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Decomposing Global Bank Network Connectedness: What is Common, Idiosyncratic and When?

Jonas Krampe, Luca Margaritella

arXiv 4 Feb 2024 · Econometrics · 1 citations (OpenAlex)

arXiv:2402.02482 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

We propose a novel approach to estimate high-dimensional global bank network connectedness in both the time and frequency domains. By employing a factor model with sparse VAR idiosyncratic components, we decompose system-wide connectedness (SWC) into two key drivers: (i) common component shocks and (ii) idiosyncratic shocks. We also provide bootstrap confidence bands for all SWC measures. Furthermore, spectral density estimation allows us to disentangle SWC into short-, medium-, and long-term frequency responses to these shocks. We apply our methodology to two datasets of daily stock price volatilities for over 90 global banks, spanning the periods 2003-2013 and 2014-2023. Our empirical analysis reveals that SWC spikes during global crises, primarily driven by common component shocks and their short term effects. Conversely, in normal times, SWC is largely influenced by idiosyncratic shocks and medium-term dynamics.

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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Krampe, J. & Margaritella, L (2025) Factor models with sparse var idiosyncratic components self1.000216100%
2Demirer, M., Diebold, F. X., Liu, L., & Yilmaz, K (2018) Estimating global bank network connectedness1.000193100%
3Wu, W. B. & Zaffaroni, P (2018) Asymptotic theory for spectral density estimates of general multivariate time series1.00053100%
4Diebold, F. X. & Ylmaz, K (2014) On the network topology of variance decompositions: Measuring the connectedness of financial firms0.87472100%
5Cai, T., Liu, W., & Luo, X (2011) A constrained l1 minimization approach to sparse precision matrix estimation0.84333100%
6Krampe, J., Paparoditis, E., & Trenkler, C (2023) Structural inference in sparse high-dimensional vector autoregressions self0.84333100%
7Barigozzi, M., Hallin, M., Soccorsi, S., & von Sachs, R (2021) Time-varying general dynamic factor models and the measurement of financial connectedness0.81142100%
8Acemoglu, D., Ozdaglar, A., & Tahbaz-Salehi, A (2015) Systemic risk and stability in financial networks0.73732100%
9Koop, G., Pesaran, M. H., & Potter, S. M (1996) Impulse response analysis in nonlinear multivariate models0.73732100%
10Krampe, J. & Paparoditis, E (2021) Sparsity concepts and estimation procedures for high-dimensional vector autoregressive models self0.73732100%

Showing the top 10 of 40 scored citations.