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Staggered Adoption DiD Designs with Misclassification and Anticipation

Clara Augustin, Daniel Gutknecht, Cenchen Liu

arXiv 27 Jul 2025 · Econometrics

arXiv:2507.20415 · PDF · Extracted main text

Abstract

This paper examines the identification and estimation of treatment effects in staggered adoption designs -- a common extension of the canonical Difference-in-Differences (DiD) model to multiple groups and time-periods -- in the presence of (time varying) misclassification of the treatment status as well as of anticipation. We demonstrate that standard estimators are biased with respect to commonly used causal parameters of interest under such forms of misspecification. To address this issue, we provide modified estimators that recover the Average Treatment Effect of observed and true switching units, respectively. Additionally, we suggest a testing procedure aimed at detecting the timing and extent of misclassification and anticipation effects. We illustrate the proposed methods with an application to the effects of an anti-cheating policy on school mean test scores in high stakes national exams in Indonesia.

Citation extraction

23
references
72
in-text mentions
23
distinct cited
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main-text words

appendix boundary found by appendix_titled_section at “Appendix” · 52% of the source is main text. Read the extracted text to check this.

Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1De Chaisemartin, C. and D'Haultefoeuille, X (2020) Two-Way Fixed Effects Estimators withHeterogeneous Treatment Effects0.95222786%
2Bindler, Anna and Hjalmarsson, Randi (2018) How Punishment Severity Affects Jury Verdicts: Evidence from Two Natural Experiments0.92843100%
3Berkhout, E. and Pradhan, M. and Rahmawati and Suryadarma, D. and Sw… (2024) Using technology to prevent fraud in high stakes national schoolexaminations: Evidence from Indonesia0.874142100%
4Callaway, B. and Sant'Anna, P (2021) Difference-in-Differences with multiple time periods0.87462100%
5Denteh, A. and Kedagni, D (2022) Misclassification in Difference-in-Differences Models0.73732100%
6Rambachan, Ashesh and Roth, Jonathan (2023) A More Credible Approach to Parallel Trends0.73732100%
7De Chaisemartin, C. and D'Haultefoeuille, X (2024) Under the null of valid specification, pre-tests cannotmake post-test inference liberal0.64422100%
8Lewbel, A (2007) Estimation of Average Treatment Effects with Misclassification0.64422100%
9Abadie, A (2005) Semiparametric difference-in-differences estimators0.40511100%
10Barrios, J.M (2022) Occupational Licensing andAccountant Quality: Evidence fromthe 150-Hour Rule0.40511100%

Showing the top 10 of 23 scored citations.

Cited by, within the corpus

arXiv econ.EM papers that cite this one, ranked by how heavily they lean on it.

Citing paperIntensityMentionsSections
1A Joint Analysis of Sensitivity to Anticipation and Parallel Trends Violations0.40511