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From What Ifs to Insights: Counterfactuals in Causal Inference vs. Explainable AI

Galit Shmueli, David Martens, Jaewon Yoo, Travis Greene

arXiv 19 May 2025 · Statistics — Machine Learning

arXiv:2505.13324 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

Counterfactuals play a pivotal role in the two distinct data science fields of causal inference (CI) and explainable artificial intelligence (XAI). While the core idea behind counterfactuals remains the same in both fields--the examination of what would have happened under different circumstances--there are key differences in how they are used and interpreted. We introduce a formal definition that encompasses the multi-faceted concept of the counterfactual in CI and XAI. We then discuss how counterfactuals are used, evaluated, generated, and operationalized in CI vs. XAI, highlighting conceptual and practical differences. By comparing and contrasting the two, we hope to identify opportunities for cross-fertilization across CI and XAI.

Citation extraction

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appendix boundary found by appendix_command · 86% of the source is main text. Read the extracted text to check this.

Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
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Showing the top 10 of 41 scored citations.