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Learning Dependence Structures for Econometric Inference

Ulrich Hounyo

arXiv 21 Jun 2026 · Econometrics

arXiv:2606.22555 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

We develop a framework for learning dependence structures from empirical dependence operators. Rather than treating cluster, factor, and sparse dependence as maintained assumptions, we represent them as covariance geometries in a common Hilbert space and summarize dependence through a low-dimensional dependence profile based on projection similarity scores. We establish identification under a principal-angle separation condition, prove consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimated profile, and derive finite-sample classification error bounds. We further show that when covariance-geometry tangent spaces overlap, no statistical procedure can distinguish the geometries at first order, providing a formal characterization of ambiguous dependence structures. Projection-residual diagnostics assess absolute goodness-of-fit and detect misspecified covariance dictionaries. Finally, we establish oracle adaptivity of profile-guided inference: dependence profiles can be used to select dependence-robust procedures in a data-driven manner, yielding inference that is asymptotically equivalent to an infeasible oracle that knows the dominant covariance geometry in advance.

Citation extraction

33
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63
in-text mentions
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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Hansen, Bruce E (2007) Least Squares Model Averaging0.84333100%
2Auerbach, Eric (2019) Identification and Estimation of a Partially Linear Regression Model Using Network Data0.6443267%
3Bai, Jushan (2003) Inferential Theory for Factor Models of Large Dimensions0.6443267%
4Bai, Jushan and Ng, Serena (2002) Determining the Number of Factors in Approximate Factor Models0.6443267%
5Conley, Timothy G (1999) GMM Estimation with Cross Sectional Dependence0.6443267%
6Leung, Michael P (2022) Causal Inference Under Approximate Neighborhood Interference0.6443267%
7Bates, J. M. and Granger, C. W. J (1969) The Combination of Forecasts0.64422100%
8Arellano, Manuel (1987) Computing Robust Standard Errors for Within-Groups Estimators0.51121100%
9Bickel, Peter J. and Klaassen, Chris A. J. and Ritov, Ya'acov and We… (1993) Efficient and Adaptive Estimation for Semiparametric Models0.51121100%
10Bickel, Peter J. and Levina, Elizaveta (2008) Covariance Regularization by Thresholding0.51121100%

Showing the top 10 of 33 scored citations.