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Sharpe Ratio Analysis in High Dimensions: Residual-Based Nodewise Regression in Factor Models

Mehmet Caner, Marcelo Medeiros, Gabriel Vasconcelos

arXiv 5 Feb 2020 · Finance — Portfolio Management · publishedJournal of Econometrics (2022) · 19 citations (OpenAlex)

arXiv:2002.01800 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

We provide a new theory for nodewise regression when the residuals from a fitted factor model are used. We apply our results to the analysis of the consistency of Sharpe ratio estimators when there are many assets in a portfolio. We allow for an increasing number of assets as well as time observations of the portfolio. Since the nodewise regression is not feasible due to the unknown nature of idiosyncratic errors, we provide a feasible-residual-based nodewise regression to estimate the precision matrix of errors which is consistent even when number of assets, p, exceeds the time span of the portfolio, n. In another new development, we also show that the precision matrix of returns can be estimated consistently, even with an increasing number of factors and p>n. We show that: (1) with p>n, the Sharpe ratio estimators are consistent in global minimum-variance and mean-variance portfolios; and (2) with p>n, the maximum Sharpe ratio estimator is consistent when the portfolio weights sum to one; and (3) with p<<n, the maximum-out-of-sample Sharpe ratio estimator is consistent.

Citation extraction

48
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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Ledoit, O, M. and M. Wolf (2017) Nonlinear shrinkage of the covariance matrix for portfolio selection: Markowitz meets goldilocks1.00073100%
2Callot, L., M. Caner, O. Onder, and E. Ulasan (2021) A nodewise regression approach to estimating large portfolios1.00053100%
3Ao, M., Y. Li, and X. Zheng (2019) Approaching mean-variance efficiency for large portfolios0.94613685%
4Maller, R. and D. Turkington (2002) New light on portfolio allocation problem0.87472100%
5Meinshausen, N. and P. Bühlmann (2006) High-dimensional graphs and variable selection with the lasso0.87452100%
6Chang, J., Y. Qiu, Q. Yao, and T. Zou (2018) Confidence regions for entries of a large precision matrix0.81142100%
7Maller, R., S. Roberts, and R. Tourky (2016) The large sample distribution of the maximum sharpe ratio with and without short sales0.81142100%
8Caner, M. and A. Kock (2018) Asymptotically honest confidence regions for high dimensional parameters by the desparsified conservative lasso self0.7946350%
9Horn, R. and C. Johnson (2013) Matrix Analysis0.71411436%
10Fan, J., Y. Liao, and M. Mincheva (2011) High-dimensional covariance matrix estimation in approximate factor models0.66930430%

Showing the top 10 of 48 scored citations.

Cited by, within the corpus

arXiv econ.EM papers that cite this one, ranked by how heavily they lean on it.

Citing paperIntensityMentionsSections
1Model-Estimation-Free, Dense, and High Dimensional Consistent Precision Matrix Estimators1.00083
2Statistical Estimation for Covariance Structures with Tail Estimates using Nodewise Quantile Predictive Regression Models0.69351
3High Dimensional Time Series Regression Models: Applications to Statistical Learning Methods0.40511
4Learning Nonlinear Factor Models with Unknown Monotone Links from Incomplete and Noisy Data0.40511