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Selecting and Testing Asset Pricing Models: A Stepwise Approach

Guanhao Feng, Wei Lan, Hansheng Wang, Jun Zhang

arXiv 15 Jan 2026 · Econometrics · publishedManagement Science (2026)

arXiv:2601.10279 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

The asset pricing literature emphasizes factor models that minimize pricing errors but overlooks unselected candidate factors that could enhance the performance of test assets. This paper proposes a framework for factor model selection and testing by (i) selecting the optimal model that spans the joint efficient frontier of test assets and all candidate factors, and (ii) testing pricing performance on both test assets and unselected candidate factors. Our framework updates a baseline model (e.g., CAPM) sequentially by adding or removing factors based on asset pricing tests. Ensuring model selection consistency, our framework utilizes the asset pricing duality: minimizing cross-sectionally unexplained pricing errors aligns with maximizing the Sharpe ratio of the selected factor model. Empirical evidence shows that workhorse factor models fail asset pricing tests, whereas our proposed 8-factor model is not rejected and exhibits robust out-of-sample performance.

Citation extraction

58
references
130
in-text mentions
63
distinct cited
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self-citations
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main-text words

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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Barillas, F. and J. Shanken (2017) Which alpha?0.9568488%
2Barillas, F. and J. Shanken (2018) Comparing asset pricing models0.9416583%
3Fama, E. F. and K. R. French (2018) Choosing factors0.9285580%
4Pesaran, M. H. and T. Yamagata (2023) Testing for alpha in linear factor pricing models with a large number of securities0.8947571%
5Feng, G., J. He, N. G. Polson, and J. Xu (2024) Deep learning in characteristics-sorted factor models self0.84333100%
6Lettau, M. and M. Pelger (2020) Factors that fit the time series and cross-section of stock returns0.84333100%
7Gibbons, M. R., S. A. Ross, and J. Shanken (1989) A test of the efficiency of a given portfolio0.81142100%
8Fan, J., Y. Liao, and J. Yao (2015) Power enhancement in high-dimensional cross-sectional tests0.7375340%
9Avramov, D., S. Cheng, L. Metzker, and S. Voigt (2023) Integrating factor models0.7373367%
10Fama, E. F. and K. R. French (2015) A five-factor asset pricing model0.7373367%

Showing the top 10 of 63 scored citations.