Holly M. Dinkel, Jason K. Cornelius
arXiv 8 Aug 2024 · Econometrics
arXiv:2408.04730 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text
The UN Office of Outer Space Affairs identifies synergy of space development activities and international cooperation through data and infrastructure sharing in their Sustainable Development Goal 17 (SDG17). Current multilateral space exploration paradigms, however, are divided between the Artemis and the Roscosmos-CNSA programs to return to the moon and establish permanent human settlements. As space agencies work to expand human presence in space, economic resource consolidation in pursuit of technologically ambitious space expeditions is the most sensible path to accomplish SDG17. This paper compiles a budget dataset for the top five federally-funded space agencies: CNSA, ESA, JAXA, NASA, and Roscosmos. Using time-series econometric anslysis methods in STATA, this work analyzes each agency's economic contributions toward space exploration. The dataset results are used to propose a multinational space mission, Vela, for the development of an orbiting space station around Mars in the late 2030s. Distribution of economic resources and technological capabilities by the respective space programs are proposed to ensure programmatic redundancy and increase the odds of success on the given timeline.
appendix boundary found by appendix_titled_section at “\centering Appendix A: Epilogue” · 89% of the source is main text. Read the extracted text to check this.
The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.
| Reference | Intensity | Mentions | Sections | Main text | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jason Cornelius, Holly Dinkel, and Arzu Kurgan (2021) https://hollydinkel.github.io/assets/pdf/GLEX2021.pdfDevelopment of a Private Space Sector in the U.S. and Russia self | 0.511 | 2 | 1 | 100% |
| 2 | Atif Ansar and Bent Flyvbjerg (2022) https://academic.oup.com/oxrep/article/38/3/717/6661045How to Solve Big Problems: Bespoke Versus Platform Strategies | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 3 | NASA (2020) https://www.nasa.gov/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Artemis-Accords-signed-13Oct2020.pdf?emrc=653a00The Artemis Accords: Principles… | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 4 | André Baumgart, Eirini Ioanna Vlachopoulou, Jorge Del Rio Vera, and… (2021) https://sustainableearthreviews.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s42055-021-00045-6Space for the Sustainable Development Goals… | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 5 | David A. Broniatowski, G. Ryan Faith, and Vincent G. Sabathier (2006) https://www.csis.org/analysis/case-managed-international-cooperation-space-explorationThe Case for Managed International Coopera… | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 6 | Keith W. Crane, Benjamin A. Corbin, Bhavya Lal, Reina S. Buenconsejo… (2017) https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/resrep22888.12.pdfPotential Costs of Future Private Space Station | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 7 | ESA (2002) https://www.esa.int/esapub/annuals/annual02.htmAnnual Report 2002 | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 8 | ESA (2006) https://www.esa.int/esapub/annuals/annual06/ESA_AR2006.pdfAnnual Report 2006 | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 9 | ESA (2008) https://esamultimedia.esa.int/multimedia/publications/AnnualReport2008/ESA-Annual-Report-2008.pdfAnnual Report 2008 | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| 10 | ESA (2020) https://www.esa.int/ESA_Multimedia/Images/2020/01/ESA_budget_by_domain_2020ESA Budget by Domain 2020, 2020 | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
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