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Testing for Asymmetric Information in Insurance with Deep Learning

Serguei Maliar, Bernard Salanie

arXiv 28 Apr 2024 · Econometrics

arXiv:2404.18207 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

The positive correlation test for asymmetric information developed by Chiappori and Salanie (2000) has been applied in many insurance markets. Most of the literature focuses on the special case of constant correlation; it also relies on restrictive parametric specifications for the choice of coverage and the occurrence of claims. We relax these restrictions by estimating conditional covariances and correlations using deep learning methods. We test the positive correlation property by using the intersection test of Chernozhukov, Lee, and Rosen (2013) and the "sorted groups" test of Chernozhukov, Demirer, Duflo, and Fernandez-Val (2023). Our results confirm earlier findings that the correlation between risk and coverage is small. Random forests and gradient boosting trees produce similar results to neural networks.

Citation extraction

17
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appendix boundary found by appendix_titled_section at “Appendix: additional results” · 90% of the source is main text. Read the extracted text to check this.

Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Chiappori and Salanié (2000) Testing for Asymmetric Information in Insurance Markets1.000164100%
2Chernozhukov, Demirer, Duflo, and Fernández-Val (2023) Generic Machine Learning Inference On Heterogenous Treatment Effects in Randomized Experiments, With An Application To Immunizat…1.00073100%
3Chernozhukov, Lee, and Rosen (2013) Intersection Bounds: Estimation and Inference0.92843100%
4Semenova and Chernozhukov (2021) Debiased Machine Learning of Conditional Average Treatment Effects and Other Causal Functions0.81142100%
5Chernozhukov et al (2018) Double/debiased machine learning for treatment and structural parameters0.73732100%
6Chiappori, Jullien, Salanié, and Salanié (2006) Asymmetric information in insurance: general testable implications0.51121100%
7Abadi et al (2016) TensorFlow: Large-Scale Machine Learning on Heterogeneous Distributed Systems0.40511100%
8Chollet (2021) Deep Learning with Python, Second Edition0.40511100%
9Dionne, Gouriéroux, and Vanasse (2001) Testing for evidence of adverse selection in the automobile insurance market: A comment0.40511100%
10Dionne, Gouriéroux, and Vanasse (2006) Informational content of household decisions with applications to insurance under asymmetric information0.40511100%

Showing the top 10 of 17 scored citations.