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Randomized Experiments with Ambiguous Record Linkage

Bruno Ferman, Lucas Finamor

arXiv 10 Oct 2026 · Econometrics

arXiv:2610.15063 · PDF · Extracted main text

Abstract

Randomized experiments are often linked to administrative data to measure outcomes, but coarse identifiers can leave multiple administrative records consistent with each experimental unit. We show that unbiased estimation of the sample average treatment effect is possible without resolving these ambiguous links or specifying an outcome model. Our key linkage requirement is that the true administrative outcome is contained among the candidate outcomes for each experimental unit. We characterize the precision cost of linkage ambiguity and study two complementary ways to mitigate it: regression adjustment and reweighting based on observed linkage characteristics. We establish finite-sample and asymptotic properties of these estimators and develop valid randomization-based and large-sample inference.

Citation extraction

31
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66
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distinct cited
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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Chambers, Ray (2009) Regression Analysis of Probability-Linked Data0.5114225%
2Han, Ying, and Partha Lahiri (2019) Statistical Analysis with Linked Data0.5114225%
3Kim, Gunky, and Raymond Chambers (2012) Regression Analysis under Probabilistic Multi-Linkage0.5114225%
4Kim, Gunky, and Raymond Chambers (2012) Regression Analysis under Incomplete Linkage0.5114225%
5Lahiri, P., and Michael D. Larsen (2005) Regression Analysis with Linked Data0.5114225%
6Bukke, Priyanjali, and Martin Slawski (2025) Relaxing the Assumption of Strongly Non-Informative Linkage Error in Secondary Regression Analysis of Linked Files0.5113233%
7Chambers, Ray, and Andrea Diniz da Silva (2020) Improved Secondary Analysis of Linked Data: A Framework and an Illustration0.5113233%
8Goldstein, Harvey, Katie Harron, and Angie Wade (2012) The Analysis of Record-Linked Data Using Multiple Imputation with Data Value Priors0.5113233%
9Sadinle, Mauricio (2017) Bayesian Estimation of Bipartite Matchings for Record Linkage0.5113233%
10Slawski, Martin, Brady T. West, Priyanjali Bukke, Zhenbang Wang, Guo… (2025) A General Framework for Regression with Mismatched Data Based on Mixture Modelling0.5113233%

Showing the top 10 of 31 scored citations.