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Factor multivariate stochastic volatility models of high dimension

Benjamin Poignard, Manabu Asai

arXiv 27 Jun 2024 · Econometrics · publishedEconometric Reviews (2026)

arXiv:2406.19033 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

Building upon the pertinence of the factor decomposition to break the curse of dimensionality inherent to multivariate volatility processes, we develop a factor model-based multivariate stochastic volatility (fMSV) framework that relies on two viewpoints: sparse approximate factor model and sparse factor loading matrix. We propose a two-stage estimation procedure for the fMSV model: the first stage obtains the estimators of the factor model, and the second stage estimates the MSV part using the estimated common factor variables. We derive the asymptotic properties of the estimators. Simulated experiments are performed to assess the forecasting performances of the covariance matrices. The empirical analysis based on vectors of asset returns illustrates that the forecasting performances of the fMSV models outperforms competing conditional covariance models.

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61
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distinct cited
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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Poignard, B. and M. Asai (2023) High-dimensional sparse multivariate stochastic volatility models self1.00063100%
2Chib, S. and Nardari, F. and N. Shephard (2006) Analysis of high dimensional multivariate stochastic volatility models1.00053100%
3Onatski, A (2010) Determining the number of factors from empirical distribution of eigenvalues1.00053100%
4Bai, J. and K. Li (2012) Statistical analysis of factor models of high dimension0.92018678%
5Engle, R.F (2002) Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models0.7374350%
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7G. Kastner and S. Frühwirth-Schnatter and H.F. Lopes (2017) Efficient Bayesian Inference for Multivariate Factor Stochastic Volatility Models0.7373367%
8Bauwens, L. and Laurent, S. and J.V.K. Rombouts (2006) Multivariate GARCH models: A survey0.73732100%
9Pitt, M. and N. Shephard (1999) Time varying covariances: a factor stochastic volatility approach (with discussion)0.73732100%
10M. Barigozzi and M. Hallin (2017) Generalized dynamic factor models and volatilities: estimation and forecasting0.64422100%

Showing the top 10 of 61 scored citations.