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An MCMC Approach to Classical Estimation

Victor Chernozhukov, Han Hong

arXiv 18 Jan 2023 · Econometrics

arXiv:2301.07782 · PDF · Extracted main text

Abstract

This paper studies computationally and theoretically attractive estimators called the Laplace type estimators (LTE), which include means and quantiles of Quasi-posterior distributions defined as transformations of general (non-likelihood-based) statistical criterion functions, such as those in GMM, nonlinear IV, empirical likelihood, and minimum distance methods. The approach generates an alternative to classical extremum estimation and also falls outside the parametric Bayesian approach. For example, it offers a new attractive estimation method for such important semi-parametric problems as censored and instrumental quantile, nonlinear GMM and value-at-risk models. The LTE's are computed using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, which help circumvent the computational curse of dimensionality. A large sample theory is obtained for regular cases.

Citation extraction

77
references
167
in-text mentions
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distinct cited
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main-text words

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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Amemiya, T (1985) Advanced Econometrics0.69381100%
2Gallant, A. R., White, H (1988) A Unified Theory of Estimation and Inference for Nonlinear Dynamic Models0.69351100%
3Koenker, R., Bassett, G. S (1978) Regression quantiles0.69351100%
4Newey, W. K., Smith, R (2001) Higher order properties of GMM and generalized empirical likeliood estimators, Working Paper, Department of Economics MIT0.69351100%
5Qin, J., Lawless, J (1994) Empirical likelihood and general estimating equations0.69351100%
6Bickel, P. J., Yahav, J. A (1969) Some contributions to the asymptotic theory of Bayes solutions0.6526183%
7Ibragimov, I., Has'minskii, R (1981) Statistical Estimation: Asymptotic Theory0.6445180%
8van der Vaart, A. W., Wellner, J. A (1996) Weak Convergence and Empirical Processes0.6445180%
9Powell, J. L (1984) Least absolute deviations estimation for the censored regression model0.64441100%
10Robert, C. P., Casella, G (1999) Monte Carlo Statistical Methods0.5855160%

Showing the top 10 of 77 scored citations.

Cited by, within the corpus

arXiv econ.EM papers that cite this one, ranked by how heavily they lean on it.

Citing paperIntensityMentionsSections
1Generalized Bayes in Conditional Moment Restriction Models1.00085
2Quasi-Bayesian Hierarchical Models1.00063
3Monte Carlo Confidence Sets for Identified Sets1.00054
4Quasi-Bayesian Local Projection Instrumental-Variables Method: Application to Renewable Energy and Electricity Prices1.00053
5Automatically Differentiable Random Coefficient Logistic Demand Estimation0.92843
6Quasi-Bayes in Latent Variable Models0.92843
7Continuous Record Laplace-based Inference about the Break Date in Structural Change Models0.87472
8Smoothed GMM for quantile models0.81142
9Generalized Laplace Inference in Multiple Change-Points Models0.81142
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