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Fixed $T$ Estimation of Linear Panel Data Models with Interactive Fixed Effects

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Fixed $T$ Estimation of Linear Panel Data Models with Interactive Fixed Effects$^*$

abstractThis paper studies the estimation of linear panel data models with interactive fixed effects, where one dimension of the panel, typically time, may be fixed. To this end, a novel transformation is introduced that reduces the model to a lower dimension, and, in doing so, relieves the model of incidental parameters in the cross-section. The central result of this paper demonstrates that transforming the model and then applying the principal component (PC) estimator of bai_panel_2009 delivers $\sqrt{n}$ consistent estimates of regression slope coefficients with $T$ fixed. Moreover, these estimates are shown to be asymptotically unbiased in the presence of cross-sectional dependence, serial dependence, and with the inclusion of dynamic regressors, in stark contrast to the usual case. The large $n$, large $T$ properties of this approach are also studied, where many of these results carry over to the case in which $n$ is growing sufficiently fast relative to $T$. Transforming the model also proves to be useful beyond estimation, a point illustrated by showing that with $T$ fixed, the eigenvalue ratio test of horenstein provides a consistent test for the number of factors when applied to the transformed model. \\ \color{white}.\color{black}\\ Keywords: interactive fixed effects, dynamic panels, factor models.\\ JEL classification: C13, C33, C38.\\

\xdef\@thefnmark\@footnotetext{$^*$This work was supported by the European Research Council through the grant ERC-2016-STG-715787-MiMo. I am grateful to Valentina Corradi, Koen Jochmans, Federico Martellosio, Jo$\tilde{\text{a}}$o Santos Silva and Martin Weidner for their comments and suggestions.} \xdef\@thefnmark\@footnotetext{$^{\dagger}$Email: [email removed].}

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