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Data driven modeling of multiple interest rates with generalized Vasicek-type models

Pauliina Ilmonen, Milla Laurikkala, Kostiantyn Ralchenko, Tommi Sottinen, Lauri Viitasaari

arXiv 3 Sep 2025 · Econometrics

arXiv:2509.03208 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

The Vasicek model is a commonly used interest rate model, and there exist many extensions and generalizations of it. However, most generalizations of the model are either univariate or assume the noise process to be Gaussian, or both. In this article, we study a generalized multivariate Vasicek model that allows simultaneous modeling of multiple interest rates while making minimal assumptions. In the model, we only assume that the noise process has stationary increments with a suitably decaying autocovariance structure. We provide estimators for the unknown parameters and prove their consistencies. We also derive limiting distributions for each estimator and provide theoretical examples. Furthermore, the model is tested empirically with both simulated data and real data.

Citation extraction

18
references
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distinct cited
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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Marko Voutilainen, Lauri Viitasaari, Pauliina Ilmonen, Soledad Torre… (2022) Vector-valued generalised Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes: properties and parameter estimation self1.00093100%
2Fischer Black and Myron Scholes (1973) The pricing of options and corporate liabilities0.51121100%
3Robert C. Merton (1973) Theory of rational option pricing0.51121100%
4Oldrich Vasicek (1977) An equilibrium characterization of the term structure0.51121100%
5Ehsan Azmoodeh, Tommi Sottinen, Lauri Viitasaari, and Adil Yazigi (2014) Necessary and sufficient conditions for Hölder continuity of Gaussian processes self0.40511100%
6Kalok C. Chan, G. Andrew Karolyi, Francis A. Longstaff, and Anthony… (1992) An empirical comparison of alternative models of the short-term interest rate0.40511100%
7Fabienne Comte and Eric Renault (1998) Long memory in continuous-time stochastic volatility models0.40511100%
8John C. Cox, Jonathan E. Ingersoll, and Stephen A. Ross (1985) A theory of the term structure of interest rates0.40511100%
9Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US) (2025) Federal Funds Effective Rate [DFF], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis0.40511100%
10Bank of Finland (2025) Euribor* rates and Eonia* rate, monthly average0.40511100%

Showing the top 10 of 18 scored citations.