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The Role of Carbon Pricing in Food Inflation: Evidence from Canadian Provinces

Jiansong Xu

arXiv 15 Apr 2024 · Econometrics · 1 citations (OpenAlex)

arXiv:2404.09467 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

In the search for political-economic tools for greenhouse gas mitigation, carbon pricing, which includes carbon tax and cap-and-trade, is implemented by many governments. However, the inflating food prices in carbon-pricing countries, such as Canada, have led many to believe such policies harm food affordability. This study aims to identify changes in food prices induced by carbon pricing using the case of Canadian provinces. Using the staggered difference-in-difference (DiD) approach, we find an overall deflationary effect of carbon pricing on food prices (measured by monthly provincial food CPI). The average reductions in food CPI compared to before carbon pricing are $2%$ and $4%$ within and beyond two years of implementation. We further find that the deflationary effects are partially driven by lower consumption with no significant change via farm input costs. Evidence in this paper suggests no inflationary effect of carbon pricing in Canadian provinces, thus giving no support to the growing voices against carbon pricing policies.

Citation extraction

32
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60
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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Konradt, M. and B. Weder (2021) Carbon taxation and inflation: evidence from the european and canadian experience1.00094100%
2Beck, M., N. Rivers, R. Wigle, and H. Yonezawa (2015) Carbon tax and revenue recycling: Impacts on households in british columbia0.92843100%
3Tombe, T. and J. Winter (2023) Energy and environmental policy trends: Emissions pricing and affordability: Lessons from british columbia0.92843100%
4McKibbin, W., M. Konradt, and B. Weder di Mauro (2021) Climate policies and monetary policies in the euro area0.84333100%
5Government of Alberta (2009) Annual Summary of Specified Gas Emitters Regulation: 20090.73732100%
6Moessner, R (2022) Effects of carbon pricing on inflation0.73732100%
7Statistics Canada (2024) Consumer price index, monthly, not seasonally adjusted0.73732100%
8Winter, J., B. Dolter, and G. K. Fellows (2023) Carbon pricing costs for households and the progressivity of revenue recycling options in canada0.73732100%
9Network for Greening the Financial System (2020) Climate change and monetary policy0.64422100%
10Chen, Y. and T. Tombe (2023) The rise (and fall?) of inflation in canada: A detailed analysis of its post-pandemic experience0.64422100%

Showing the top 10 of 32 scored citations.