arXiv 17 Nov 2023 · Finance — General · 2 citations (OpenAlex)
arXiv:2311.10685 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text
We apply empirical Bayes (EB) to mine data on 136,000 long-short strategies constructed from accounting ratios, past returns, and ticker symbols. This “high-throughput asset pricing” matches the out-of-sample performance of top journals while eliminating look-ahead bias. Naively mining for the largest Sharpe ratios leads to similar performance, consistent with our theoretical results, though EB uniquely provides unbiased predictions with transparent intuition. Predictability is concentrated in accounting strategies, small stocks, and pre-2004 periods, consistent with limited attention theories. Multiple testing methods popular in finance fail to identify most out-of-sample performers. High-throughput methods provide a rigorous, unbiased framework for understanding asset prices.
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The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.
| Reference | Intensity | Mentions | Sections | Main text | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chordia, Tarun, Subrahmanyam, Avanidhar, Tong, Qing (2014) Have capital market anomalies attenuated in the recent era of high liquidity and trading activity? | 1.000 | 5 | 3 | 100% |
| 2 | Chordia, Tarun, Goyal, Amit, Saretto, Alessio (2020) Anomalies and false rejections | 0.965 | 10 | 3 | 90% |
| 3 | Barras, Laurent, Scaillet, Olivier, Wermers, Russ (2010) False discoveries in mutual fund performance: Measuring luck in estimated alphas | 0.928 | 10 | 4 | 80% |
| 4 | Harvey, Campbell R, Liu, Yan, Zhu, Heqing (2016) ... and the cross-section of expected returns | 0.909 | 8 | 4 | 75% |
| 5 | Benjamini, Yoav, Yekutieli, Daniel (2001) The control of the false discovery rate in multiple testing under dependency | 0.874 | 8 | 2 | 100% |
| 6 | Efron, Bradley (2012) Large-scale inference: empirical Bayes methods for estimation, testing, and prediction | 0.874 | 8 | 2 | 100% |
| 7 | Storey, John D (2002) A direct approach to false discovery rates | 0.874 | 6 | 2 | 100% |
| 8 | Romano, Joseph P, Wolf, Michael (2007) Control of Generalized Error Rates in Multiple Testing | 0.874 | 5 | 2 | 100% |
| 9 | Harvey, Campbell R, Liu, Yan (2020) False (and missed) discoveries in financial economics | 0.843 | 4 | 3 | 75% |
| 10 | Chen, Andrew Y., Zimmermann, Tom (2022) Open Source Cross Sectional Asset Pricing self | 0.843 | 5 | 4 | 60% |
Showing the top 10 of 53 scored citations.
arXiv econ.EM papers that cite this one, ranked by how heavily they lean on it.
| Citing paper | Intensity | Mentions | Sections | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Optimal Post-Hoc Theorizing | 0.405 | 1 | 1 |