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Modeling Univariate and Multivariate Stochastic Volatility in R with stochvol and factorstochvol

Darjus Hosszejni, Gregor Kastner

arXiv 28 Jun 2019 · Statistics — Computation · publishedJournal of Statistical Software (2021) · 45 citations (OpenAlex)

arXiv:1906.12123 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

Stochastic volatility (SV) models are nonlinear state-space models that enjoy increasing popularity for fitting and predicting heteroskedastic time series. However, due to the large number of latent quantities, their efficient estimation is non-trivial and software that allows to easily fit SV models to data is rare. We aim to alleviate this issue by presenting novel implementations of four SV models delivered in two R packages. Several unique features are included and documented. As opposed to previous versions, stochvol is now capable of handling linear mean models, heavy-tailed SV, and SV with leverage. Moreover, we newly introduce factorstochvol which caters for multivariate SV. Both packages offer a user-friendly interface through the conventional R generics and a range of tailor-made methods. Computational efficiency is achieved via interfacing R to C++ and doing the heavy work in the latter. In the paper at hand, we provide a detailed discussion on Bayesian SV estimation and showcase the use of the new software through various examples.

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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Omori Y, Chib S, Shephard N, Nakajima J (2007) Stochastic Volatility with Leverage: Fast and Efficient Likelihood Inference1.00053100%
2Kastner G (2019) Sparse Bayesian Time-Varying Covariance Estimation in Many Dimensions0.87452100%
3Harvey AC, Shephard N (1996) Estimation of an Asymmetric Stochastic Volatility Model for Asset Returns0.84333100%
4Kastner G, Frühwirth-Schnatter S (2014) Ancillarity-Sufficiency Interweaving Strategy (ASIS) for Boosting MCMC Estimation of Stochastic Volatility Models0.81142100%
5Kastner G, Frühwirth-Schnatter S, Lopes HF (2017) Efficient Bayesian Inference for Multivariate Factor Stochastic Volatility Models0.81142100%
6Nakajima J, Omori Y (2012) Stochastic Volatility Model with Leverage and Asymmetrically Heavy-Tailed Error Using GH Skew Student's $t$ Distribution0.73732100%
7Griffin JE, Brown PJ (2010) Inference with Normal-Gamma Prior Distributions in Regression Problems0.64422100%
8Kastner G (2016) Dealing with Stochastic Volatility in Time Series Using the R Package stochvol0.64422100%
9Kim S, Shephard N, Chib S (1998) Stochastic Volatility: Likelihood Inference and Comparison with ARCH Models0.64422100%
10Park T, Casella G (2008) The Bayesian Lasso0.64422100%

Showing the top 10 of 67 scored citations.

Cited by, within the corpus

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Citing paperIntensityMentionsSections
1Sparse Bayesian Vector Autoregressions in Huge Dimensions0.40511
2Recurrent Conditional Heteroskedasticity0.40511
3Forecasting macroeconomic data with Bayesian VARs: Sparse or dense? It depends!0.00011
4The Dynamic Triple Gamma as a Shrinkage Process for Time-Varying Parameter Models0.00011