Phoebe Koundouri, Georgios I. Papayiannis, Achilleas Vassilopoulos, Athanasios N. Yannacopoulos
arXiv 7 Dec 2023 · Econometrics · publishedJournal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society) (2024) · 1 citations (OpenAlex)
arXiv:2312.04428 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text
This study presents a novel approach to assessing food security risks at the national level, employing a probabilistic scenario-based framework that integrates both Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) and Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP). This innovative method allows each scenario, encompassing socio-economic and climate factors, to be treated as a model capable of generating diverse trajectories. This approach offers a more dynamic understanding of food security risks under varying future conditions. The paper details the methodologies employed, showcasing their applicability through a focused analysis of food security challenges in Egypt and Ethiopia, and underscores the importance of considering a spectrum of socio-economic and climatic factors in national food security assessments.
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The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.
| Reference | Intensity | Mentions | Sections | Main text | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fouré, J., A. Bénassy-Quéré, and L. Fontagné (2013) Modelling the world economy at the 2050 horizon | 1.000 | 5 | 4 | 100% |
| 2 | Fontagné, L., E. Perego, and G. Santoni (2022) Mage 3.1: Long-term macroeconomic projections of the world economy | 1.000 | 5 | 4 | 100% |
| 3 | Lutz, W., A. Goujon, S. Kc, M. Stonawski, and N. Stilianakis (2018) Demographic and human capital scenarios for the 21st century: 2018 assessment for 201 countries | 0.874 | 5 | 2 | 100% |
| 4 | Papayiannis, G. I. and A. N. Yannacopoulos (2018) Convex risk measures for the aggregation of multiple information sources and applications in insurance self | 0.874 | 5 | 2 | 100% |
| 5 | Petracou, E. V., A. Xepapadeas, and A. N. Yannacopoulos (2022) Decision making under model uncertainty: Fréchet–Wasserstein mean preferences | 0.811 | 4 | 2 | 100% |
| 6 | Raftery, A. E., N. Li, H. Sevcḱová, P. Gerland, and G. K. Heilig (2012) Bayesian probabilistic population projections for all countries | 0.811 | 4 | 2 | 100% |
| 7 | Raftery, A. E., J. L. Chunn, P. Gerland, and H. Sevcḱová (2013) Bayesian probabilistic projections of life expectancy for all countries | 0.811 | 4 | 2 | 100% |
| 8 | Hasegawa, T., S. Fujimori, K. Takahashi, and T. Masui (2015) Scenarios for the risk of hunger in the twenty-first century using shared socioeconomic pathways | 0.737 | 3 | 2 | 100% |
| 9 | Meinshausen, M., Z. R. Nicholls, J. Lewis, M. J. Gidden, E. Vogel, M… (2020) The shared socio-economic pathway (SSP) greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions to 2500 | 0.737 | 3 | 2 | 100% |
| 10 | Valin, H., R. D. Sands, D. Van der Mensbrugghe, G. C. Nelson, H. Aha… (2014) The future of food demand: understanding differences in global economic models | 0.737 | 3 | 2 | 100% |
Showing the top 10 of 52 scored citations.