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Crime and Mismeasured Punishment: Marginal Treatment Effect with Misclassification

Vitor Possebom

arXiv 29 May 2021 · Econometrics · publishedThe Review of Economics and Statistics (2023) · 3 citations (OpenAlex)

arXiv:2106.00536 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

I partially identify the marginal treatment effect (MTE) when the treatment is misclassified. I explore two restrictions, allowing for dependence between the instrument and the misclassification decision. If the signs of the derivatives of the propensity scores are equal, I identify the MTE sign. If those derivatives are similar, I bound the MTE. To illustrate, I analyze the impact of alternative sentences (fines and community service v. no punishment) on recidivism in Brazil, where Appeals processes generate misclassification. The estimated misclassification bias may be as large as 10% of the largest possible MTE, and the bounds contain the correctly estimated MTE.

Citation extraction

38
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133
in-text mentions
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appendix boundary found by appendix_command · 32% of the source is main text. Read the extracted text to check this.

Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Frandsen, B. R., L. J. Lefgren, and E. C. Leslie (2019, February) (2019) Judging Judge Fixed Effects0.92843100%
2Heckman, J. J., S. Urzua, and E. Vytlacil (2006) Understanding Instrumental Variables in Models with Essential Heterogeneity0.86517765%
3Calvi, R., A. Lewbel, and D. Tommasi (2021, April) (2021) Women's Empowerment and Family Health: Estimating LATE with Mismeasured Treatment0.8558662%
4Tommasi, D. and L. Zhang (2020, June) (2020) Bounding Program Benefits When Participation Is Misreported0.8307557%
5Ura, T (2018) Heterogeneous Treatment Effects with Mismeasured Endogenous Treatment0.7639544%
6Arellano-Bover, J. (2020, May) (2020) Displacement, Diversity, and Mobility: Career Impacts of Japanese American Internment0.7373367%
7Bhuller, M., G. B. Dahl, K. V. Loken, and M. Mogstad (2020) Incaceration, Recidivism, and Employment0.73732100%
8Klaassen, F. D. (2021, November) (2021) Crime and (Monetary) Punishment0.73732100%
9Acerenza, S., K. Ban, and D. Kédagni (2022) Marginal Treatment Effects with Misclassified Treatment0.70520635%
10Cinelli, C. and C. Hazlett (2019) Making Sense of Sensitivity: Extending Omitted Variable Bias0.64422100%

Showing the top 10 of 38 scored citations.

Cited by, within the corpus

arXiv econ.EM papers that cite this one, ranked by how heavily they lean on it.

Citing paperIntensityMentionsSections
1Was Javert right to be suspicious? Marginal Treatment Effects with Duration Outcomes0.888106
2Local Average and Marginal Treatment Effects with a Misclassified Treatment0.84333
3MTE with Misspecification0.64422
4Partial Identification of Marginal Treatment Effects With Discrete Instruments and Misreported Treatment0.51121
5Misclassification in Difference-in-Differences Models0.40511