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Testing for Heterogeneous Treatment Effects in Regression Discontinuity Designs

Xiaojun Song, Haojiao Zhao

arXiv 23 Sep 2026 · Econometrics

arXiv:2609.27691 · PDF · Extracted main text

Abstract

We propose a nonparametric test for unobserved treatment effect heterogeneity in regression discontinuity designs. Under the null of no unobserved heterogeneity, a transformed outcome that imputes treated potential outcomes for untreated units must have a continuous conditional distribution at the cutoff. We convert this implication into an integrated conditional-moment restriction using characteristic functions, thereby allowing the conditional local average treatment effect to be an unrestricted function of covariates. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the test statistics via a $U$-process and establish the validity of a multiplier bootstrap procedure for calculating critical values. Monte Carlo experiments show well-controlled size and increasing power. Two empirical applications illustrate how the test distinguishes between heterogeneity explained by observables and that explained by unobserved factors.

Citation extraction

54
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117
in-text mentions
54
distinct cited
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appendix boundary found by appendix_titled_section at “Appendix” · 23% of the source is main text. Read the extracted text to check this.

Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Calonico, S., M. D. Cattaneo, and R. Titiunik (2014) Robust nonparametric confidence intervals for regression-discontinuity designs0.8947471%
2Hsu, Y.-C. and S. Shen (2019) Testing treatment effect heterogeneity in regression discontinuity designs0.8947371%
3Calonico, S., M. D. Cattaneo, M. H. Farrell, and R. Titiunik (2019) Regression discontinuity designs using covariates0.8746467%
4Hsu, Y.-C. and S. Shen (2021) Testing monotonicity of conditional treatment effects under regression discontinuity designs0.8434375%
5Imbens, G. and K. Kalyanaraman (2012) Optimal bandwidth choice for the regression discontinuity estimator0.7373367%
6Meyersson, E (2014) Islamic rule and the empowerment of the poor and pious0.64441100%
7Bierens, H. J (1982) Consistent model specification tests0.64422100%
8Chesher, A (2003) Identification in nonseparable models0.64422100%
9Pop-Eleches, C. and M. Urquiola (2013) Going to a better school: Effects and behavioral responses0.58531100%
10van der Vaart, A. W. and J. A. Wellner (1996) Weak Convergence0.5112250%

Showing the top 10 of 54 scored citations.