Ida Johnsson, M. Hashem Pesaran, Cynthia Fan Yang
arXiv 9 Sep 2023 · Econometrics
arXiv:2309.08619 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text
This paper proposes a structural econometric approach to estimating the basic reproduction number ($\mathcal{R}_{0}$) of Covid-19. This approach identifies $\mathcal{R}_{0}$ in a panel regression model by filtering out the effects of mitigating factors on disease diffusion and is easy to implement. We apply the method to data from 48 contiguous U.S. states and a diverse set of countries. Our results reveal a notable concentration of $\mathcal{R}_{0}$ estimates with an average value of 4.5. Through a counterfactual analysis, we highlight a significant underestimation of the $\mathcal{R}_{0}$ when mitigating factors are not appropriately accounted for.
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The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.
| Reference | Intensity | Mentions | Sections | Main text | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pesaran, M. H. and C. F. Yang (2022) Matching theory and evidence on Covid-19 using a stochastic network SIR model self | 0.874 | 5 | 2 | 100% |
| 2 | Chudik, A., M. H. Pesaran, and A. Rebucci (2022) Social distancing, vaccination and evolution of COVID-19 transmission rates in Europe self | 0.811 | 4 | 2 | 100% |
| 3 | Katul, G. G., A. Mrad, S. Bonetti, G. Manoli, and A. J. Parolari (2020) Global convergence of COVID-19 basic reproduction number and estimation from early-time SIR dynamics | 0.811 | 4 | 2 | 100% |
| 4 | Fernández-Villaverde, J. and C. I. Jones (2022) Estimating and simulating a SIRD model of COVID-19 for many countries, states, and cities | 0.737 | 3 | 2 | 100% |
| 5 | Ke, R., E. Romero-Severson, S. Sanche, and N. Hengartner (2021) Estimating the reproductive number R0 of SARS-CoV-2 in the United States and eight European countries and implications for vacci… | 0.737 | 3 | 2 | 100% |
| 6 | Korolev, I (2021) Identification and estimation of the SEIRD epidemic model for COVID-19 | 0.737 | 3 | 2 | 100% |
| 7 | Alimohamadi, Y., M. Taghdir, and M. Sepandi (2020) Estimate of the basic reproduction number for COVID-19: A systematic review and meta-analysis | 0.511 | 2 | 1 | 100% |
| 8 | Arias, J. E., J. Fernández-Villaverde, J. F. Rubio-Ramŕez, and M. Shin (2023) The causal effects of lockdown policies on health and macroeconomic outcomes | 0.511 | 2 | 1 | 100% |
| 9 | Buckman, S. R., R. Glick, K. J. Lansing, N. Petrosky-Nadeau, and L.… (2020) Replicating and projecting the path of COVID-19 with a model-implied reproduction number | 0.511 | 2 | 1 | 100% |
| 10 | Li, Q., X. Guan, P. Wu, X. Wang, L. Zhou, Y. Tong, et al (2020) Early transmission dynamics in Wuhan, China, of novel coronavirusinfected pneumonia | 0.511 | 2 | 1 | 100% |
Showing the top 10 of 32 scored citations.