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Nonparametric Estimation of Large Spot Volatility Matrices for High-Frequency Financial Data

Ruijun Bu, Degui Li, Oliver Linton, Hanchao Wang

arXiv 3 Jul 2023 · Econometrics · publishedEconometric Theory (2025) · 1 citations (OpenAlex)

arXiv:2307.01348 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

In this paper, we consider estimating spot/instantaneous volatility matrices of high-frequency data collected for a large number of assets. We first combine classic nonparametric kernel-based smoothing with a generalised shrinkage technique in the matrix estimation for noise-free data under a uniform sparsity assumption, a natural extension of the approximate sparsity commonly used in the literature. The uniform consistency property is derived for the proposed spot volatility matrix estimator with convergence rates comparable to the optimal minimax one. For the high-frequency data contaminated by microstructure noise, we introduce a localised pre-averaging estimation method that reduces the effective magnitude of the noise. We then use the estimation tool developed in the noise-free scenario, and derive the uniform convergence rates for the developed spot volatility matrix estimator. We further combine the kernel smoothing with the shrinkage technique to estimate the time-varying volatility matrix of the high-dimensional noise vector. In addition, we consider large spot volatility matrix estimation in time-varying factor models with observable risk factors and derive the uniform convergence property. We provide numerical studies including simulation and empirical application to examine the performance of the proposed estimation methods in finite samples.

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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Fan, Furger \ Xiu (2016) Incorporating global industrial classification standard into portfolio allocation: A simple factor-based large covariance matrix…1.00073100%
2Kanaya \ Kristensen (2016) Estimation of stochastic volatility models by nonparametric filtering1.00053100%
3Dai, Lu \ Xiu (2019) Knowing factors or factor loadings, or neither? Evaluating estimators for large covariance matrices with noisy and asynchronous…0.96510690%
4Aẗ-Sahalia, Kalnina \ Xiu (2020) High-frequency factor models and regressions0.92843100%
5Tao, Wang \ Zhou (2013) Optimal sparse volatility matrix estimation for high-dimensional Itô processes with measurement errors0.92843100%
6Chen \ Leng (2016) Dynamic covariance models0.87452100%
7Wang \ Zou (2010) Vast volatility matrix estimation for high-frequency financial data0.8434375%
8Bickel \ Levina (2008) Covariance regularization by thresholding0.84333100%
9Barndorff-Nielsen \ Shephard (2004) Econometric analysis of realized covariation: High frequency based covariance, regression and correlation in financial economics0.84333100%
10Kalnina \ Linton (2008) Estimating quadratic variation consistently in the presence of endogenous and diurnal measurement error0.84333100%

Showing the top 10 of 59 scored citations.

Cited by, within the corpus

arXiv econ.EM papers that cite this one, ranked by how heavily they lean on it.

Citing paperIntensityMentionsSections
1Spectral analysis of high-dimensional spot volatility matrix with applications0.64422