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Triple/Debiased Lasso for Statistical Inference of Conditional Average Treatment Effects

Masahiro Kato

arXiv 5 Mar 2024 · Statistics — Methodology

arXiv:2403.03240 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

This study investigates the estimation and the statistical inference about Conditional Average Treatment Effects (CATEs), which have garnered attention as a metric representing individualized causal effects. In our data-generating process, we assume linear models for the outcomes associated with binary treatments and define the CATE as a difference between the expected outcomes of these linear models. This study allows the linear models to be high-dimensional, and our interest lies in consistent estimation and statistical inference for the CATE. In high-dimensional linear regression, one typical approach is to assume sparsity. However, in our study, we do not assume sparsity directly. Instead, we consider sparsity only in the difference of the linear models. We first use a doubly robust estimator to approximate this difference and then regress the difference on covariates with Lasso regularization. Although this regression estimator is consistent for the CATE, we further reduce the bias using the techniques in double/debiased machine learning (DML) and debiased Lasso, leading to $\sqrt{n}$-consistency and confidence intervals. We refer to the debiased estimator as the triple/debiased Lasso (TDL), applying both DML and debiased Lasso techniques. We confirm the soundness of our proposed method through simulation studies.

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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Qingliang Fan, Yu-Chin Hsu, Robert P. Lieli, and Yichong Zhang (2022) Estimation of conditional average treatment effects with high-dimensional data0.87482100%
2Victor Chernozhukov, Denis Chetverikov, Mert Demirer, Esther Duflo,… (2018) Double/debiased machine learning for treatment and structural parameters0.8434475%
3Sara van de Geer, Peter Bühlmann, Ya’acov Ritov, and Ruben Dezeure (2014) On asymptotically optimal confidence regions and tests for high-dimensional models0.84320660%
4T. Tony Cai and Zijian Guo (2017) Confidence intervals for high-dimensional linear regression: Minimax rates and adaptivity0.7373367%
5Adel Javanmard and Andrea Montanari (2014) Confidence intervals and hypothesis testing for high-dimensional regression0.7373367%
6Peter L. Bartlett, Philip M. Long, Gábor Lugosi, and Alexander Tsigler (2020) Benign overfitting in linear regression0.73732100%
7Jason Abrevaya, Yu-Chin Hsu, and Robert P. Lieli (2015) Estimating conditional average treatment effects0.64422100%
8James J. Heckman, Hidehiko Ichimura, and Petra E. Todd (1997) Matching as an econometric evaluation estimator: Evidence from evaluating a job training programme0.64422100%
9Sören R. Künzel, Jasjeet S. Sekhon, Peter J. Bickel, and Bin Yu (2019) Metalearners for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects using machine learning0.64422100%
10Wenjing Zheng and Mark J van der Laan (2011) Cross-validated targeted minimum-loss-based estimation0.64422100%

Showing the top 10 of 57 scored citations.