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Cluster-robust inference with a single treated cluster using the t-test

Chun Pong Lau, Xinran Li

arXiv 7 Nov 2025 · Econometrics

arXiv:2511.05710 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

This paper considers inference when there is a single treated cluster and a fixed number of control clusters, a setting that is common in empirical work, especially in difference-in-differences designs. We use the t-statistic and develop suitable critical values to conduct valid inference under weak assumptions allowing for unknown dependence within clusters. In particular, our inference procedure does not involve variance estimation. It only requires specifying the relative heterogeneity between the variances from the treated cluster and some, but not necessarily all, control clusters. Our proposed test works for any significance level when there are at least two control clusters. When the variance of the treated cluster is bounded by those of all control clusters up to some prespecified scaling factor, the critical values for our t-statistic can be easily computed without any optimization for many conventional significance levels and numbers of clusters. In other cases, one-dimensional numerical optimization is needed and is often computationally efficient. We have also tabulated common critical values in the paper so researchers can use our test readily. We illustrate our method in simulations and empirical applications.

Citation extraction

38
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90
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distinct cited
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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Hagemann, Andres (2024) Inference with a single treated cluster1.000286100%
2Conley, Timothy G. and Taber, Christopher R (2011) Inference with “Difference in Differences” with a Small Number of Policy Changes0.81142100%
3Bakirov, N. K. and Székely, G. J (2006) Student's t-test for Gaussian scale mixtures0.7948350%
4Ibragimov, Rustam and Müller, Ulrich K (2010) t-Statistic Based Correlation and Heterogeneity Robust Inference0.73732100%
5Ibragimov, Rustam and Müller, Ulrich K (2016) Inference with Few Heterogeneous Clusters0.73732100%
6Depew, Briggs and Swensen, Isaac (2022) The Effect of Concealed-Carry and Handgun Restrictions on Gun-Related Deaths: Evidence from the Sullivan Act of 19110.64441100%
7Ivan A. Canay and Joseph P. Romano and Azeem M. Shaikh (2017) Randomization Tests under an Approximate Symmetry Assumption0.64422100%
8Ferman, Bruno and Pinto, Cristine (2019) Inference in Differences-in-Differences with Few Treated Groups and Heteroskedasticity0.64422100%
9Andreas Hagemann (2022) Permutation inference with a finite number of heterogeneous clusters0.64422100%
10Lau, Chun Pong (2025) Combining Clusters for the Approximate Randomization Test self0.64422100%

Showing the top 10 of 38 scored citations.