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Boundary estimation in the regression-discontinuity design: Evidence for a merit- and need-based financial aid program

Eugenio Felipe Merlano

arXiv 10 Oct 2025 · Econometrics

arXiv:2510.09257 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

In the conventional regression-discontinuity (RD) design, the probability that units receive a treatment changes discontinuously as a function of one covariate exceeding a threshold or cutoff point. This paper studies an extended RD design where assignment rules simultaneously involve two or more continuous covariates. We show that assignment rules with more than one variable allow the estimation of a more comprehensive set of treatment effects, relaxing in a research-driven style the local and sometimes limiting nature of univariate RD designs. We then propose a flexible nonparametric approach to estimate the multidimensional discontinuity by univariate local linear regression and compare its performance to existing methods. We present an empirical application to a large-scale and countrywide financial aid program for low-income students in Colombia. The program uses a merit-based (academic achievement) and need-based (wealth index) assignment rule to select students for the program. We show that our estimation strategy fully exploits the multidimensional assignment rule and reveals heterogeneous effects along the treatment boundaries.

Citation extraction

45
references
138
in-text mentions
45
distinct cited
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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Londoño-Vélez, J., C. Rodríguez, and F. Sánchez (2020, May) (2020) Upstream and downstream impacts of college merit-based financial aid for low-income students: Ser pilo paga in colombia1.000144100%
2Calonico, S., M. D. Cattaneo, and R. Titiunik (2014b, nov) (2014) Robust Nonparametric Confidence Intervals for Regression-Discontinuity Designs1.000105100%
3Hahn, J., P. Todd, and W. V. der Klaauw (2001) Identification and Estimation of Treatment Effects with a Regression-Discontinuity Design1.00073100%
4Wong, V. C., P. M. Steiner, and T. D. Cook (2013) Analyzing Regression-Discontinuity Designs With Multiple Assignment Variables1.00053100%
5Zajonc, T (2012) Essays on Causal Inference for Public Policy0.98726696%
6Papay, J. P., J. B. Willett, and R. J. Murnane (2011) Extending the regression-discontinuity approach to multiple assignment variables0.95917588%
7Imbens, G. and S. Wager (2019, nov) (2019) Optimized regression discontinuity designs0.84333100%
8DNP, CNC, and U. de los Andes (2016) Evaluación de impacto de corto plazo del programa Ser Pilo Paga0.81142100%
9Choi, J.-y. and M.-j. Lee (2018) Regression discontinuity with multiple running variables allowing partial effects0.64422100%
10Choi, J.-y. and M.-j. Lee (2018) Minimum distance estimator for sharp regression discontinuity with multiple running variables0.64422100%

Showing the top 10 of 45 scored citations.