Francisco Rodriguez, Giancarlo Bravo
arXiv 24 Dec 2025 · Econometrics
arXiv:2512.21429 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text
Bahar (2025) argues that there is a long-term cointegrating relationship between US job vacancies and southwest border crossings. We show that this conclusion is based on a misspecified Engle-Granger test applied to first differences. Once the Engle-Granger test is correctly applied to levels, evidence for a cointegrating relationship vanishes, invalidating the paper's approach to estimating short- and long-run elasticities. Bahar's approach is therefore uninformative about the relationship between US labor market conditions and migration.
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The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.
| Reference | Intensity | Mentions | Sections | Main text | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bahar, Dany (2025) Not a border crisis, but a labor market crisis: The often overlooked “pull” factor of U.S. border crossings | 1.000 | 9 | 3 | 100% |
| 2 | Bahar, Dany (2025) Correction to "Not a border crisis, but a labor market crisis: The often overlooked “pull” factor of U.S. border crossings" | 0.874 | 5 | 2 | 100% |
| 3 | Greene, William H (2012) Econometric Analysis | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 4 | Dany Bahar and Ricardo Hausmann (2025) Sanctions on Venezuela Are Not Driving Migration to the US Southwest Border: An Empirical Assessment | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 5 | Dany Bahar and Ricardo Hausmann (2025) Stopping Venezuela’s Exodus Hinges on Restoring Hope | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 6 | Robert F. Engle and C. W. J. Granger (1987) Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 7 | James D. Hamilton (1994) Time Series Analysis | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 8 | Rodríguez, Francisco and Bravo, Giancarlo (2025) Why Bahar and Hausmann Tell Us Nothing About Venezuelan Migration Flows to the United States self | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 9 | Rodríguez, Francisco and Rosnick, David and Bravo, Giancarlo (2025) Did Sanctions Relief Drive Venezuelan Migration to the US? self | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 10 | Schaffer, Mark E (2010) EGRANGER: Stata module to perform Engle-Granger cointegration tests and 2-step ECM estimation | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
Showing the top 10 of 10 scored citations.