete regressors: Identification and misspecification self1.00063100%
4Arie Beresteanu and Francesca Molinari (2008) Asymptotic Properties for a Class of Partially Identified Models1.00053100%
5D. W. K. Andrews and P. Guggenberger (2009) Hybrid and size-corrected subsampling methods0.92843100%
6Charles F Manski (1985) Semiparametric Analysis of Discrete Response: Asymptotic Properties of the Maximum Score Estimator0.874102100%
7Charles F. Manski (1987) Semiparametric Analysis of Random Effects Linear Models from Binary Panel Data0.87482100%
8Donald Andrews (1999) Estimation When a Parameter Is on the Boundary0.73732100%
9H. Kaido and F. Molinari and J. Stoye (2019) Confidence Intervals for Projections of Partially Identified Parameters0.73732100%
10F. Bugni and I. Canay and X. Shi (2017) Inference for subvectors and other functions of partially identified parameters in moment inequality models0.51121100%

Showing the top 10 of 32 scored citations.