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Bootstrap-Based Inference for Cube Root Asymptotics

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Supplemental to Bootstrap-Based Inference for Cube Root Asymptotics

abstractThis supplemental appendix contains proofs and other theoretical results that may be of independent interest. It also offers more details on the examples and simulation evidence presented in the paper.

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Proofs of Main Results

Proof of Theorem 1

As explained in the paper, Theorem 1 follows from ten technical lemmas. The remainder of this subsection presents those lemmas and their proofs.

The first lemma can be used to show that $\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}$ is consistent.

lemmaSuppose Condition CRA(i) holds. Then $\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}-\mathbf{\theta}_{0}=o_{\mathbb{P}}(1)$ if \[ \hat{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n})\geq\sup_{\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta}}\hat{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})-o_{\mathbb{P}}(1). \]

\noindentProof of Lemma (ref). It suffices to show that every $\delta>0$ admits a constant $c_{\delta}>0$ such that

equation[equation omitted — 239 chars of source]

By assumption, $\sup_{\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta}}|M_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})-M_{0}(\mathbf{\theta})|=o(1).$ Also, by \citet*[Theorem 4.2]{Pollard_1989_SS}, \[ \sup_{\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta}}|\hat{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})-M_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})|=O_{\mathbb{P}}\left( \sqrt{\frac{\mathbb{E}[\bar{m}_{n}(\mathbf{z})^{2}]}{n}}\right) =O_{\mathbb{P}}\left( \frac{1}{\sqrt{nq_{n}}}\right) =o_{\mathbb{P}}(1). \] As a consequence, for any $\delta>0,$ \[ \hat{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0})-\sup_{\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta\setminus\Theta}_{0}^{\delta}}\hat{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})=M_{0}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0})-\sup_{\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta\setminus\Theta}_{0}^{\delta}}M_{0}(\mathbf{\theta})+o_{\mathbb{P}}(1), \] so ((ref)) is satisfied with $c_{\delta}=[M_{0}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0})-\sup_{\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta\setminus\Theta}_{0}^{\delta}}M_{0}(\mathbf{\theta})]/2>0.\quad\blacksquare$

Assuming the derivatives exist, let $\dot{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})$ and $\ddot{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})$ denote $\partial M_{n}(\mathbf{\theta} _{0})/\partial\mathbf{\theta}$ and $\partial^{2}M_{n}(\mathbf{\theta })/\partial\mathbf{\theta}\partial\mathbf{\theta}^{\prime},$ respectively. If $M_{n}$ is twice continuously differentiable on a neighborhood $\mathbf{\Theta }_{n}$ of $\mathbf{\theta}_{0},$ then it follows from Taylor's theorem that

equation[equation omitted — 359 chars of source]

for every $\mathbf{\theta\in\Theta}_{n},$ where $\mathbf{H}_{n}=-\ddot{M} _{n}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0}),$ $\dot{C}_{n}=||\dot{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta} _{0})||,$ and $\ddot{C}_{n}=\sup_{\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta}_{n} }||\ddot{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})-\ddot{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0})||.$

As an immediate consequence of ((ref)), we have the following convergence result about $Q_{n}.$

lemmaSuppose Condition CRA(ii) holds. Then $Q_{n}$ converges compactly to $\mathcal{Q}_{0};$ that is, \[ \sup_{||\mathbf{s}||\leq K}\left\vert Q_{n}(\mathbf{s})-\mathcal{Q} _{0}(\mathbf{s})\right\vert \rightarrow0 \] for any $K>0.$

\noindentProof of Lemma (ref). Let $K>0$ be given and suppose $n$ is large enough that $Kr_{n}^{-1}\leq\delta,$ where $\delta>0$ is as in Condition CRA(ii). Using ((ref)) with $\mathbf{\Theta}_{n}=\mathbf{\Theta }_{0}^{Kr_{n}^{-1}},$ we have

align*[align* omitted — 443 chars of source]

uniformly in $\mathbf{s}$ with $||\mathbf{s}||\leq K,$ where the last equality uses $r_{n}\dot{C}_{n}=r_{n}||\dot{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0})||\rightarrow0$ along with the facts that \[ \mathbf{H}_{n}-\mathbf{H}_{0}=-[\ddot{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0})-\ddot{M}_{0}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0})]\rightarrow0,\qquad\ddot{M}_{0}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0})=\frac{\partial^{2}}{\partial\mathbf{\theta}\partial\mathbf{\theta}^{\prime}}M_{0}(\mathbf{\theta}), \] and

align*[align* omitted — 443 chars of source]

The next lemma can be used to obtain the rate of convergence of $\mathbf{\hat {\theta}}_{n}.$

lemmaSuppose Conditions CRA(ii)-(iii) hold. Then $r_{n}(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}-\mathbf{\theta}_{0})=O_{\mathbb{P}}(1) $ if $\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}-\mathbf{\theta}_{0}=o_{\mathbb{P}}(1)$ and if \[ \hat{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n})\geq\sup_{\mathbf{\theta}\in \mathbf{\Theta}}\hat{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})-o_{\mathbb{P}}(r_{n}^{-2}). \]

\noindentProof of Lemma (ref). For any $\delta>0$ and any $K\in\mathbb{N},$ $\mathbb{P}[r_{n}||\mathbf{\hat{\theta} }_{n}-\mathbf{\theta}_{0}||>2^{K}]$ is no greater than

gather*[gather* omitted — 450 chars of source]

By assumption, the probabilities on the first line go to zero for any $\delta>0.$ As a consequence, it suffices to show that the sum on the last line can be made arbitrarily small (for large $n$) by making $\delta>0$ small and $K$ large.

To do so, let $\delta>0$ be small enough so that Conditions CRA(ii)-(iii) are satisfied and \[ c(\delta)=\underset{n\rightarrow\infty}{\lim\inf}\frac{1}{16}[\lambda_{\min }(\mathbf{H}_{n})-\ddot{C}_{n}^{\delta}]>0, \] where $\ddot{C}_{n}^{\delta}=\sup_{\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta} _{0}^{\delta}}||\ddot{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})-\ddot{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta} _{0})||$ and where $\lambda_{\min}(\cdot)$ denotes the minimal eigenvalue of the argument. Then, for all $n$ large enough and for any pair $(j,K)^{\prime }\in\mathbb{N}^{2}$ with $j\geq K,$ we have \[ M_{n}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0})-\sup_{2^{j-1}<r_{n}||\mathbf{\theta}-\mathbf{\theta }_{0}||\leq2^{j}}M_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})-\delta r_{n}^{-2}\geq2^{2j} c_{n,K}(\delta)r_{n}^{-2}, \] where $c_{n,K}(\delta)=[\lambda_{\min}(\mathbf{H}_{n})-\ddot{C}_{n}^{\delta }]/8-2^{-K}r_{n}\dot{C}_{n}-2^{-2K}\delta$ and where the inequality uses the following implication of ((ref)): If $\lambda_{\min}(\mathbf{H}_{n})-\ddot{C}_{n}^{\delta}\geq0$ and if $\mathbf{\Theta}_{n}^{\prime}$ is a subset of $\mathbf{\Theta}_{n}, $ then \[ M_{n}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0})-\sup_{\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta}_{n} ^{\prime}}M_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})\geq\frac{1}{2}[\lambda_{\min}(\mathbf{H} _{n})-\ddot{C}_{n}^{\delta}]\inf_{\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta} _{n}^{\prime}}||\mathbf{\theta}-\mathbf{\theta}_{0}||^{2}-\dot{C}_{n} \sup_{\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta}_{n}^{\prime}}||\mathbf{\theta }-\mathbf{\theta}_{0}||. \]

Choosing $n$ and $K$ large enough, we may assume that $c_{n,K}(\delta)\geq c(\delta),$ in which case

align*[align* omitted — 1,087 chars of source]

where the last inequality uses the Markov inequality.

Under Condition CRA(iii), $q_{n}\sup_{0\leq\delta^{\prime}\leq\delta}\mathbb{E}[\bar{d}_{n}^{\delta^{\prime}}(\mathbf{z})^{2}/\delta^{\prime}]=O(1)$ and it follows from \citet*[Theorem 4.2]{Pollard_1989_SS} that the sum on the last line is bounded by a constant multiple of \[ r_{n}^{2}\sum_{j\geq K,2^{j}\leq\delta r_{n}}2^{-2j}\sqrt{\frac{\mathbb{E}[\bar{d}_{n}^{2^{j}/r_{n}}(\mathbf{z})^{2}]}{n}}\leq\sqrt{q_{n}\sup_{0\leq\delta^{\prime}\leq\delta}\mathbb{E}[\bar{d}_{n}^{\delta^{\prime}}(\mathbf{z})^{2}/\delta^{\prime}]}\sum_{j\geq K}2^{-3j/2}, \] which can be made arbitrarily small by making $K$ large.$\quad\blacksquare$

In combination, the next two lemmas can be used to show that $\hat{G} _{n}\rightsquigarrow\mathcal{G}_{0}$ in the topology of uniform convergence on compacta.

lemmaSuppose Conditions CRA(iii)-(iv) hold and suppose $Q_{n}(\mathbf{s})=o(\sqrt{n})$ for every $\mathbf{s}\in\mathbb{R} ^{d}.$ Then $\hat{G}_{n}$ converges to $\mathcal{G}_{0}$ in the sense of weak convergence of finite-dimensional projections.

\noindentProof of Lemma (ref). Because $\hat{G}_{n}(\mathbf{s})=n^{-1/2}\sum_{i=1}^{n}\psi_{n}(\mathbf{z} _{i};\mathbf{s}),$ where \[ \psi_{n}(\mathbf{z;s})=\sqrt{r_{n}q_{n}}[m_{n}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta} _{0}+\mathbf{s}r_{n}^{-1})-m_{n}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta}_{0})-M_{n} (\mathbf{\theta}_{0}+\mathbf{s}r_{n}^{-1})+M_{n}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0})] {\rm 1\hspace*{-0.4ex}\rule{0.1ex}{1.52ex}\hspace*{0.2ex}} (\mathbf{\theta}_{0}+\mathbf{s}r_{n}^{-1}\in\mathbf{\Theta}) \] the result follows from the Cram\'{e}r-Wold device if \[ \mathbb{E}[\psi_{n}(\mathbf{z};\mathbf{s})\psi_{n}(\mathbf{z};\mathbf{t} )]\rightarrow\mathcal{C}_{0}(\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t})\qquad\forall \mathbf{s},\mathbf{t}\in\mathbb{R}^{d}, \] and if the following Lyapunov condition is satisfied: \[ \frac{1}{n}\mathbb{E}[\psi_{n}(\mathbf{z};\mathbf{s})^{4}]\rightarrow 0\qquad\forall\mathbf{s}\in\mathbb{R}^{d}. \]

Let $\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t}\in\mathbb{R}^{d}$ be given and suppose without loss of generality that $\mathbf{\theta}_{0}+\mathbf{s}r_{n}^{-1},\mathbf{\theta }_{0}+\mathbf{t}r_{n}^{-1}\in\mathbf{\Theta.}$ Then, using $Q_{n} (\mathbf{s})=o(\sqrt{n})$ and the representation \[ \psi_{n}(\mathbf{z};\mathbf{s})=\sqrt{r_{n}q_{n}}[m_{n}(\mathbf{z} ,\mathbf{\theta}_{0}+\mathbf{s}r_{n}^{-1})-m_{n}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta }_{0})]-\frac{1}{\sqrt{n}}Q_{n}(\mathbf{s}), \] we have

align*[align* omitted — 421 chars of source]

and, using $\mathbb{E}[\bar{d}_{n}^{\delta_{n}}(\mathbf{z})^{4}]=o(q_{n} ^{-3}r_{n})$ (for $\delta_{n}=O(r_{n}^{-1})$), \[ \frac{1}{16n}\mathbb{E}[\psi(\mathbf{z};\mathbf{s})^{4}]\leq\frac{r_{n} ^{2}q_{n}^{2}}{n}\mathbb{E}[|m_{n}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta}_{0} +\mathbf{s}r_{n}^{-1})-m_{n}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta}_{0})|^{4}]+\frac {1}{n^{3}}Q_{n}(\mathbf{s})^{4}=o\left( \frac{r_{n}^{3}}{nq_{n}}+\frac{1} {n}\right) =o(1), \] as was to be shown.$\quad\blacksquare$

lemmaSuppose Conditions CRA(iii) and CRA(v) hold. Then $\{\hat{G}_{n}(\mathbf{s}):||\mathbf{s}||\leq K\}$ is stochastically equicontinuous for every $K>0;$ that is, \[ \sup_{\substack{||\mathbf{s-t}||\leq\Delta_{n} \\||\mathbf{s}||,||\mathbf{t} ||\leq K}}|\hat{G}_{n}(\mathbf{s})-\hat{G}_{n}(\mathbf{t})|\rightarrow _{\mathbb{P}}0 \] for any $K>0$ and for any $\Delta_{n}>0$ with $\Delta_{n}=o(1).$

\noindentProof of Lemma (ref). Let $K>0$ be given. As in the proof of \citet*[Lemma 4.6]{Kim-Pollard_1990_AoS} and using the fact that $q_{n}\delta_{n}^{-1}\mathbb{E}[\bar{d}_{n}^{\delta_{n} }(\mathbf{z})^{2}]=O(1)$ (for $\delta_{n}=O(r_{n}^{-1})$), it suffices to show that \[ r_{n}\sup_{\substack{||\mathbf{s-t}||\leq\Delta_{n} \\||\mathbf{s} ||,||\mathbf{t}||\leq K}}\frac{q_{n}}{n}\sum_{i=1}^{n}d_{n}(\mathbf{z} _{i};\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t})^{2}\rightarrow_{\mathbb{P}}0, \] where $d_{n}(\mathbf{z};\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t})=|m_{n}(\mathbf{z} ,\mathbf{\theta}_{0}+\mathbf{s}r_{n}^{-1})-m_{n}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta }_{0}+\mathbf{t}r_{n}^{-1})|/2.$

For any $C>0$ and any $\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t}\in\mathbb{R}^{d}$ with $||\mathbf{s}||,||\mathbf{t}||\leq K,$

align*[align* omitted — 473 chars of source]

and therefore

align*[align* omitted — 801 chars of source]

For large $n,$ the first term on the majorant side can be made arbitrarily small by making $C$ large. Also, for any fixed $C,$ the second term tends to zero because $\Delta_{n}\rightarrow0.$ Finally, \citet*[Theorem 4.2] {Pollard_1989_SS} can be used to show that for fixed $C$ and for large $n,$ the last term is bounded by a constant multiple of \[ r_{n}\sqrt{\frac{\mathbb{E[}\bar{d}_{n}^{Kr_{n}^{-1}}(\mathbf{z})^{2}]}{n} }=\frac{\sqrt{K}}{r_{n}}\sqrt{q_{n}\mathbb{E[}\bar{d}_{n}^{Kr_{n}^{-1} }(\mathbf{z})^{2}/(Kr_{n}^{-1})]}=O\left( \frac{1}{r_{n}}\right) =o(1).\quad\blacksquare \]

The analysis of $\mathbf{\tilde{\theta}}_{n}^{\ast}$ also relies on five lemmas, each of which is a natural bootstrap analog of a lemma used to analyze $\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}.$ The following lemma can be used to show that $\mathbf{\tilde{\theta}}_{n}^{\ast}$ is consistent in the sense that $\mathbf{\tilde{\theta}}_{n}^{\ast}-\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}=o_{\mathbb{P} }(1).$

lemmaSuppose Condition CRA(i) holds and suppose $\mathbf{\tilde{H}}_{n}\rightarrow_{\mathbb{P}}\mathbf{H},$ where $\mathbf{H}$ is symmetric and positive definite. Then $\mathbf{\tilde{\theta} }_{n}^{\ast}-\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}=o_{\mathbb{P}}(1)$ if \[ \tilde{M}_{n}^{\ast}(\mathbf{\tilde{\theta}}_{n}^{\ast})\geq\sup _{\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta}}\tilde{M}_{n}^{\ast}(\mathbf{\theta })-o_{\mathbb{P}}(1). \]

\noindentProof of Lemma (ref). It suffices to show that every $\delta>0$ admits a constant $c_{\delta}^{\ast}>0$ such that

equation[equation omitted — 287 chars of source]

where $\mathbf{\hat{\Theta}}_{n}^{\delta}=\{\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta }:||\mathbf{\theta-\hat{\theta}}_{n}||\leq\delta\}.$ The process $\tilde {M}_{n}^{\ast}$ satisfies \[ \tilde{M}_{n}^{\ast}(\mathbf{\theta})=\hat{M}_{n}^{\ast}(\mathbf{\theta} )-\hat{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})-\frac{1}{2}(\mathbf{\theta}-\mathbf{\hat {\theta}}_{n})^{\prime}\mathbf{\tilde{H}}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta}-\mathbf{\hat {\theta}}_{n}),\qquad\hat{M}_{n}^{\ast}(\mathbf{\theta})=\frac{1}{n}\sum _{i=1}^{n}m_{n}(\mathbf{z}_{i,n}^{\ast},\mathbf{\theta}), \] where it follows from \citet*[Theorem 4.2]{Pollard_1989_SS} that \[ \sup_{\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta}}|\hat{M}_{n}^{\ast}(\mathbf{\theta })-\hat{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})|=O_{\mathbb{P}}\left( \sqrt{\frac {\mathbb{E}[\bar{m}_{n}(\mathbf{z})^{2}]}{n}}\right) =O_{\mathbb{P}}\left( \frac{1}{\sqrt{nq_{n}}}\right) =o_{\mathbb{P}}(1). \] As a consequence, for any $\delta>0,$ \[ \tilde{M}_{n}^{\ast}(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n})-\sup_{\mathbf{\theta} \in\mathbf{\Theta\setminus\hat{\Theta}}_{n}^{\delta}}\tilde{M}_{n}^{\ast }(\mathbf{\theta})=\frac{1}{2}\inf_{\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta \setminus\hat{\Theta}}_{n}^{\delta}}(\mathbf{\theta}-\mathbf{\hat{\theta}} _{n})^{\prime}\mathbf{\tilde{H}}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta}-\mathbf{\hat{\theta}} _{n})+o_{\mathbb{P}}(1), \] so ((ref)) is satisfied with $c_{\delta}^{\ast}=\delta^{2}\lambda_{\min}(\mathbf{H})/4>0.\quad\blacksquare$

Next, because \[ \tilde{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})=\mathbb{E}_{n}^{\ast}[\tilde{M}_{n}^{\ast }(\mathbf{\theta})]=\frac{1}{n}\sum_{i=1}^{n}\tilde{m}_{n}(\mathbf{z} _{i},\mathbf{\theta})=-\frac{1}{2}(\mathbf{\theta}-\mathbf{\hat{\theta}} _{n})^{\prime}\mathbf{\tilde{H}}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta}-\mathbf{\hat{\theta}} _{n}), \] we have the following convergence result about $\tilde{Q}_{n}.$

lemmaSuppose $r_{n}\rightarrow\infty,$ $\mathbf{\tilde{H}}_{n}\rightarrow_{\mathbb{P}}\mathbf{H},$ and suppose $\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}\rightarrow_{\mathbb{P}}\mathbf{\theta}_{0},$ where $\mathbf{\theta}_{0}$ is an interior point of $\mathbf{\Theta.}$ Then $\tilde{Q}_{n}\rightarrow_{\mathbb{P}}\mathcal{Q}$ in the topology of uniform convergence on compacta, where $\mathcal{Q}(\mathbf{s})=-\mathbf{s}^{\prime }\mathbf{Hs}/2;$ that is \[ \sup_{||\mathbf{s}||\leq K}\left\vert \tilde{Q}_{n}(\mathbf{s})-(-\frac{1} {2}\mathbf{s}^{\prime}\mathbf{Hs})\right\vert \rightarrow_{\mathbb{P}}0 \] for any $K>0.$

\noindentProof of Lemma (ref). Uniformly in $\mathbf{s}$ with $||\mathbf{s}||\leq K,$ we have \[ \left\vert \tilde{Q}_{n}(\mathbf{s})-(-\frac{1}{2}\mathbf{s}^{\prime }\mathbf{Hs})\right\vert \leq\frac{1}{2}\left\vert \mathbf{s}^{\prime }(\mathbf{\tilde{H}}_{n}-\mathbf{H})\mathbf{s}\right\vert +\frac{1} {2}\left\vert \mathbf{s}^{\prime}\mathbf{Hs}\right\vert {\rm 1\hspace*{-0.4ex}\rule{0.1ex}{1.52ex}\hspace*{0.2ex}} (\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}+\mathbf{s}r_{n}^{-1}\notin\mathbf{\Theta})\leq K^{2}o_{\mathbb{P}}(1), \] where the last inequality uses $\mathbf{\tilde{H}}_{n}\rightarrow_{\mathbb{P} }\mathbf{H}$ and $\mathbb{P}(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}+\mathbf{s}r_{n} ^{-1}\notin\mathbf{\Theta})\rightarrow0.\quad\blacksquare$

The next lemma can be used to obtain the rate of convergence of $\mathbf{\tilde{\theta}}_{n}^{\ast}.$

lemmaSuppose Condition CRA(iii) holds and suppose $\mathbf{\tilde{H}}_{n}\rightarrow_{\mathbb{P}}\mathbf{H}, $ where $\mathbf{H}$ is symmetric and positive definite. Then $r_{n} (\mathbf{\tilde{\theta}}_{n}^{\ast}-\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n})=O_{\mathbb{P} }(1)$ if $r_{n}(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}-\mathbf{\theta}_{0})=O_{\mathbb{P} }(1),$ $\mathbf{\tilde{\theta}}_{n}^{\ast}-\mathbf{\hat{\theta}} _{n}=o_{\mathbb{P}}(1),$ and if \[ \tilde{M}_{n}^{\ast}(\mathbf{\tilde{\theta}}_{n}^{\ast})\geq\sup _{\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta}}\tilde{M}_{n}^{\ast}(\mathbf{\theta })-o_{\mathbb{P}}(r_{n}^{-2}). \]

\noindentProof of Lemma (ref) . For any $\delta>0$ and any $K\in\mathbb{N},$ $\mathbb{P}[r_{n} ||\mathbf{\tilde{\theta}}_{n}^{\ast}-\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}||>2^{K+1}]$ is no greater than

gather*[gather* omitted — 773 chars of source]

By assumption, the probabilities on the first line go to zero for any $\delta>0$ and the probability on the second line can be made arbitrarily small by making $K$ large. As a consequence, it suffices to show that the sum on the last line can be made arbitrarily small (for large $n$) by making $\delta>0$ small and $K$ large.

To do so, let $\delta>0$ be small enough so that Condition CRA(iii) holds and \[ \frac{1}{2}\inf_{||\mathbf{\bar{H}}-\mathbf{H}||\leq\delta}\lambda_{\min }(\mathbf{\bar{H}}+\mathbf{\bar{H}}^{\prime})>\lambda_{\min}(\mathbf{H}). \] Then, if $||\mathbf{\tilde{H}}_{n}-\mathbf{H}||\leq\delta,$ we have \[ \tilde{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n})-\sup_{2^{j-1}<r_{n}||\mathbf{\theta }-\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}||\leq2^{j}}\tilde{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})-\delta r_{n}^{-2}\geq2^{2j}c_{K}^{\ast}(\delta)r_{n}^{-2} \] for any pair $(j,K)^{\prime}\in\mathbb{N}^{2}$ with $j\geq K,$ where $c_{K}^{\ast}(\delta)=\lambda_{\min}(\mathbf{H})/16-2^{-2K}\delta.$

Choosing $K$ large enough that $c_{K}^{\ast}(\delta)\geq c^{\ast} =\lambda_{\min}(\mathbf{H})/32$ and using the fact that \[ \tilde{M}_{n}^{\ast}(\mathbf{\theta})-\tilde{M}_{n}^{\ast}(\mathbf{\hat {\theta}}_{n})-\tilde{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})+\tilde{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\hat {\theta}}_{n})=\hat{M}_{n}^{\ast}(\mathbf{\theta})-\hat{M}_{n}^{\ast }(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n})-\hat{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})+\hat{M} _{n}(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}), \] we therefore have

align*[align* omitted — 1,552 chars of source]

where the last inequality uses the Markov inequality.

Under Condition CRA(iii), $q_{n}\sup_{0\leq\delta^{\prime}\leq\delta }\mathbb{E}[\bar{d}_{n}^{\delta^{\prime}}(\mathbf{z})^{2}/\delta^{\prime }]=O(1)$ and \citet*[Theorem 4.2]{Pollard_1989_SS} can be used to show that the sum on the last line is bounded by a constant multiple of \[ r_{n}^{2}\sum_{j\geq K,2^{j+1}\leq\delta r_{n}}2^{-2j}\sqrt{\frac {\mathbb{E}[\bar{d}_{n}^{2^{j+1}/r_{n}}(\mathbf{z})^{2}]}{n}}\leq\sqrt {2q_{n}\sup_{0\leq\delta^{\prime}\leq\delta}\mathbb{E}[\bar{d}_{n} ^{\delta^{\prime}}(\mathbf{z})^{2}/\delta^{\prime}]}\sum_{j\geq K}2^{-3j/2}, \] which can be made arbitrarily small by making $K$ large.$\quad\blacksquare$

Finally, the next two lemmas can be combined to show that $\tilde{G}_{n} ^{\ast}\rightsquigarrow_{\mathbb{P}}\mathcal{G}_{0}$ in the topology of uniform convergence on compacta.

lemmaSuppose Conditions CRA(iii)-(iv) hold, $r_{n}(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}-\mathbf{\theta}_{0})=O_{\mathbb{P} }(1),$ and that, for every $K>0,$ $\sup_{||\mathbf{s}||\leq K}|\hat{G} _{n}(\mathbf{s})+Q_{n}(\mathbf{s})|=o_{\mathbb{P}}(\sqrt{n}).$ Then $\tilde {G}_{n}^{\ast}$ converges to $\mathcal{G}_{0}$ in the sense of conditional weak convergence in probability of finite-dimensional projections.

\noindentProof of Lemma (ref). Because $\tilde{G}_{n}^{\ast}(\mathbf{s})=n^{-1/2}\sum_{i=1}^{n}\hat{\psi} _{n}(\mathbf{z}_{i,n}^{\ast};\mathbf{s}),$ where \[ \hat{\psi}_{n}(\mathbf{z;s})=\sqrt{r_{n}q_{n}}[m_{n}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\hat {\theta}}_{n}+\mathbf{s}r_{n}^{-1})-m_{n}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\hat{\theta}} _{n})-\hat{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}+\mathbf{s}r_{n}^{-1})+\hat{M} _{n}(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n})] {\rm 1\hspace*{-0.4ex}\rule{0.1ex}{1.52ex}\hspace*{0.2ex}} (\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}+\mathbf{s}r_{n}^{-1}\in\mathbf{\Theta}), \] the result follows from the Cram\'{e}r-Wold device if \[ \mathbb{E}_{n}^{\ast}[\hat{\psi}_{n}(\mathbf{z}^{\ast};\mathbf{s})\hat{\psi }_{n}(\mathbf{z}^{\ast};\mathbf{t})]=\frac{1}{n}\sum_{i=1}^{n}\hat{\psi} _{n}(\mathbf{z}_{i};\mathbf{s})\hat{\psi}_{n}(\mathbf{z}_{i};\mathbf{t} )\rightarrow_{\mathbb{P}}\mathcal{C}_{0}(\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t})\qquad \forall\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t}\in\mathbb{R}^{d}, \] and if the following Lyapunov condition is satisfied: \[ \frac{1}{n}\mathbb{E}_{n}^{\ast}[\hat{\psi}_{n}(\mathbf{z}^{\ast} ;\mathbf{s})^{4}]=\frac{1}{n^{2}}\sum_{i=1}^{n}\hat{\psi}_{n}(\mathbf{z} _{i};\mathbf{s})^{4}\rightarrow_{\mathbb{P}}0\qquad\forall\mathbf{s} \in\mathbb{R}^{d}. \]

Let $\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t}\in\mathbb{R}^{d}$ be given and suppose without loss of generality that $\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}+\mathbf{s}r_{n}^{-1} ,\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}+\mathbf{t}r_{n}^{-1}\in\mathbf{\Theta.}$ Because $r_{n}(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}-\mathbf{\theta}_{0})=O_{\mathbb{P}}(1),$ we have

align*[align* omitted — 599 chars of source]

and, using $\mathbb{E}[\bar{d}_{n}^{\delta_{n}}(\mathbf{z})^{4}]=o(q_{n} ^{-3}r_{n})$ (for $\delta_{n}=O(r_{n}^{-1})$) and \citet*[Theorem 4.2] {Pollard_1989_SS},

align*[align* omitted — 775 chars of source]

where

align*[align* omitted — 397 chars of source]

Using these facts and the representation \[ \hat{\psi}_{n}(\mathbf{z};\mathbf{s})=\sqrt{r_{n}q_{n}}[m_{n}(\mathbf{z} ,\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}+\mathbf{s}r_{n}^{-1})-m_{n}(\mathbf{z} ,\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n})]-\frac{1}{\sqrt{n}}\hat{Q}_{n}(\mathbf{s}), \] we have

align*[align* omitted — 543 chars of source]

and, using $\mathbb{E}[\bar{d}_{n}^{\delta_{n}}(\mathbf{z})^{4}]=o(q_{n} ^{-3}r_{n})$ (for $\delta_{n}=O(r_{n}^{-1})$),

align*[align* omitted — 507 chars of source]
lemmaSuppose Conditions CRA(iii) and CRA(v) hold and suppose $r_{n}(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}} _{n}-\mathbf{\theta}_{0})=O_{\mathbb{P}}(1).$ Then $\{\tilde{G}_{n}^{\ast }(\mathbf{s}):||\mathbf{s}||\leq K\}$ is stochastically equicontinuous for every $K>0;$ that is, \[ \sup_{\substack{||\mathbf{s-t}||\leq\Delta_{n} \\||\mathbf{s}||,||\mathbf{t} ||\leq K}}|\tilde{G}_{n}^{\ast}(\mathbf{s})-\tilde{G}_{n}^{\ast} (\mathbf{t})|\rightarrow_{\mathbb{P}}0 \] for any $K>0$ and for any $\Delta_{n}>0$ with $\Delta_{n}=o(1).$

\noindentProof of Lemma (ref). Let $K>0$ be given. Proceeding as in the proof of \citet*[Lemma 4.6]{Kim-Pollard_1990_AoS} and using $q_{n}\delta_{n}^{-1}\mathbb{E}[\bar{d}_{n}^{\delta_{n}}(\mathbf{z} )^{2}]=O(1)$ (for $\delta_{n}=O(r_{n}^{-1})$) along with the fact that $r_{n}(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}-\mathbf{\theta}_{0})=O_{\mathbb{P}}(1),$ it suffices to show that, for every finite $k>0,$

align*[align* omitted — 552 chars of source]

where \[ \hat{d}_{n}(\mathbf{z};\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t})=\frac{1}{2}|m_{n}(\mathbf{z} ,\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}+\mathbf{s}r_{n}^{-1})-m_{n}(\mathbf{z} ,\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}+\mathbf{t}r_{n}^{-1})|=d_{n}(\mathbf{z} ;r_{n}(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}-\mathbf{\theta}_{0})+\mathbf{s} ,r_{n}(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}-\mathbf{\theta}_{0})+\mathbf{t}). \]

Let $k>0$ be given. For any $C>0$ and any $\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t}\in \mathbb{R}^{d}$ with $||\mathbf{s}||,||\mathbf{t}||\leq K+k,$

align*[align* omitted — 681 chars of source]

and therefore

align*[align* omitted — 1,212 chars of source]

For large $n,$ the first term on the majorant side can be made arbitrarily small by making $C$ large. Also, for any fixed $C,$ the second term tends to zero because $\Delta_{n}\rightarrow0.$ Finally, \citet*[Theorem 4.2] {Pollard_1989_SS} can be used to show that for fixed $C$ and for large $n,$ each of the last two terms is bounded by a constant multiple of \[ r_{n}\sqrt{\frac{\mathbb{E[}\bar{d}_{n}^{(K+k)r_{n}^{-1}}(\mathbf{z})^{2}]} {n}}=\frac{\sqrt{K+k}}{r_{n}}\sqrt{q_{n}\mathbb{E[}\bar{d}_{n}^{(K+k)r_{n} ^{-1}}(\mathbf{z})^{2}/\{(K+k)r_{n}^{-1}\}]}=O\left( \frac{1}{r_{n}}\right) =o(1).\quad\blacksquare \]

Proof of Lemma 1

Without loss of generality, suppose $r_{n}||\mathbf{\hat{\theta} }-\mathbf{\theta}_{0}||\leq K\ $for some fixed constant $K.$ Defining \[ \check{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}=-\frac{1}{4\epsilon_{n}^{2}}[\hat{M} _{n}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0}+\epsilon_{n}\mathbf{e}_{k}+\epsilon_{n}\mathbf{e} _{l})-\hat{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0}-\epsilon_{n}\mathbf{e}_{k}+\epsilon _{n}\mathbf{e}_{l})-\hat{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0}+\epsilon_{n}\mathbf{e} _{k}-\epsilon_{n}\mathbf{e}_{l})+\hat{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0}-\epsilon _{n}\mathbf{e}_{k}-\epsilon_{n}\mathbf{e}_{l})] \] and \[ \bar{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}(\mathbf{\theta})=-\frac{1}{4\epsilon_{n}^{2} }[M_{n}(\mathbf{\theta}+\epsilon_{n}\mathbf{e}_{k}+\epsilon_{n}\mathbf{e} _{l})-M_{n}(\mathbf{\theta}-\epsilon_{n}\mathbf{e}_{k}+\epsilon_{n} \mathbf{e}_{l})-M_{n}(\mathbf{\theta}+\epsilon_{n}\mathbf{e}_{k}-\epsilon _{n}\mathbf{e}_{l})+M_{n}(\mathbf{\theta}-\epsilon_{n}\mathbf{e}_{k} -\epsilon_{n}\mathbf{e}_{l})], \] we obtain the decomposition \[ \tilde{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}=\check{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}+R_{n,kl} ^{\mathtt{ND}}+S_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}, \] where \[ R_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}=\tilde{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}-\check{H}_{n,kl} ^{\mathtt{ND}}-\bar{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n})+\bar {H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0}),\qquad S_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND} }=\bar{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n})-\bar{H} _{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0}). \] \newline The proof will be completed by showing that $\check{H}_{n,kl} ^{\mathtt{ND}}\rightarrow_{\mathbb{P}}H_{0,kl},$ $R_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND} }=o_{\mathbb{P}}(1),$ and $S_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}=o_{\mathbb{P}}(1).$

First, using ((ref)) and the fact that $\dot {C}_{n}=o(r_{n}^{-1})$ and $\ddot{C}_{n}=o(1)$ under Condition CRA(ii), we have \[ M_{n}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0}+\epsilon_{n}\mathbf{e}_{k}+\epsilon_{n} \mathbf{e}_{l})-M_{n}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0})=-\epsilon_{n}^{2}\frac{1} {2}(\mathbf{e}_{k}+\mathbf{e}_{l})^{\prime}\mathbf{H}_{n}(\mathbf{e} _{k}+\mathbf{e}_{l})+o\left( \frac{\epsilon_{n}}{r_{n}}+\epsilon_{n} ^{2}\right) , \] implying in particular that \[ \bar{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0})=H_{n,kl}+o\left( \frac {1}{r_{n}\epsilon_{n}}+1\right) , \] where, using $\mathbf{H}_{n}\rightarrow\mathbf{H}_{0},$ \[ H_{n,kl}=\mathbf{e}_{k}^{\prime}\mathbf{H}_{n}\mathbf{e}_{l}\rightarrow \mathbf{e}_{k}^{\prime}\mathbf{H}_{0}\mathbf{e}_{l}=H_{0,kl}. \] Moreover, $\check{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}-\bar{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND} }(\mathbf{\theta}_{0})$ is $o_{\mathbb{P}}(1)$ because it has mean zero and its variance is bounded by a constant multiple of \[ \frac{\mathbb{E}[\bar{d}_{n}^{2\epsilon_{n}}(\mathbf{z})^{2}]}{n\epsilon _{n}^{4}}=O\left( \frac{1}{nq_{n}\epsilon_{n}^{3}}\right) =O\left( \frac {1}{r_{n}^{3}\epsilon_{n}^{3}}\right) =o(1). \] As a consequence, $\check{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}\rightarrow_{\mathbb{P} }H_{0,kl}.$

Next, to show that $R_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}=o_{\mathbb{P}}(1)$ it suffices to show that \[ \frac{1}{\epsilon_{n}^{2}}\sup_{|\mathbf{\theta}-\mathbf{\theta}_{0}|\leq Kr_{n}^{-1}+2\epsilon_{n}}|\hat{M}_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})-\hat{M}_{n} (\mathbf{\theta}_{0})-M_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})+M_{n}(\mathbf{\theta} _{0})|=o_{\mathbb{P}}(1). \] The displayed result holds because it follows from \citet*[Theorem 4.2]{Pollard_1989_SS} that

align*[align* omitted — 452 chars of source]

Finally, making repeated use of ((ref)) and the fact that $r_{n}||\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}-\mathbf{\theta}_{0}||\leq K,$ we have \[ S_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}=o_{\mathbb{P}}\left( \frac{1}{r_{n}^{2}\epsilon _{n}^{2}}+1\right) =o_{\mathbb{P}}(1). \]

Proof of Lemma 2

Letting $\check{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}},$ $R_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}},$ and $S_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}$ be defined as in the proof of Lemma 1, we have $R_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}=o_{\mathbb{P}}(1/\sqrt{r_{n}^{3}\epsilon_{n}^{3}})$ because \citet*[Theorem 4.2]{Pollard_1989_SS} can be used to show that for any $K>0$ and for any $\Delta_{n}>0$ with $\Delta_{n}=o(1),$

align*[align* omitted — 576 chars of source]

Also, Taylor's theorem can be used to show that \[ S_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}=-\{\frac{\partial}{\partial\mathbf{\theta}}\ddot {M}_{n,kl}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0})\mathbf{\}}^{\prime}(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}} _{n}-\mathbf{\theta}_{0})+o_{\mathbb{P}}(\epsilon_{n}^{2}). \] As a consequence, $\tilde{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}-\check{H}_{n,kl} ^{\mathtt{ND}}=o_{\mathbb{P}}(\epsilon_{n}^{2}+1/\sqrt{r_{n}^{3}\epsilon _{n}^{3}})+O_{\mathbb{P}}(1/r_{n}),$ where the $O_{\mathbb{P}}(1/r_{n})$ term \[ -\{\frac{\partial}{\partial\mathbf{\theta}}\ddot{M}_{n,kl}(\mathbf{\theta} _{0})\mathbf{\}}^{\prime}(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}-\mathbf{\theta}_{0}) \] does not depend on $\epsilon_{n}.$

Next, we approximate the moments of $\check{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}.$ First, using Taylor's theorem, it can be shown that \[ \mathbb{E}[\check{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}]-H_{n,kl}=-\epsilon_{n} ^{2}\mathsf{B}_{n,kl}+o(\epsilon_{n}^{2}), \] where \[ \mathsf{B}_{n,kl}=-\frac{1}{6}\left[ \frac{\partial^{2}}{\partial\theta _{k}^{2}}\ddot{M}_{n,kl}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0})+\frac{\partial^{2}} {\partial\theta_{l}^{2}}\ddot{M}_{n,kl}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0})\right] \rightarrow-\frac{1}{6}\left[ \frac{\partial^{2}}{\partial\theta_{k}^{2} }\ddot{M}_{0,kl}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0})+\frac{\partial^{2}}{\partial\theta _{l}^{2}}\ddot{M}_{0,kl}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0})\right] =\mathsf{B}_{kl}. \] Finally, to obtain an expression for the variance of $\check{H}_{n,kl} ^{\mathtt{ND}},$ let $m_{n,kl}^{\Delta}(\mathbf{z})$ denote \[ m_{n}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta}_{0}+\epsilon_{n}\mathbf{e}_{k}+\epsilon _{n}\mathbf{e}_{l})-m_{n}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta}_{0}+\epsilon _{n}\mathbf{e}_{k}-\epsilon_{n}\mathbf{e}_{l})-m_{n}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta }_{0}-\epsilon_{n}\mathbf{e}_{k}+\epsilon_{n}\mathbf{e}_{l})+m_{n} (\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta}_{0}-\epsilon_{n}\mathbf{e}_{k}-\epsilon _{n}\mathbf{e}_{l}). \] Because \[ \check{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}=-\frac{1}{4n\epsilon_{n}^{2}}\sum_{i=1} ^{n}m_{n,kl}^{\Delta}(\mathbf{z}_{i}), \] we have \[ \mathbb{V}[\check{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}]=\frac{1}{16n\epsilon_{n}^{4} }\mathbb{V}[m_{n,kl}^{\Delta}(\mathbf{z})]=\frac{1}{16n\epsilon_{n}^{4} }\mathbb{E}[m_{n,kl}^{\Delta}(\mathbf{z})^{2}]+O\left( \frac{1}{n}\right) . \] Also, by condition CRA(iv), \[ \frac{q_{n}}{\epsilon_{n}}\mathbb{E}[\{m_{n}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta} _{0}+\mathbf{s}\epsilon_{n})-m_{n}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta}_{0} )\}\{m_{n}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta}_{0}+\mathbf{t}\epsilon_{n} )-m_{n}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta}_{0})\}]\rightarrow\mathcal{C} _{0}(\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t}). \] Therefore, \[ \mathbb{V}[\check{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}]=\frac{1}{r_{n}^{3}\epsilon_{n}^{3} }[\mathsf{V}_{n,kl}+o(1)]+O\left( \frac{1}{n}\right) =\frac{1}{r_{n} ^{3}\epsilon_{n}^{3}}\mathsf{V}_{kl}+o\left( \frac{1}{r_{n}^{3}\epsilon _{n}^{3}}\right) , \] where, using $\mathcal{C}_{0}(\mathbf{s},-\mathbf{s})=0$ and $\mathcal{C} _{0}(\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t})=\mathcal{C}_{0}(-\mathbf{s},-\mathbf{t}),$

align*[align* omitted — 477 chars of source]

The Benchmark Case

The remainder of the supplemental appendix verifies Condition CRA for the four examples in the paper. In three of those examples (namely, maximum score, panel maximum score, and empirical risk minimization), the function $m_{n}$ does not depend on $n.$ To state a simplified version of Condition CRA applicable in such cases, let the function $m_{n}$ be denoted by $m_{0}$ and for any $\delta>0,$ define \[ \bar{m}_{0}(\mathbf{z})=\sup_{m\in\mathcal{M}_{0}}|m(\mathbf{z})|,\qquad \mathcal{M}_{0}=\{m_{0}(\cdot,\mathbf{\theta}):\mathbf{\theta}\in \mathbf{\Theta}\}, \] and \[ \bar{d}_{0}^{\delta}(\mathbf{z})=\sup_{d\in\mathcal{D}_{0}^{\delta} }|d(\mathbf{z})|,\qquad\mathcal{D}_{0}^{\delta}=\{m_{0}(\cdot,\mathbf{\theta })-m_{0}(\cdot,\mathbf{\theta}_{0}):\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta} _{0}^{\delta}\}. \]

description• The following are satisfied:\newline(i) $\mathcal{M}_{0}$ is manageable for the envelope $\bar{m}_{0}$ and $\mathbb{E}[\bar{m}_{0}(\mathbf{z})^{2}]<\infty .$\newline Also, for every $\delta>0,$ $\sup_{\mathbf{\theta}\in \mathbf{\Theta}\backslash\mathbf{\Theta}_{0}^{\delta}}M_{0}(\mathbf{\theta })<M_{0}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0}).$\newline(ii) $\mathbf{\theta}_{0}$ is an interior point of $\mathbf{\Theta}$ and, for some $\delta>0,$ $M_{0}$ is twice continuously differentiable on $\mathbf{\Theta}_{0}^{\delta}.$ Also, $\mathbf{H}_{0}=-\partial^{2}M_{0}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0})/\partial \mathbf{\theta}\partial\mathbf{\theta}^{\prime}$ is positive definite.\newline (iii) For some $\delta>0,$ $\{\mathcal{D}_{0}^{\delta^{\prime}}:0<\delta ^{\prime}\leq\delta\}$ is uniformly manageable for the envelopes $\bar{d} _{0}^{\delta^{\prime}}$ and $\sup_{0<\delta^{\prime}\leq\delta}\mathbb{E} [\bar{d}_{0}^{\delta^{\prime}}(\mathbf{z})^{2}/\delta^{\prime}]<\infty .$\newline(iv) For every $\delta_{n}>0$ with $\delta_{n}=O(n^{-1/3}),$ $n^{-1/3}\mathbb{E}[\bar{d}_{0}^{\delta_{n}}(\mathbf{z})^{4}]=o(1)$ and, for all $\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t}\in\mathbb{R}^{d}$ and for some $\mathcal{C}_{0}$ with $\mathcal{C}_{0}(\mathbf{s},\mathbf{s})+\mathcal{C}_{0}(\mathbf{t} ,\mathbf{t})-2\mathcal{C}_{0}(\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t})>0$ for $\mathbf{s\neq t,}$ \[ \sup_{\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta}_{0}^{\delta_{n}}}\left\vert \frac {1}{\delta_{n}}\mathbb{E}[\{m_{0}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta}+\delta _{n}\mathbf{s})-m_{0}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta})\}\{m_{0}(\mathbf{z} ,\mathbf{\theta}+\delta_{n}\mathbf{t})-m_{0}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta })\}]-\mathcal{C}_{0}(\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t})\right\vert =o(1). \] \newline(v) For every $\delta_{n}>0$ with $\delta_{n}=O(n^{-1/3}),$ \[ \lim_{C\rightarrow\infty}\underset{n\rightarrow\infty}{\lim\sup}\sup _{0<\delta\leq\delta_{n}}\mathbb{E}[ {\rm 1\hspace*{-0.4ex}\rule{0.1ex}{1.52ex}\hspace*{0.2ex}} (\bar{d}_{0}^{\delta}(\mathbf{z})>C)\bar{d}_{0}^{\delta}(\mathbf{z} )^{2}/\delta]=0 \] and $\sup_{\mathbf{\theta,\theta}^{\prime}\in\mathbf{\Theta}_{0}^{\delta_{n}} }\mathbb{E}[|m_{0}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta})-m_{0}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta }^{\prime})|]/||\mathbf{\theta-\theta}^{\prime}||=O(1).$
lemmaIf Condition CRA$_{0}$ is satisfied, then Condition CRA is satisfied with $q_{n}=1.$

Example: Maximum Score

To state sufficient conditions for Condition CRA$_{0}$ in this example, let $F_{a|\mathbf{b}}$ denote the conditional distribution function of $a$ given $\mathbf{b}.$

description• For some $\delta>0,$ $S_{F}\geq1,$ and $S_{M}\geq2,$ the following are satisfied:\newline(i) $0<\mathbb{P}(y=1|\mathbf{x})<1$ almost surely and $F_{u|x_{1},\mathbf{x}_{2}}(u|x_{1},\mathbf{x}_{2})$ is $S_{F}$ times continuously differentiable in $u$ and $x_{1}$ with bounded derivatives.\newline(ii) The support of $\mathbf{x}$ is not contained in any proper linear subspace of $\mathbb{R}^{d+1},$ $\mathbb{E}[\Vert\mathbf{x} _{2}\Vert^{2}]<\infty,$ and conditional on $\mathbf{x}_{2},$ $x_{1}$ has everywhere positive Lebesgue density. Also, $F_{x_{1}|\mathbf{x}_{2}} (x_{1}|\mathbf{x}_{2})$ is $S_{F}$ times continuously differentiable in $x_{1}$ with bounded derivatives.\newline(iii) $\boldsymbol{\Theta}$ is compact and $\mathbf{\theta}_{0}$ is an interior point of $\boldsymbol{\Theta }$.\newline(iv) $M^{\mathtt{MS}}(\mathbf{\theta})=\mathbb{E}[m^{\mathtt{MS} }(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta})]\ $is $S_{M}$ times continuously differentiable in $\mathbf{\theta}$ on $\mathbf{\Theta}_{0}^{\delta}$ and \[ \mathbf{H}^{\mathtt{MS}}=2\mathbb{E}[f_{u|x_{1},\mathbf{x}_{2}}(0|-\mathbf{x} _{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta}_{0},\mathbf{x}_{2})f_{x_{1}|\mathbf{x}_{2} }(-\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta}_{0}|\mathbf{x}_{2})\mathbf{x} _{2}\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}] \] is positive definite.
CorollaryMSSuppose Condition MS is satisfied. Then Condition CRA is satisfied with $q_{n}=1,$ $\mathbf{H}_{0}=\mathbf{H}^{\mathtt{MS}},$ and $\mathcal{C}_{0}=\mathcal{C}^{\mathtt{MS}},$ where \[ \mathcal{C}^{\mathtt{MS}}(\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t})=\mathbb{E}[f_{x_{1} |\mathbf{x}_{2}}(-\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta}_{0}|\mathbf{x} _{2})\min\{|\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{s}|,|\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime }\mathbf{t}|\} {\rm 1\hspace*{-0.4ex}\rule{0.1ex}{1.52ex}\hspace*{0.2ex}} (\operatorname*{sgn}(\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{s})=\operatorname*{sgn} (\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{t}))]. \]

Alternative representations of $\mathbf{H}^{\mathtt{MS}}$ and $\mathcal{C} ^{\mathtt{MS}}$ are available. In particular, defining

align*[align* omitted — 442 chars of source]

and

align*[align* omitted — 308 chars of source]

we have \[ \mathbf{H}^{\mathtt{MS}}=\mathbb{E}[\eta^{\mathtt{MS}}(\mathbf{x} _{2})\mathbf{x}_{2}\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}] \] and \[ \mathcal{C}^{\mathtt{MS}}(\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t})=\mathbb{E[}\psi^{\mathtt{MS} }(\mathbf{x}_{2})\min\{|\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{s}|,|\mathbf{x} _{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{t}|\} {\rm 1\hspace*{-0.4ex}\rule{0.1ex}{1.52ex}\hspace*{0.2ex}} (\operatorname*{sgn}(\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{s})=\operatorname*{sgn} (\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{t}))]. \] Similar representations will be obtained for the other two maximum score examples.

As an estimator of $\mathbf{H}^{\mathtt{MS}},$ the generic numerical derivative estimator can be used directly. Another option is to employ a \textquotedblleft plug-in\textquotedblright\ estimator, where the conditional densities are replaced by nonparametric estimators thereof. As a third alternative, consider the example-specific construction $\mathbf{\tilde{H} }_{n}^{\mathtt{MS}}$ discussed in the paper. To obtain results for that estimator, we impose some standard conditions on the (derivative of the) kernel function.

description• The following are satisfied:\newline(i) $\int_{\mathbb{R} }\dot{K}(u)^{2}du+\int_{\mathbb{R}}(1+|u|^{3})|\dot{K}(u)|du<\infty.$ \newline(ii) $\int_{\mathbb{R}}\dot{K}(u)du=0,$ $\int_{\mathbb{R}}u\dot {K}(u)du=-1,$ and $\int_{\mathbb{R}}u^{2}\dot{K}(u)du=0.$\newline(iii) $\int_{\mathbb{R}}\bar{K}(u)^{2}du<\infty,$ where $\bar{K}(u)=\sup_{v\neq u}|\dot{K}(v)-\dot{K}(u)|/|v-u|.$

Under Condition K, $\mathbf{\tilde{H}}_{n}^{\mathtt{MS}}$ admits counterparts of Lemmas 1 and 2 in the paper. To state these, we let $\tilde{H} _{n,kl}^{\mathtt{MS}}$ and $H_{kl}^{\mathtt{MS}}$ denote element $(k,l)$ of $\mathbf{\tilde{H}}_{n}^{\mathtt{MS}}$ and $\mathbf{H}^{\mathtt{MS}},$ respectively, and define \[ \mathsf{B}_{kl}=\mathbb{E}[\{F_{0}^{(1,3)}(\mathbf{x}_{2})+F_{0} ^{(2,2)}(\mathbf{x}_{2})+F_{0}^{(3,1)}(\mathbf{x}_{2})/3\}x_{2,k}x_{2,l} ]\int_{\mathbb{R}}u^{3}\dot{K}(u)du \] and \[ \mathsf{V}_{kl}=2\mathbb{E}[F_{0}^{(0,1)}(\mathbf{x}_{2})x_{2,k}^{2} x_{2,l}^{2}]\int_{\mathbb{R}}\dot{K}(u)^{2}du, \] where $x_{2,k}=\mathbf{e}_{k}^{\prime}\mathbf{x}_{2}$ and \[ F_{0}^{(i,j)}(\mathbf{x}_{2})=\left. \frac{\partial^{i}}{\partial u^{i} }F_{u|x_{1},\mathbf{x}_{2}}(-u|x_{1}+u,\mathbf{x}_{2})\frac{\partial^{j} }{\partial x_{1}^{j}}F_{x_{1}|\mathbf{x}_{2}}(x_{1}|\mathbf{x}_{2})\right\vert _{u=0,x_{1}=-\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta}_{0}}. \]

LemmaMSSuppose Conditions MS and K hold.\newline(i) If $h_{n}\rightarrow0,$ $nh_{n}^{3}\rightarrow\infty,$ and if $\mathbb{E} [\Vert\mathbf{x}_{2}\Vert^{6}]<\infty,$ then $\mathbf{\tilde{H}} _{n}^{\mathtt{MS}}\rightarrow_{\mathbb{P}}\mathbf{H}^{\mathtt{MS}}.$ \newline(ii) If also $S_{F}\geq3$ and $S_{M}\geq4,$ then $\tilde{H} _{n,kl}^{\mathtt{MS}}$ admits an approximation $\check{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{MS} }$ satisfying \[ \tilde{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{MS}}=\check{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{MS}}+o_{\mathbb{P} }\left( h_{n}^{2}+\frac{1}{\sqrt{nh_{n}^{3}}}\right) +O_{\mathbb{P}}\left( \frac{1}{\sqrt[3]{n}}\right) \] where the $O_{\mathbb{P}}(1/\sqrt[3]{n})$ term does not depend on $h_{n},$ and where \[ \mathbb{E}[(\check{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{MS}}-H_{kl}^{\mathtt{MS}})^{2} ]=h_{n}^{4}\mathsf{B}_{kl}^{2}+\frac{1}{nh_{n}^{3}}\mathsf{V}_{kl}+o\left( h_{n}^{4}+\frac{1}{nh_{n}^{3}}\right) . \]

Proof of Corollary (ref)

By Lemma (ref), it suffices to verify that Condition CRA$_{0}$ is satisfied.

Condition CRA$_{0}$(i). The manageability assumption can be verified using the same argument as in \citet*{Kim-Pollard_1990_AoS}. Note that the function $|m^{\mathtt{MS}}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta})|$ is bounded by unity in this example, and thus finite second moment condition holds. It is easy to show that $\mathbf{\theta}_{0}$ uniquely maximizes $M_{0} (\mathbf{\theta})$ over the parameter set. Well-separatedness follows from unique maximum, compactness of the parameter space, and continuity of the function $M_{0}(\mathbf{\theta}).$

Condition CRA$_{0}$(ii). Conditions MS(iii)-(iv) imply this condition with $\mathbf{H}_{0}=\mathbf{H}^{\mathtt{MS}}.$

Condition CRA$_{0}$(iii). Uniform manageability can be verified using the same argument as in \citet*{Kim-Pollard_1990_AoS}. Note $d_{0} ^{\delta}(\mathbf{z})=\sup_{\Vert\mathbf{\theta}-\mathbf{\theta}_{0}\Vert \leq\delta}| {\rm 1\hspace*{-0.4ex}\rule{0.1ex}{1.52ex}\hspace*{0.2ex}} (x_{1}+\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta}\geq0)- {\rm 1\hspace*{-0.4ex}\rule{0.1ex}{1.52ex}\hspace*{0.2ex}} (x_{1}+\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta}_{0}\geq0)|.$ The condition $\sup_{0<\delta^{\prime}\leq\delta}\mathbb{E}[\bar{d}_{0}^{\delta^{\prime} }(\mathbf{z})]/\delta^{\prime}<\infty$ is verified in \citet*{Abrevaya-Huang_2005_ECMA}.

Condition CRA$_{0}$(iv). Since $d_{0}^{\delta}(\mathbf{z} )^{4}=d_{0}^{\delta}(\mathbf{z}),$ $\mathbb{E}[d_{0}^{\delta_{n}} (\mathbf{z})^{4}]=O(\delta_{n}),$ which implies the first condition. Also, \[ \mathcal{C}^{\mathtt{MS}}(\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t})=\mathbb{E}[f_{x_{1} |\mathbf{x}_{2}}(-\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta}_{0}|\mathbf{x} _{2})\min\{|\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{s}|,|\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime }\mathbf{t}|\} {\rm 1\hspace*{-0.4ex}\rule{0.1ex}{1.52ex}\hspace*{0.2ex}} (\operatorname*{sgn}(\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{s})=\operatorname*{sgn} (\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{t}))] \] satisfies $\mathcal{C}^{\mathtt{MS}}(\mathbf{s},\mathbf{s})+\mathcal{C} ^{\mathtt{MS}}(\mathbf{t},\mathbf{t})-2\mathcal{C}^{\mathtt{MS}} (\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t})>0$ for $\mathbf{s}\neq\mathbf{t.}$ Finally, $\mathcal{C}^{\mathtt{MS}}$ admits the representation \[ \mathcal{C}^{\mathtt{MS}}(\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t})=\frac{1}{2}[\mathcal{B} ^{\mathtt{MS}}(\mathbf{s})+\mathcal{B}^{\mathtt{MS}}(\mathbf{t})-\mathcal{B} ^{\mathtt{MS}}(\mathbf{s}-\mathbf{t})],\qquad\mathcal{B}^{\mathtt{MS} }(\mathbf{s})=\mathbb{E}\left[ f_{x_{1}|\mathbf{x}_{2}}(-\mathbf{x} _{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta}_{0}|\mathbf{x}_{2})|\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime }\mathbf{s}|\right] . \] Using this representation and the fact that $2xy=x^{2}+y^{2}-(x-y)^{2},$ the displayed part of Condition CRA$_{0}$(iv) can be verified with $\mathcal{C} _{0}=\mathcal{C}^{\mathtt{MS}}$ by showing that for $\delta_{n}=O(n^{-1/3}), $ \[ \sup_{\mathbf{\theta}\in\boldsymbol{\Theta}_{0}^{\delta_{n}}}\left\vert \frac{1}{\delta_{n}}\mathbb{E}|m^{\mathtt{MS}}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta }+\delta_{n}\mathbf{s})-m^{\mathtt{MS}}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta}+\delta _{n}\mathbf{t})|^{2}-\mathcal{B}^{\mathtt{MS}}(\mathbf{s}-\mathbf{t} )\right\vert =o(1). \] Defining $\mathbf{\theta}_{\mathbf{s},n}=\mathbf{\theta}+\delta_{n}\mathbf{s}$ and $\mathbf{\theta}_{\mathbf{t},n}=\mathbf{\theta}+\delta_{n}\mathbf{t,}$ we have, uniformly in $\mathbf{\theta}\in\boldsymbol{\Theta}_{0}^{\delta_{n}},$

align*[align* omitted — 2,183 chars of source]

from which the desired result follows.

Condition CRA$_{0}$(v). The first part easily follows from $\bar{d}_{0}^{\delta}(\mathbf{z})\leq1,$ while the second part follows from the verification of Condition CRA$_{0}$(iv).

Proof of Lemma (ref)

Part (i) [Consistency]

Defining \[ \mathbf{\check{H}}_{n}^{\mathtt{MS}}=-\frac{1}{n}\sum_{i=1}^{n}(2y_{i} -1)\dot{K}_{n}(x_{1i}+\mathbf{x}_{2i}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta}_{0} )\mathbf{x}_{2i}\mathbf{x}_{2i}^{\prime},\qquad\mathbf{\bar{H}}_{n} ^{\mathtt{MS}}(\mathbf{\theta})=-\mathbb{E}[(2y-1)\dot{K}_{n}(x_{1} +\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta})\mathbf{x}_{2}\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime }], \] we obtain the decomposition \[ \mathbf{\tilde{H}}_{n}^{\mathtt{MS}}=\mathbf{\check{H}}_{n}^{\mathtt{MS} }+\mathbf{R}_{n}^{\mathtt{MS}}+\mathbf{S}_{n}^{\mathtt{MS}}, \] where \[ \mathbf{R}_{n}^{\mathtt{MS}}=\mathbf{\tilde{H}}_{n}^{\mathtt{MS} }-\mathbf{\check{H}}_{n}^{\mathtt{MS}}-\mathbf{\bar{H}}_{n}^{\mathtt{MS} }(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}^{\mathtt{MS}})+\mathbf{\bar{H}}_{n}^{\mathtt{MS} }(\mathbf{\theta}_{0}),\qquad\mathbf{S}_{n}^{\mathtt{MS}}=\mathbf{\bar{H}} _{n}^{\mathtt{MS}}(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}^{\mathtt{MS}})-\mathbf{\bar{H} }_{n}^{\mathtt{MS}}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0}). \] \newline The proof will be completed by showing that $\mathbf{\check{H}} _{n}^{\mathtt{MS}}\rightarrow_{\mathbb{P}}\mathbf{H}^{\mathtt{MS}} ,\mathbf{R}_{n}^{\mathtt{MS}}=o_{\mathbb{P}}(1),$ and $\mathbf{S} _{n}^{\mathtt{MS}}=o_{\mathbb{P}}(1).$

First, using the dominated convergence theorem and $\int_{\mathbb{R}}u\dot {K}(u)du=-1,$ we have

align*[align* omitted — 904 chars of source]

Moreover, $\mathbf{\check{H}}_{n}^{\mathtt{MS}}-\mathbf{\bar{H}} _{n}^{\mathtt{MS}}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0})=o_{\mathbb{P}}(1)$ because each element has mean zero and a variance that is bounded by a constant multiple of \[ \frac{\mathbb{E}[\dot{K}_{n}(x_{1}+\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta} _{0})^{2}]}{n}=O\left( \frac{1}{nh_{n}^{3}}\right) =o(1). \] As a consequence, $\mathbf{\check{H}}_{n}^{\mathtt{MS}}\rightarrow _{\mathbb{P}}\mathbf{H}^{\mathtt{MS}}.$

Next, $\mathbf{R}_{n}^{\mathtt{MS}}=o_{\mathbb{P}}(1/\sqrt{nh_{n}^{3} })=o_{\mathbb{P}}(1)$ follows from \citet*[Theorem 4.2]{Pollard_1989_SS} if it can be shown that, for every $C>0,$ \[ h_{n}^{3}\mathbb{E}\left[ \sup_{||\mathbf{\theta}-\mathbf{\theta}_{0}||\leq Cn^{-1/3}}|\dot{K}_{n}(x_{1}+\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta})-\dot {K}_{n}(x_{1}+\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta}_{0})|^{2}\Vert \mathbf{x}_{2}\Vert^{4}\right] =o(1). \] Defining $\bar{K}_{n}(u)=\bar{K}(u/h_{n})/h_{n},$ we have, by Condition K(iii), \[ \sup_{||\mathbf{\theta}-\mathbf{\theta}_{0}||\leq Cn^{-1/3}}|\dot{K}_{n} (x_{1}+\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta})-\dot{K}_{n}(x_{1} +\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta}_{0})|\leq\frac{C}{n^{1/3}h_{n}^{2} }\bar{K}_{n}(x_{1}+\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta}_{0})\Vert \mathbf{x}_{2}\Vert, \] and therefore, using $nh_{n}^{3}\rightarrow\infty,$

align*[align* omitted — 457 chars of source]

Finally, defining

align*[align* omitted — 605 chars of source]

we have

align*[align* omitted — 618 chars of source]

for any $C>0,$ where the last line uses the dominated convergence theorem.

Part (ii) [Approximate MSE]

It was shown in the proof of part (i) that $R_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{MS} }=o_{\mathbb{P}}(1/\sqrt{nh_{n}^{3}}).$ Also, Taylor's theorem and Condition K(ii) can be used to show that for any $C>0,$ we have, uniformly in $||\mathbf{\delta}_{n}||\leq C/\sqrt[3]{n},$

align*[align* omitted — 470 chars of source]

implying in particular that \[ S_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{MS}}=\{4\mathbb{E}[F_{0}^{(1,2)}(\mathbf{x}_{2} )x_{2,k}x_{2,l}\mathbf{x}_{2}]+2\mathbb{E}[F_{0}^{(2,1)}(\mathbf{x} _{2})x_{2,k}x_{2,l}\mathbf{x}_{2}]\}^{\prime}(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}} _{n}-\mathbf{\theta}_{0})+o_{\mathbb{P}}(h_{n}^{2}). \] As a consequence, $\tilde{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{ND}}-\check{H}_{n,kl} ^{\mathtt{ND}}=o_{\mathbb{P}}(h_{n}^{2}+1/\sqrt{nh_{n}^{3}})+O_{\mathbb{P} }(1/\sqrt[3]{n}),$ where the $O_{\mathbb{P}}(1/\sqrt[3]{n})$ term \[ \{4\mathbb{E}[F_{0}^{(1,2)}(\mathbf{x}_{2})x_{2,k}x_{2,l}\mathbf{x} _{2}]+2\mathbb{E}[F_{0}^{(2,1)}(\mathbf{x}_{2})x_{2,k}x_{2,l}\mathbf{x} _{2}]\}^{\prime}(\mathbf{\hat{\theta}}_{n}-\mathbf{\theta}_{0}) \] does not depend on $h_{n}.$

Next, we approximate the moments of $\check{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{MS}}.$ By the previous paragraph, \[ \mathbb{E}[\check{H}_{n,kl}^{\mathtt{MS}}]-H_{kl}^{\mathtt{MS}}=\bar{H} _{n,kl}^{\mathtt{MS}}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0})-H_{kl}^{\mathtt{MS}}=h_{n} ^{2}\mathsf{B}_{kl}+o(\epsilon_{n}^{2}), \] where \[ \mathsf{B}_{kl}=\mathbb{E}[\{F_{0}^{(1,3)}(\mathbf{x}_{2})+F_{0} ^{(2,2)}(\mathbf{x}_{2})+F_{0}^{(3,1)}(\mathbf{x}_{2})/3\}x_{2,k}x_{2,l} ]\int_{\mathbb{R}}u^{3}\dot{K}(u)du. \] Also,

align*[align* omitted — 494 chars of source]

where

align*[align* omitted — 428 chars of source]

Rule-of-Thumb Bandwidth Selection

We provide details on the rule-of-thumb (ROT) bandwidth selection rules used in the simulations reported below. To construct ROT bandwidths, we choose a reference model involving finite dimensional parameters and calculate/approximate the corresponding leading constants entering the approximate MSE of $\mathbf{\tilde{H}}_{n}^{\mathtt{MS}}$ and $\mathbf{\tilde {H}}_{n}^{\mathtt{ND}}.$

Specifically, we assume $u|\mathbf{x}\thicksim\mathcal{N}(0,\sigma_{u} ^{2}(\mathbf{x}))$ and $x_{1}|\mathbf{x}_{2}\thicksim\mathcal{N}(\mu _{1},\sigma_{1}^{2}),\,$where we will specify some parametric specification on $\sigma_{u}^{2}(\mathbf{x})=\sigma_{u}^{2}(x_{1},\mathbf{x}_{2}).$ Then, in this reference model, $F_{0}^{(2,2)}(\mathbf{x}_{2})=0,$ \[ F_{0}^{(1,3)}(\mathbf{x}_{2})=-\frac{\phi(0)}{\sigma_{u}(-\mathbf{x} _{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta}_{0},\mathbf{x}_{2})\sigma_{1}^{3}}\phi\left( \frac{\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta}_{0}+\mu_{1}}{\sigma_{1}}\right) \left[ \left( \frac{\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta}_{0}+\mu_{1} }{\sigma_{1}}\right) ^{2}-1\right] , \] and \[ F_{0}^{(3,1)}(\mathbf{x}_{2})=\left. \frac{\phi(0)}{\sigma_{u}^{3} (\mathbf{x})\sigma_{1}}\phi\left( \frac{\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime} \mathbf{\theta}_{0}+\mu_{1}}{\sigma_{1}}\right) [1-\ddot{\sigma} _{u}(\mathbf{x})\sigma_{u}(\mathbf{x})+2\dot{\sigma}_{u}(\mathbf{x} )^{2}]\right\vert _{x_{1}=-\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta}_{0}}, \] where $\phi$ is the standard normal density and where $\dot{\sigma} _{u}(\mathbf{x})=\partial\sigma_{u}(\mathbf{x})/\partial x_{1}$ and $\ddot{\sigma}_{u}(\mathbf{x})=\partial^{2}\sigma_{u}(\mathbf{x})/\partial x_{1}^{2}.$

Plug-in Estimator $\mathbf{\tilde{H}}_{n}^{\mathtt{MS}}$

Given our reference model, natural estimators of the bias constants \[ \mathsf{B}_{kl}=\mathbb{E}[\{F_{0}^{(1,3)}(\mathbf{x}_{2})+F_{0} ^{(3,1)}(\mathbf{x}_{2})/3\}x_{2,k}x_{2,l}]\int_{\mathbb{R}}u^{3}\dot{K}(u)du \] are \[ \left[ \frac{1}{n}\sum_{i=1}^{n}\{\hat{F}_{n}^{(1,3)}(\mathbf{x}_{2i} )+\hat{F}_{n}^{(3,1)}(\mathbf{x}_{2i})/3\}\mathbf{e}_{k}^{\prime} \mathbf{x}_{2i}\mathbf{e}_{l}^{\prime}\mathbf{x}_{2i}\right] \int _{\mathbb{R}}u^{3}\dot{K}(u)du, \] where $\hat{F}_{n}^{(1,3)}$ and $\hat{F}_{n}^{(3,1)}$ are constructed using maximum likelihood for the parametric reference model (i.e., heteroskedastic Probit) together with a flexible parametric specification $\sigma_{u} ^{2}(\mathbf{x})=\mathbf{\gamma}^{\prime}\mathbf{p}(\mathbf{x})$ for $\sigma_{u}^{2}(\mathbf{x}),\ $with $\mathbf{p}(\mathbf{x})$ denoting a polynomial expansion.

Similarly, natural estimators of the variance constants \[ \mathsf{V}=2\mathbb{E}[F_{0}^{(0,1)}(\mathbf{x}_{2})x_{2,k}^{2}x_{2,l} ^{2}]\int_{\mathbb{R}}\dot{K}(u)^{2}du, \] are given by \[ \mathsf{\hat{V}}_{n}=2\left[ \frac{1}{n}\sum_{i=1}^{n}\hat{F}_{n} ^{(0,1)}(\mathbf{x}_{2i})(\mathbf{e}_{k}^{\prime}\mathbf{x}_{2i} )^{2}(\mathbf{e}_{l}^{\prime}\mathbf{x}_{2i})^{2}\right] \int_{\mathbb{R} }\dot{K}(u)^{2}du. \]

Numerical Differentiation Estimator $\mathbf{\tilde{H}} _{n}^{\mathtt{ND}}$

In our reference model, the bias constants are of the form \[ \mathsf{B}_{kl}=-\mathbb{E}[\{F_{0}^{(1,3)}(\mathbf{x}_{2})+F_{0} ^{(3,1)}(\mathbf{x}_{2})/3\}\{x_{2,k}^{3}x_{2,l}+x_{2,k}x_{2,l}^{3}\}], \] natural estimators of which are given by \[ -\frac{1}{n}\sum_{i=1}^{n}\{\hat{F}_{n}^{(1,3)}(\mathbf{x}_{2i})+\hat{F} _{n}^{(3,1)}(\mathbf{x}_{2i})/3\}\{(\mathbf{e}_{k}^{\prime}\mathbf{x} _{2i})^{3}(\mathbf{e}_{l}^{\prime}\mathbf{x}_{2i})+(\mathbf{e}_{k}^{\prime }\mathbf{x}_{2i})(\mathbf{e}_{l}^{\prime}\mathbf{x}_{2i})^{3}\}. \]

Similarly, natural estimators of the variance constants \[ \mathsf{V}_{kl}=\{2\mathcal{B}_{0}(\mathbf{e}_{k})+2\mathcal{B}_{0} (\mathbf{e}_{l})-\mathcal{B}_{0}(\mathbf{e}_{k}+\mathbf{e}_{l})-\mathcal{B} _{0}(\mathbf{e}_{k}-\mathbf{e}_{l})\}/16,\qquad\mathcal{B}_{0}(\mathbf{s} )=2\mathbb{E}[F_{0}^{(0,1)}(\mathbf{x}_{2})|\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime} \mathbf{s}|], \] are given by \[ \frac{1}{8n}\sum_{i=1}^{n}\{2|\mathbf{e}_{k}^{\prime}\mathbf{x}_{2i} |+2|\mathbf{e}_{l}^{\prime}\mathbf{x}_{2i}|-|(\mathbf{e}_{k}+\mathbf{e} _{l})^{\prime}\mathbf{x}_{2i}|-|(\mathbf{e}_{k}-\mathbf{e}_{l})^{\prime }\mathbf{x}_{2i}|\}\hat{F}_{n}^{(0,1)}(\mathbf{x}_{2i}). \]

Example: Panel Maximum Score

To state sufficient conditions for Condition CRA$_{0}$ in this example, define \[ \eta^{\mathtt{PMS}}(\mathbf{x}_{2})=\left. \left\{ \frac{\partial}{\partial x_{1}}\mathbb{E}(y|x_{1},\mathbf{x}_{2})\right\} f_{x_{1}|\mathbf{x}_{2} }(x_{1}|\mathbf{x}_{2})\right\vert _{x_{1}=-\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime }\mathbf{\theta}_{0}}. \]

description• For some $\delta>0,$ the following are satisfied:\newline (i) For every $u\in\mathbb{R},$ $0<F_{u_{1}|\mathbf{X}_{1},\mathbf{X} _{2},\alpha}(u_{1}|\mathbf{X}_{1},\mathbf{X}_{2},\alpha)=F_{u_{2} |\mathbf{X}_{1},\mathbf{X}_{2},\alpha}(u_{2}|\mathbf{X}_{1},\mathbf{X} _{2},\alpha)<1$ almost surely. Also, $\mathbb{E}[y|x_{1},\mathbf{x}_{2}]$ is continuously differentiable in $x_{1}$ with bounded derivative, and $\mathbb{E}[y^{2}|x_{1},\mathbf{x}_{2}]$ is continuous in $x_{1}.$\newline(ii) The support of $\mathbf{x}$ is not contained in any proper linear subspace of $\mathbb{R}^{d+1},$ $\mathbb{E}[\Vert\mathbf{x}_{2}\Vert^{2}]<\infty,$ and conditional on $\mathbf{x}_{2},$ $x_{1}$ has everywhere positive Lebesgue density. Also, $F_{x_{1}|\mathbf{x}_{2}}(x_{1}|\mathbf{x}_{2})$ is continuously differentiable in $x_{1}$ with bounded derivative.\newline(iii) $\boldsymbol{\Theta}$ is compact and $\mathbf{\theta}_{0}$ is an interior point of $\boldsymbol{\Theta}.$\newline(iv) $M^{\mathtt{PMS}}(\mathbf{\theta })=\mathbb{E}[m^{\mathtt{PMS}}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta})]\ $is twice continuously differentiable in $\mathbf{\theta}$ on $\mathbf{\Theta} _{0}^{\delta}$ and \[ \mathbf{H}^{\mathtt{PMS}}=\mathbb{E}[\eta^{\mathtt{PMS}}(\mathbf{x} _{2})\mathbf{x}_{2}\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}] \] is positive definite.

Letting \[ \psi^{\mathtt{PMS}}(\mathbf{x}_{2})=\left. \mathbb{E}(y^{2}|x_{1} ,\mathbf{x}_{2})f_{x_{1}|\mathbf{x}_{2}}(x_{1}|\mathbf{x}_{2})\right\vert _{x_{1}=-\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta}_{0}} \] and proceeding as in the proof of Corollary (ref), the following result is obtained.

CorollaryPMSSuppose Condition PMS is satisfied. Then Condition CRA is satisfied with $q_{n}=1,$ $\mathbf{H}_{0}=\mathbf{H}^{\mathtt{PMS}},$ and $\mathcal{C}_{0}=\mathcal{C}^{\mathtt{PMS}},$ where \[ \mathcal{C}^{\mathtt{PMS}}(\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t})=\mathbb{E[}\psi ^{\mathtt{PMS}}(\mathbf{x}_{2})\min\{|\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{s} |,|\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{t}|\} {\rm 1\hspace*{-0.4ex}\rule{0.1ex}{1.52ex}\hspace*{0.2ex}} (\operatorname*{sgn}(\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{s})=\operatorname*{sgn} (\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{t}))]. \]

The case-specific estimator $\mathbf{\tilde{H}}_{n}^{\mathtt{PMS}}$ of $\mathbf{H}^{\mathtt{PMS}}$ admits a counterpart of Lemma (ref), but for brevity we omit a precise statement.

Example: Conditional Maximum Score

To state sufficient conditions for Condition CRA in this example, let $\mathcal{X}$ denote the support of $\mathbf{x}=(x_{1},\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime })^{\prime}$ and for $\delta>0,$ let $\mathcal{W}^{\delta}=\{\mathbf{w\in }\mathbb{R}^{d}:||\mathbf{w}||\leq\delta\}.$ Also, define \[ \mu^{\mathtt{CMS}}(\mathbf{w};\mathbf{\theta})=\mathbb{E}\left[ \left. y {\rm 1\hspace*{-0.4ex}\rule{0.1ex}{1.52ex}\hspace*{0.2ex}} (x_{1}+\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta}\geq0)\right\vert \mathbf{w} \right] f_{\mathbf{w}}(\mathbf{w),} \] \[ \dot{\mu}^{\mathtt{CMS}}(\mathbf{w};\mathbf{\theta})=\frac{\partial} {\partial\mathbf{\theta}}\mu^{\mathtt{CMS}}(\mathbf{w};\mathbf{\theta })=\mathbb{E}\left[ \left. \left. \{\mathbb{E}(y|x_{1},\mathbf{x} _{2},\mathbf{w})f_{x_{1}|\mathbf{x}_{2},\mathbf{w}}(x_{1}|\mathbf{x} _{2},\mathbf{w})\}\right\vert _{x_{1}=-\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta} }\mathbf{x}_{2}\right\vert \mathbf{w}\right] f_{\mathbf{w}}(\mathbf{w),} \] \[ \ddot{\mu}^{\mathtt{CMS}}(\mathbf{w};\mathbf{\theta})=\frac{\partial^{2} }{\partial\mathbf{\theta}\partial\mathbf{\theta}^{\prime}}\mu^{\mathtt{CMS} }(\mathbf{w};\mathbf{\theta})\mathbf{,} \] and \[ \eta^{\mathtt{CMS}}(\mathbf{x}_{2})=\left. \left\{ \frac{\partial}{\partial x_{1}}\mathbb{E}(y|x_{1},\mathbf{x}_{2},\mathbf{w})\right\} f_{x_{1} |\mathbf{x}_{2},\mathbf{w}}(x_{1}|\mathbf{x}_{2},\mathbf{w})\right\vert _{x_{1}=-\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta}_{0},\mathbf{w=0}}. \]

description• For some $\delta>0$ and $P\geq1,$ the following are satisfied:\newline(i) For some strictly increasing $F,$ \[ \mathbb{P}(Y_{t}=1|\mathbf{X}_{1},\mathbf{X}_{2},\mathbf{X}_{3},\alpha ,Y_{0},\dots,Y_{t-1})=F[X_{1t}+(\mathbf{X}_{2t}^{\prime},Y_{t-1} )\mathbf{\theta}_{0}+\alpha],\qquad t=1,2,3. \] Also, on $\mathcal{X}\times\mathcal{W}^{\delta},$ $\mathbb{E}(y|x_{1} ,\mathbf{x}_{2},\mathbf{w})$ is differentiable in $x_{1},$ $\partial \mathbb{E}(y|x_{1},\mathbf{x}_{2},\mathbf{w})/\partial x_{1}$ is bounded and continuous in $(x_{1},\mathbf{w}),$ and $\mathbb{E}(y^{2}|x_{1},\mathbf{x} _{2},\mathbf{w})$ is positive and continuous in $(x_{1},\mathbf{w}).$ \newline(ii) $\mathbb{E}[\Vert\mathbf{x}_{2}\Vert^{2}|\mathbf{w}]$ is bounded on $\mathcal{W}^{\delta}$ and for every $\mathbf{w}\in\mathcal{W}^{\delta},$ the support of $\mathbf{x}$ given $\mathbf{w}$ is not contained in any proper linear subspace of $\mathbb{R}^{d+1}.$ Also, on $\mathcal{X}\times \mathcal{W}^{\delta},$ $f_{x_{1}|\mathbf{x}_{2},\mathbf{w}}(x_{1} |\mathbf{x}_{2},\mathbf{w})$ is positive, bounded, and continuous in $(x_{1},\mathbf{w}) $ and $f_{\mathbf{w}}(\mathbf{w})$ is positive and continuous in $\mathbf{w}. $\newline(iii) $\boldsymbol{\Theta}$ is compact and $\mathbf{\theta}_{0}$ is an interior point of $\boldsymbol{\Theta}.$ \newline(iv) $\mu^{\mathtt{CMS}}(\mathbf{w};\mathbf{\theta})$ is twice continuously differentiable in $\mathbf{\theta}$ on $\mathbf{\Theta} _{0}^{\delta}$ with bounded derivatives, $\mu^{\mathtt{CMS}}(\mathbf{w} ;\mathbf{\theta})$ is uniformly (in $\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta}$) continuous in $\mathbf{w}$ at $\mathbf{0,}$ $\dot{\mu}^{\mathtt{CMS} }(\mathbf{w};\mathbf{\theta}_{0})$ is $P$ times continuously differentiable in $\mathbf{w}$ on $\mathcal{W}^{\delta},$ $\ddot{\mu}^{\mathtt{CMS}} (\mathbf{w};\mathbf{\theta})$ is uniformly (in $\mathbf{\theta}\in \mathbf{\Theta}_{0}^{\delta}$) continuous in $\mathbf{w}$ at $\mathbf{0,}$ and \[ \mathbf{H}^{\mathtt{CMS}}=\left. \mathbb{E}\left[ \left. \eta ^{\mathtt{CMS}}(\mathbf{x}_{2})\mathbf{x}_{2}\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime }\right\vert \mathbf{w}\right] f_{\mathbf{w}}(\mathbf{w)}\right\vert _{\mathbf{w=0}} \] is positive definite.\newline(v) $\kappa$ is bounded, of order $P,$ and supported on $[-1,1]^{d}.$ Also, $nb_{n}^{d}\rightarrow\infty$ and $nb_{n}^{d+3P}\rightarrow0.$

Let \[ \psi^{\mathtt{CMS}}(\mathbf{x}_{2})=\left. \mathbb{E}(y^{2}|x_{1} ,\mathbf{x}_{2},\mathbf{w})f_{x_{1}|\mathbf{x}_{2},\mathbf{w}}(x_{1} |\mathbf{x}_{2},\mathbf{w})\right\vert _{x_{1}=-\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime }\mathbf{\theta}_{0},\mathbf{w=0}}. \]

CorollaryCMSSuppose Condition CMS is satisfied. Then Condition CRA is satisfied with $q_{n}=b_{n}^{d},$ $\mathbf{H}_{0}=\mathbf{H}^{\mathtt{CMS} },$ and $\mathcal{C}_{0}=\mathcal{C}^{\mathtt{CMS}},$ where \[ \mathcal{C}^{\mathtt{CMS}}(\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t})=\left. \mathbb{E}\left[ \left. \psi^{\mathtt{CMS}}(\mathbf{x}_{2})\min\{|\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime }\mathbf{s}|,|\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{t}|\} {\rm 1\hspace*{-0.4ex}\rule{0.1ex}{1.52ex}\hspace*{0.2ex}} \{\operatorname*{sgn}(\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{s})=\operatorname*{sgn} (\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{t})\}\right\vert \mathbf{w}\right] f_{\mathbf{w}}(\mathbf{w)}\right\vert _{\mathbf{w=0}}\cdot\int_{\mathbb{R} ^{d}}\kappa(\mathbf{v})^{2}d\mathbf{v,} \]

The case-specific estimator $\mathbf{\tilde{H}}_{n}^{\mathtt{CMS}}$ of $\mathbf{H}^{\mathtt{CMS}}$ admits a counterpart of Lemma (ref), but for brevity we omit a precise statement.

Proof of Corollary (ref)

Condition CRA(i). Because $\kappa_{n}$ does not depend on $\mathbf{\theta,}$ uniform manageability can be established by proceeding as in the maximum score example.

Also, $\bar{m}_{n}(\mathbf{z})=|\kappa_{n}(\mathbf{w})|$ satisfies $q_{n}\mathbb{E}[\bar{m}_{n}(\mathbf{z})^{2}]\mathbb{=}b_{n}^{d}O(1/b_{n} ^{d})=O(1).$

Next, using the representations \[ M_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})=\int_{\mathbb{R}^{d}}\mu(\mathbf{v}b_{n};\mathbf{\theta })\kappa(\mathbf{v})d\mathbf{v}\qquad\text{and}\qquad M_{0}(\mathbf{\theta })=\int_{\mathbb{R}^{d}}\mu(\mathbf{0};\mathbf{\theta})\kappa(\mathbf{v} )d\mathbf{v,} \] we have \[ \sup_{\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta}}|M_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})-M_{0} (\mathbf{\theta})|\leq\left\{ \sup_{\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta },||\mathbf{w}||\leq b_{n}}|\mu(\mathbf{w};\mathbf{\theta})-\mu(\mathbf{0} ;\mathbf{\theta})|\right\} \int_{\mathbb{R}^{d}}|\kappa(\mathbf{v} )|d\mathbf{v}=o(1), \] where the equality uses uniform (in $\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta}$) continuity of $\mu(\mathbf{w};\mathbf{\theta})$ at $\mathbf{w}=\mathbf{0.}$

Finally, well-separatedness follows from compactness of $\mathbf{\Theta},$ continuity of $M_{0}(\mathbf{\theta})=\mu(0;\mathbf{\theta})$ in $\mathbf{\theta},$ and the fact (shown by \citet*[Lemmas 6 and 7] {Honore-Kyriazidou_2000_ECMA}) that $\mathbf{\theta}_{0}$ is the unique maximizer of $M_{0}(\mathbf{\theta}).$

Condition CRA(ii). We have \[ \frac{\partial}{\partial\mathbf{\theta}}M_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})=\int _{\mathbb{R}^{d}}\dot{\mu}(\mathbf{v}b_{n};\mathbf{\theta})\kappa (\mathbf{v})d\mathbf{v,}\qquad\frac{\partial}{\partial\mathbf{\theta}} M_{0}(\mathbf{\theta})=\int_{\mathbb{R}^{d}}\dot{\mu}(\mathbf{0} ;\mathbf{\theta})\kappa(\mathbf{v})d\mathbf{v,} \] and \[ \frac{\partial^{2}}{\partial\mathbf{\theta}\partial\mathbf{\theta}^{\prime} }M_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})=\int_{\mathbb{R}^{d}}\ddot{\mu}(\mathbf{v} b_{n};\mathbf{\theta})\kappa(\mathbf{v})d\mathbf{v,}\qquad\frac{\partial^{2} }{\partial\mathbf{\theta}\partial\mathbf{\theta}^{\prime}}M_{0}(\mathbf{\theta })=\int_{\mathbb{R}^{d}}\ddot{\mu}(\mathbf{0};\mathbf{\theta})\kappa (\mathbf{v})d\mathbf{v,} \] where, using uniform (in $\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta}_{0}^{\delta}$) continuity of $\ddot{\mu}(\mathbf{w};\mathbf{\theta})$ at $\mathbf{w} =\mathbf{0},$ \[ \sup_{\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta}_{0}^{\delta}}\left\Vert \frac {\partial^{2}}{\partial\mathbf{\theta}\partial\mathbf{\theta}^{\prime}} [M_{n}(\mathbf{\theta})-M_{0}(\mathbf{\theta})]\right\Vert \leq\left\{ \sup_{\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta}_{0}^{\delta},||\mathbf{w}||\leq b_{n} }|\ddot{\mu}(\mathbf{w};\mathbf{\theta})-\ddot{\mu}(\mathbf{0};\mathbf{\theta })|\right\} \int_{\mathbb{R}^{d}}|\kappa(\mathbf{v})|d\mathbf{v} =o(1)\mathbf{.} \]

Also, by a standard bias calculation for kernel estimators, \[ \frac{\partial}{\partial\mathbf{\theta}}M_{n}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0} )=\int_{\mathbb{R}^{d}}\dot{\mu}(\mathbf{v}b_{n};\mathbf{\theta}_{0} )\kappa(\mathbf{v})d\mathbf{v}=\dot{\mu}(\mathbf{0};\mathbf{\theta} _{0})+O(b_{n}^{P}), \] where it follows from \citet*{Honore-Kyriazidou_2000_ECMA} that $\dot{\mu }(\mathbf{0};\mathbf{\theta}_{0})=\partial M_{0}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0} )/\partial\mathbf{\theta}=\mathbf{0.}$ As a consequence, $r_{n}||\partial M_{n}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0})/\partial\mathbf{\theta}||=O(\sqrt[3]{nb_{n}^{d+3P} })=o(1).$

Finally, $\mathbf{H}_{0}=-\ddot{\mu}(\mathbf{0};\mathbf{\theta}_{0} )=\mathbf{H}^{\mathtt{CMS}}$ is positive definite by assumption.

Condition CRA(iii). Because $\kappa_{n}$ does not depend on $\mathbf{\theta,}$ uniform manageability can be established by proceeding as in the maximum score example. For this example, \[ \bar{d}_{n}^{\delta}(\mathbf{z})=\left[ \sup_{\Vert\mathbf{\theta }-\mathbf{\theta}_{0}\Vert\leq\delta} {\rm 1\hspace*{-0.4ex}\rule{0.1ex}{1.52ex}\hspace*{0.2ex}} (\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta}_{0}<-x_{1}\leq\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime }\mathbf{\theta})+\sup_{\Vert\mathbf{\theta}-\mathbf{\theta}_{0}\Vert \leq\delta} {\rm 1\hspace*{-0.4ex}\rule{0.1ex}{1.52ex}\hspace*{0.2ex}} (\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime}\mathbf{\theta}<-x_{1}\leq\mathbf{x}_{2}^{\prime }\mathbf{\theta}_{0})\right] |\kappa_{n}(\mathbf{w})|. \] By change of variables and using boundedness of $f_{x_{1}|\mathbf{x} _{2},\mathbf{w}}(x_{1}|\mathbf{x}_{2},\mathbf{w}),$ we have, uniformly in $\delta,$ \[ b_{n}^{d}\mathbb{E}[\bar{d}_{n}^{\delta}(\mathbf{z})^{2}/\delta]=b_{n} ^{d}O(\mathbb{E}[\Vert\mathbf{x}_{2}\Vert\kappa_{n}(\mathbf{w})^{2}])=O(1). \] As a consequence, $q_{n}\sup_{0<\delta^{\prime}\leq\delta}\mathbb{E}[\bar {d}_{n}^{\delta^{\prime}}(\mathbf{z})^{2}/\delta^{\prime}]=O(1).$

Condition CRA(iv). Using $\bar{d}_{n}^{\delta}(\mathbf{z})^{4} \leq8d_{n}^{\delta}(\mathbf{z})|\kappa_{n}(\mathbf{w})|^{3},$ it follows from calculations similar to those above that $q_{n}^{3}r_{n}^{-1}\mathbb{E} [\bar{d}_{n}^{\delta_{n}}(\mathbf{z})^{4}]=O(r_{n}^{-1}\delta_{n})=o(1).$

As in the maximum score example, $\mathcal{C}^{\mathtt{CMS}}(\mathbf{s} ,\mathbf{s})+\mathcal{C}^{\mathtt{CMS}}(\mathbf{t},\mathbf{t})-2\mathcal{C} ^{\mathtt{CMS}}(\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t})>0.$

Finally, the representation

align*[align* omitted — 735 chars of source]

can be used to show that, uniformly in $\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta} _{0}^{\delta_{n}},$ \[ \frac{q_{n}}{\delta_{n}}\mathbb{E}[\{m_{n}^{\mathtt{CMS}}(\mathbf{z} ,\mathbf{\theta}+\delta_{n}\mathbf{s})-m_{n}^{\mathtt{CMS}}(\mathbf{z} ,\mathbf{\theta})\}\{m_{n}^{\mathtt{CMS}}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta} +\delta_{n}\mathbf{t})-m_{n}^{\mathtt{CMS}}(\mathbf{z},\mathbf{\theta })\}]=\mathcal{C}^{\mathtt{CMS}}(\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t})+o(1). \]

Condition CRA(v). The first condition follows from $q_{n}\bar{d} _{n}^{\delta}(\mathbf{z})\leq\sup_{\mathbf{v\in}\mathbb{R}^{d}}|\kappa (\mathbf{v})|.$ The second condition follows from the calculation similar to the covariance kernel calculation.

Example: Empirical Risk Minimization

In this example, we follow \citet*[Theorem 1]{Mohammadi-vandeGeer_2005_JMLR} when stating primitive conditions. Let $F$ denote the distribution function of $x$ and let $P(x)=\mathbb{P}[y=1|x].$

description• The following are satisfied:\newline(i) $P(0)<1/2$ and $P$ admits a continuous derivative $p$ in a neighborhood of each element of $\mathbf{\theta}_{0}.$\newline(ii) $F$ is absolutely continuous and its Lebesgue density $f\ $is continuously differentiable in a neighborhood of each element of $\mathbf{\theta}_{0}.$\newline(iii) $\mathbf{\theta}_{0}$ is an interior point of $\boldsymbol{\Theta}.$\newline(iv) $\mathbf{\theta} _{0}=(\theta_{0,1},\theta_{0,2},\cdots,\theta_{0,d})^{\prime}$ is the unique minimizer of $\mathbb{P}[h_{\mathbf{\theta}}(x)\neq y]$ and $p(\theta_{0,\ell })f(\theta_{0,\ell})\neq0$ for $\ell\in\{1,\cdots,d\}.$
CorollaryERMSuppose Condition ERM is satisfied. Then Condition CRA is satisfied with $q_{n}=1,$ $\mathbf{H}_{0}=\mathbf{H}^{\mathtt{ERM}},$ and $\mathcal{C}_{0}=\mathcal{C}^{\mathtt{ERM}},$ where \[ \mathbf{H}^{\mathtt{ERM}}=2\left( \begin{array} [c]{cccc} p(\theta_{0,1})f(\theta_{0,1}) & 0 & \cdots & 0\\ 0 & -p(\theta_{0,2})f(\theta_{0,2}) & \cdots & 0\\ \cdots & \cdots & \cdots & \cdots\\ 0 & 0 & \cdots & (-1)^{d+1}p(\theta_{0,d})f(\theta_{0,d}) \end{array} \right) \] and, for $\mathbf{s}=(s_{1},\cdots,s_{d})^{\prime}$ and $\mathbf{t} =(t_{1},\cdots,t_{d})^{\prime},$ \[ \mathcal{C}^{\mathtt{ERM}}(\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t})=\sum_{\ell=1}^{d} f(\theta_{0,\ell})\min\{|s_{\ell}|,|t_{\ell}|\} {\rm 1\hspace*{-0.4ex}\rule{0.1ex}{1.52ex}\hspace*{0.2ex}} \{\operatorname*{sgn}(s_{\ell})=\operatorname*{sgn}(t_{\ell})\}. \]

A case-specific (plug-in) estimator of $\mathbf{H}^{\mathtt{ERM}}$ is given by the diagonal matrix $\mathbf{\tilde{H}}_{n}^{\mathtt{ERM}}$ with diagonal elements \[ \tilde{H}_{n,\ell\ell}^{\mathtt{ERM}}=(-1)^{\ell+1}2\hat{p}_{n}(\hat{\theta }_{n,\ell}^{\mathtt{ERM}})\hat{f}_{n}(\hat{\theta}_{n,\ell}^{\mathtt{ERM} }),\qquad\ell=1,\dots,d, \] where $\hat{p}_{n}$ and $\hat{f}_{n}$ are some nonparametric estimators of $p $ and $f.$ This estimator is consistent whenever its ingredients $\hat{p}_{n} $ and $\hat{f}_{n}$ are.

Proof of Corollary (ref)

By Lemma (ref), it suffices to verify that Condition CRA$_{0}$ is satisfied.

Condition CRA$_{0}$(i). Manageability of $\mathcal{M}_{0}$ follows from $\{ {\rm 1\hspace*{-0.4ex}\rule{0.1ex}{1.52ex}\hspace*{0.2ex}} (h_{\mathbf{\theta}}(x)\neq y):\mathbf{\theta}\in\boldsymbol{\Theta}\}$ forming a VC subgraph class. Also, the envelope is bounded by $1.$ Finally, $\sup_{\mathbf{\theta}\in\boldsymbol{\Theta}\backslash\boldsymbol{\Theta} _{0}^{\delta}}M_{0}(\mathbf{\theta})<M_{0}(\mathbf{\theta}_{0})$ for every $\delta>0$ because $\mathbf{\Theta}$ is compact, $M_{0}$ is continuous, and $\mathbf{\theta}_{0}$ is the unique maximizer of $M_{0}(\mathbf{\theta} ).$

Condition CRA$_{0}$(ii). By assumption, $\mathbf{\theta}_{0}$ belongs to the interior of $\mathbf{\Theta}_{0}.$ \citet*{Mohammadi-vandeGeer_2005_JMLR} show that, for odd $\ell,$ \[ \frac{\partial^{2}}{\partial\theta_{\ell}^{2}}\mathbb{P}(h_{\mathbf{\theta} }(x)\neq y)=2p(\theta_{\ell})f(\theta_{\ell})+(2P(\theta_{\ell})-1)\frac {d}{d\theta}f(\theta_{\ell}), \] and that a similar formula holds for even $\ell$ as well. In particular, $M_{0}$ is twice continuous differentiability on $\mathbf{\Theta}_{0}^{\delta }.$ Finally, positive definiteness of $\mathbf{H}_{0}=\mathbf{H} ^{\mathtt{ERM}}$ is established in \citet*{Mohammadi-vandeGeer_2005_JMLR} .

Condition CRA$_{0}$(iii). This condition corresponds to the first part of (vii) in Theorem 7 of \citet*{Mohammadi-vandeGeer_2005_JMLR} .

Condition CRA$_{0}$(iv). Since $d_{0}^{\delta}(\mathbf{z} )^{4}=d_{0}^{\delta}(\mathbf{z}),$ $\mathbb{E}[d_{0}^{\delta_{n}} (\mathbf{z})^{4}]=O(\delta_{n}),$ which implies the first condition. For the second part, \citet*{Mohammadi-vandeGeer_2005_JMLR} show that \[ \mathcal{C}_{0}(\mathbf{s},\mathbf{t})=\sum_{\ell=1}^{d}f(\theta_{0,\ell })[\min\{s_{\ell},t_{\ell}\} {\rm 1\hspace*{-0.4ex}\rule{0.1ex}{1.52ex}\hspace*{0.2ex}} (s_{\ell}>0,t_{\ell}>0)-\max\{s_{\ell},t_{\ell}\} {\rm 1\hspace*{-0.4ex}\rule{0.1ex}{1.52ex}\hspace*{0.2ex}} (s_{\ell}<0,t_{\ell}<0)]. \] Using the representations \[ m_{0}(1,x,\mathbf{\theta})=-\sum_{\ell=0}^{\lfloor d/2\rfloor} {\rm 1\hspace*{-0.4ex}\rule{0.1ex}{1.52ex}\hspace*{0.2ex}} \left( x\in\lbrack\theta_{2\ell},\theta_{2\ell+1})\right) ,\qquad m_{0}(-1,x,\mathbf{\theta})=-\sum_{\ell=1}^{\lfloor(d+1)/2\rfloor} {\rm 1\hspace*{-0.4ex}\rule{0.1ex}{1.52ex}\hspace*{0.2ex}} \left( x\in\lbrack\theta_{2\ell-1},\theta_{2\ell})\right) , \] it can be shown that, for $\mathbf{\theta}$ in the interior of $\boldsymbol{\Theta}$ and for $\delta_{n}$ small enough,

align*[align* omitted — 669 chars of source]

As a consequence,

align*[align* omitted — 764 chars of source]

uniformly in $\mathbf{\theta}\in\mathbf{\Theta}_{0}^{\delta_{n}}.$

Condition CRA$_{0}$(v). The condition in display is identical to the second part of (vii) in Theorem 7 of \citet*{Mohammadi-vandeGeer_2005_JMLR}. The second assumption corresponds to (vi) in Theorem 7 of \citet*{Mohammadi-vandeGeer_2005_JMLR}.