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Detecting Cointegrating Relations in Non-stationary Matrix-Valued Time Series

Alain Hecq, Ivan Ricardo, Ines Wilms

arXiv 8 Nov 2024 · Econometrics · publishedEconomics Letters (2025) · 3 citations (OpenAlex)

arXiv:2411.05601 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

This paper proposes a Matrix Error Correction Model to identify cointegration relations in matrix-valued time series. We hereby allow separate cointegrating relations along the rows and columns of the matrix-valued time series and use information criteria to select the cointegration ranks. Through Monte Carlo simulations and a macroeconomic application, we demonstrate that our approach provides a reliable estimation of the number of cointegrating relationships.

Citation extraction

17
references
24
in-text mentions
17
distinct cited
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self-citations
2,740
main-text words

appendix boundary found by appendix_command · 76% of the source is main text. Read the extracted text to check this.

Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Li, Z. and Xiao, H (2024) Cointegrated matrix autoregression models0.9285380%
2Chen, R.; Xiao, H. and Yang, D (2021) Autoregressive models for matrix-valued time series0.6443267%
3Wilms, I. and Croux, C (2016) Forecasting using sparse cointegration self0.64422100%
4Aznar, A. and Salvador, M (2002) Selecting the rank of the cointegration space and the form of the intercept using an information criterion0.40511100%
5Akaike, H (1974) A new look at the statistical model identification0.40511100%
6Cheng, X. and Phillips, P. C. B (2009) Semiparametric cointegrating rank selection0.40511100%
7Cubadda, G. and Mazzali, M (2023) The vector error correction index model: representation, estimation and identification0.40511100%
8Dawid, A. P (1981) Some matrix-variate distribution theory: Notational considerations and a Bayesian application0.40511100%
9Gutierrez, L (2003) On the power of panel cointegration tests: a Monte Carlo comparison0.40511100%
10Hecq, A.; Ricardo, I. and Wilms, I (2024) Reduced-Rank Matrix Autoregressive Models: A Medium $N$ Approach self0.40511100%

Showing the top 10 of 17 scored citations.

Cited by, within the corpus

arXiv econ.EM papers that cite this one, ranked by how heavily they lean on it.

Citing paperIntensityMentionsSections
1The Cointegrated Matrix Autoregressive Model0.64422
2Factor Models of Matrix-Valued Time Series: Nonstationarity and Cointegration0.40511
3Decomposing Co-Movements in Matrix-Valued Time Series: A Pseudo-Structural Reduced-Rank Approach0.40511