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Sequential Estimation of Multivariate Factor Stochastic Volatility Models

Giorgio Calzolari, Roxana Halbleib, Christian Mücher

arXiv 14 Feb 2023 · Econometrics · publishedAStA Advances in Statistical Analysis (2025)

arXiv:2302.07052 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

We provide a simple method to estimate the parameters of multivariate stochastic volatility models with latent factor structures. These models are very useful as they alleviate the standard curse of dimensionality, allowing the number of parameters to increase only linearly with the number of the return series. Although theoretically very appealing, these models have only found limited practical application due to huge computational burdens. Our estimation method is simple in implementation as it consists of two steps: first, we estimate the loadings and the unconditional variances by maximum likelihood, and then we use the efficient method of moments to estimate the parameters of the stochastic volatility structure with GARCH as an auxiliary model. In a comprehensive Monte Carlo study we show the good performance of our method to estimate the parameters of interest accurately. The simulation study and an application to real vectors of daily returns of dimensions up to 148 show the method's computation advantage over the existing estimation procedures.

Citation extraction

33
references
104
in-text mentions
33
distinct cited
6
self-citations
8,825
main-text words

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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Bai, J. and Li, K (2016) Maximum likelihood estimation and inference for approximate factor models of high dimension1.00074100%
2Kastner, G., Frühwirth-Schnatter, S., and Lopes, H. F (2017) Efficient bayesian inference for multivariate factor stochastic volatility models0.97112492%
3Calzolari, G., Halbleib, R., and Zagidullina, A (2021) A latent factor model for forecasting realized variances self0.92843100%
4Bansal, R., Gallant, A. R., Hussey, R., and Tauchen, G (1994) Computational Aspects of Nonparametric Simulation Estimation, pages 3–220.84333100%
5Gallant, A. R. and Tauchen, G (1996) Which moments to match?0.84333100%
6Gordon, N. J., Salmond, D. J., and Smith, A. F (1993) Novel approach to nonlinear/non-gaussian bayesian state estimation0.84333100%
7Nardari, F. and Scruggs, J. T (2007) Bayesian analysis of linear factor models with latent factors, multivariate stochastic volatility, and apt pricing restrictions0.84333100%
8Bai, J. and Li, K (2012) Statistical analysis of factor models of high dimension0.82218656%
9Chib, S., Nardari, F., and Shephard, N (2006) Analysis of high dimensional mulitivariate stochastic volatility models0.81142100%
10Pitt, M. K. and Shephard, N (1999) Time-VaryingCovariances: A Factor Stochastic Volatility Approach0.81142100%

Showing the top 10 of 33 scored citations.

Cited by, within the corpus

arXiv econ.EM papers that cite this one, ranked by how heavily they lean on it.

Citing paperIntensityMentionsSections
1Factor Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models of High Dimension0.51121