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Composite likelihood estimation of stationary Gaussian processes with a view toward stochastic volatility

Mikkel Bennedsen, Kim Christensen, Peter Christensen

arXiv 19 Mar 2024 · Econometrics · publishedJournal of Econometrics (2026) · 1 citations (OpenAlex)

arXiv:2403.12653 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

We develop a framework for composite likelihood inference of parametric continuous-time stationary Gaussian processes. We derive the asymptotic theory of the associated maximum composite likelihood estimator. We implement our approach on a pair of models that has been proposed to describe the random log-spot variance of financial asset returns. A simulation study shows that it delivers good performance in these settings and improves upon a method-of-moments estimation. In an application, we inspect the dynamic of an intraday measure of spot variance computed with high-frequency data from the cryptocurrency market. The empirical evidence supports a mechanism, where the short- and long-term correlation structure of stochastic volatility are decoupled in order to capture its properties at different time scales.

Citation extraction

68
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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Bolko, Christensen, Pakkanen, and Veliyev (2023) A GMM approach to estimate the roughness of stochastic volatility1.000105100%
2Gatheral, Jaisson, and Rosenbaum (2018) Volatility is rough1.00065100%
3Fukasawa, Takabatake, and Westphal (2022) Consistent estimation for fractional stochastic volatility model under high-frequency asymptotics1.00064100%
4Shi, Yu, and Zhang (2024) On the spectral density of fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes1.00054100%
5Wang, Xiao, and Yu (2023) Modeling and forecasting realized volatility with the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process0.94112683%
6Bennedsen, Lunde, and Pakkanen (2022) Decoupling the short- and long-term behavior of stochastic volatility0.92810780%
7Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold, and Labys (2003) Modeling and forecasting realized volatility0.92843100%
8Wang, Xiao, Yu, and Zhang (2025) Maximum likelihood estimation of fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with discretely sampled data0.92843100%
9Hosking (1996) Asymptotic distributions of the sample mean, autocovariances, and autocorrelations of long-memory time series0.8947471%
10Davis and Yau (2011) Comments on pairwise likelihood in time series models0.87462100%

Showing the top 10 of 68 scored citations.

Cited by, within the corpus

arXiv econ.EM papers that cite this one, ranked by how heavily they lean on it.

Citing paperIntensityMentionsSections
1Optimal Estimation for General Gaussian Processes0.51122