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Instrumental variable estimation of dynamic treatment effects on a duration outcome

Jad Beyhum, Samuele Centorrino, Jean-Pierre Florens, Ingrid Van Keilegom

arXiv 26 Jan 2022 · Mathematics — Statistics Theory · publishedJournal of Business and Economic Statistics (2023) · 4 citations (OpenAlex)

arXiv:2201.10826 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

This paper considers identification and estimation of the causal effect of the time Z until a subject is treated on a survival outcome T. The treatment is not randomly assigned, T is randomly right censored by a random variable C and the time to treatment Z is right censored by min(T,C). The endogeneity issue is treated using an instrumental variable explaining Z and independent of the error term of the model. We study identification in a fully nonparametric framework. We show that our specification generates an integral equation, of which the regression function of interest is a solution. We provide identification conditions that rely on this identification equation. For estimation purposes, we assume that the regression function follows a parametric model. We propose an estimation procedure and give conditions under which the estimator is asymptotically normal. The estimators exhibit good finite sample properties in simulations. Our methodology is applied to find evidence supporting the efficacy of a therapy for burn-out.

Citation extraction

47
references
82
in-text mentions
47
distinct cited
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self-citations
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main-text words

appendix boundary found by appendix_command · 43% of the source is main text. Read the extracted text to check this.

Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Chernozhukov, V. and Hansen, C (2005) An IV model of quantile treatment effects1.000113100%
2Abbring, J. H. and Van den Berg, G. J (2003) The nonparametric identification of treatment effects in duration models0.87452100%
3Brown, D. J. and Wegkamp, M. H (2002) Weighted minimum mean-square distance from independence estimation0.7374275%
4Van den Berg, G. J., Bonev, P., and Mammen, E (2020) Nonparametric instrumental variable methods for dynamic treatment evaluation0.73732100%
5Van den Berg, G. J., Bozio, A., and Costa Dias, M (2020) Policy discontinuity and duration outcomes0.64422100%
6Newey, W. K. and Powell, J. L (2003) Instrumental Variable Estimation of Nonparametric Models0.58531100%
7Beyhum, J., Florens, J.-P., and Keilegom, I. V (2022) Nonparametric instrumental regression with right censored duration outcomes self0.51121100%
8Andrews, D. W. K (2017) Examples of $L^2$-Complete and Boundedly-Complete Distributions0.51121100%
9Angrist, J. D., Imbens, G. W., and Rubin, D. B (1996) Identification of causal effects using instrumental variables0.51121100%
10Chen, X., Chernozhukov, V., Lee, S., and Newey, W. K (2014) Local identification of nonparametric and semiparametric models0.51121100%

Showing the top 10 of 47 scored citations.

Cited by, within the corpus

arXiv econ.EM papers that cite this one, ranked by how heavily they lean on it.

Citing paperIntensityMentionsSections
1Dynamic Local Average Treatment Effects0.51121
2Instrumental variable estimation of the proportional hazards model by presmoothing0.40511
31420 Identification with possibly invalid IVs0.40511
4High-dimensional censored MIDAS logistic regression for corporate survival forecasting0.40511
5Estimation of the complier causal hazard ratio under dependent censoring0.40511