arXiv 18 Apr 2024 · Econometrics · publishedAEA Papers and Proceedings (2024) · 1 citations (OpenAlex)
arXiv:2404.11839 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text
We consider Bayes and Empirical Bayes (EB) approaches for dealing with violations of parallel trends. In the Bayes approach, the researcher specifies a prior over both the pre-treatment violations of parallel trends $\delta_{pre}$ and the post-treatment violations $\delta_{post}$. The researcher then updates their posterior about the post-treatment bias $\delta_{post}$ given an estimate of the pre-trends $\delta_{pre}$. This allows them to form posterior means and credible sets for the treatment effect of interest, $\tau_{post}$. In the EB approach, the prior on the violations of parallel trends is learned from the pre-treatment observations. We illustrate these approaches in two empirical applications.
appendix boundary found by appendix_command · 100% of the source is main text. Read the extracted text to check this.
The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.
| Reference | Intensity | Mentions | Sections | Main text | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Youssef Benzarti \ Dorian Carloni (2019) Who Really Benefits from Consumption Tax Cuts? Evidence from a Large VAT Reform in France | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 2 | Raffaella Giacomini \ Toru Kitagawa (2021) Robust Bayesian Inference for Set-Identified Models | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 3 | Thomas Leavitt (2020) Beyond Parallel Trends: Improvements on Estimation and Inference in the Difference-in-Differences Design | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 4 | Michael F. Lovenheim \ Alexander Willén (2019) The Long-Run Effects of Teacher Collective Bargaining | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 5 | Charles F. Manski \ John V. Pepper (2018) How Do Right-to-Carry Laws Affect Crime Rates? Coping with Ambiguity Using Bounded-Variation Assumptions | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 6 | Anita M. McGahan \ Michael E. Porter (1999) The Persistence of Shocks to Profitability | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 7 | Hyungsik Roger Moon \ Frank Schorfheide (2012) Bayesian and Frequentist Inference in Partially Identified Models | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 8 | Ashesh Rambachan \ Jonathan Roth (2023) A More Credible Approach to Parallel Trends | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 9 | Jonathan Roth (2022) Pretest with Caution: Event-Study Estimates after Testing for Parallel Trends self | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 10 | Jonathan Roth, Pedro H. C. Sant’Anna, Alyssa Bilinski \ John Poe (2023) What’s trending in difference-in-differences? A synthesis of the recent econometrics literature self | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
Showing the top 10 of 10 scored citations.
arXiv econ.EM papers that cite this one, ranked by how heavily they lean on it.
| Citing paper | Intensity | Mentions | Sections | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Semiparametric Bayesian Difference-in-Differences | 0.405 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | 2510.26106 | 0.405 | 1 | 1 |