Karun Adusumilli, Abhi Vemulapati
arXiv 15 May 2026 · Econometrics
arXiv:2605.16703 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text
Incentives in experimental design are often misaligned: experimenters design and finance experiments to seek regulatory approval, while regulators seek to maximize social-welfare. We propose a framework to resolve this conflict, wherein regulators set a minimum welfare threshold, and experimenters optimize designs subject to this constraint. It requires no knowledge of experimenters' private preferences or costs and mitigates strategic Bayesian persuasion. Under normal priors, Neyman-allocation is always the optimal-sampling strategy, regardless of specific objectives. We also characterize the optimal stopping-rule. A numerical study calibrated to clinical-trial data shows sample-size reductions of over 48% relative to classical designs attaining the same social-welfare.
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The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.
| Reference | Intensity | Mentions | Sections | Main text | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adusumilli, Karun (2025) How to Sample and When to Stop Sampling: The Generalised Wald Problem and Minimax Policies self | 0.965 | 10 | 5 | 90% |
| 2 | Adusumilli, Karun (2026) Continuous Time Asymptotic Representations for Adaptive Experiments self | 0.894 | 7 | 4 | 71% |
| 3 | Tetenov, Aleksey (2016) An Economic Theory of Statistical Testing | 0.811 | 4 | 2 | 100% |
| 4 | US Food and Drug Admin (2026) Use of Bayesian Methodology in Clinical Trials of Drug and Biological Products | 0.811 | 4 | 2 | 100% |
| 5 | Liang, Annie and Mu, Xiaosheng and Syrgkanis, Vasilis (2022) Dynamically Aggregating Diverse Information | 0.769 | 11 | 5 | 45% |
| 6 | van Zwet, Erik and Schwab, Simon and Senn, Stephen (2021) The Statistical Properties of RCTs and a Proposal for Shrinkage | 0.644 | 4 | 1 | 100% |
| 7 | Bather, J. A. and Walker, A. M (1962) Bayes Procedures for Deciding the Sign of a Normal Mean | 0.644 | 2 | 2 | 100% |
| 8 | Kenneth J. Arrow and David Blackwell and M.A. Girshick (1949) Bayes and Minimax Solutions of Sequential Decision Problems | 0.644 | 2 | 2 | 100% |
| 9 | Hirano, Keisuke and Porter, Jack R (2025) Asymptotic Representations for Sequential Decisions, Adaptive Experiments, and Batched Bandits | 0.644 | 2 | 2 | 100% |
| 10 | Gentzkow, Matthew and Kamenica, Emir (2014) Costly Persuasion | 0.644 | 2 | 2 | 100% |
Showing the top 10 of 40 scored citations.