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Continuously Updating GMM in Linear IV Models: A Polynomial Approach

Marcelo J. Moreira, Whitney K. Newey, Mahrad Sharifvaghefi

arXiv 29 Sep 2026 · Econometrics

arXiv:2609.36445 · PDF · Extracted main text

Abstract

This paper characterizes the global minimum of the continuously updating generalized method of moments (CU-GMM) objective in linear instrumental variables models. We allow optimal weighting matrices under heteroskedasticity, autocorrelation, or clustering. We show that the objective is a ratio of polynomials. For one endogenous regressor, stationary points of CU-GMM objective function are real eigenvalues of a companion matrix. Comparing their objective values with the value at infinity gives the global minimum, extending the classical eigenvector approach to limited information maximum likelihood. With multiple endogenous regressors, algebraic elimination and checks for real solutions identify the minimum among finitely many candidate objective values, including boundary values. Galois theory rules out general formulas by radicals even with one endogenous regressor and two instruments, while numerical root finding remains possible. Finding the global minimum allows us to compute overidentification and likelihood ratio tests, including the conditional likelihood ratio (CLR) test.

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35
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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Whitney K. Newey and Frank Windmeijer (2009) Generalized Method of Moments with Many Weak Moment Conditions self1.00064100%
2Paul A. Bekker Alternative Approximations to the Distributions of Instrumental Variables Estimators0.84333100%
3Moreira, M. J A Conditional Likelihood Ratio Test for Structural Models self0.84333100%
4Moreira, Marcelo J and Ridder, Geert and Sharifvaghefi, Mahrad Power Bounds and Efficiency Loss for Asymptotically Optimal Tests in IV Regression self0.84333100%
5Moreira, Marcelo J and Sharifvaghefi, Mahrad (2026) Properties of the Conditional Likelihood Ratio Test under Discrete Approximation self0.84333100%
6Lars Peter Hansen and John Heaton and Amir Yaron (1996) Finite-Sample Properties of Some Alternative GMM Estimators0.73732100%
7Angrist, J. and A. B. Krueger Does Compulsory School Attendance Affect Schooling and Earnings?0.69361100%
8Alwyn Young (2014) Structural Transformation, the Mismeasurement of Productivity Growth, and the Cost Disease of Services0.69361100%
9Antonio Acconcia and Giancarlo Corsetti and Saverio Simonelli (2014) Mafia and Public Spending: Evidence on the Fiscal Multiplier from a Quasi-experiment0.69351100%
10Melvin Stephens and Dou-Yan Yang (2014) Compulsory Education and the Benefits of Schooling0.69351100%

Showing the top 10 of 35 scored citations.