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Doubly-Robust Inference for Conditional Average Treatment Effects with High-Dimensional Controls

Adam Baybutt, Manu Navjeevan

arXiv 16 Jan 2023 · Econometrics

arXiv:2301.06283 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

Plausible identification of conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) may rely on controlling for a large number of variables to account for confounding factors. In these high-dimensional settings, estimation of the CATE requires estimating first-stage models whose consistency relies on correctly specifying their parametric forms. While doubly-robust estimators of the CATE exist, inference procedures based on the second stage CATE estimator are not doubly-robust. Using the popular augmented inverse propensity weighting signal, we propose an estimator for the CATE whose resulting Wald-type confidence intervals are doubly-robust. We assume a logistic model for the propensity score and a linear model for the outcome regression, and estimate the parameters of these models using an $\ell_1$ (Lasso) penalty to address the high dimensional covariates. Our proposed estimator remains consistent at the nonparametric rate and our proposed pointwise and uniform confidence intervals remain asymptotically valid even if one of the logistic propensity score or linear outcome regression models are misspecified. These results are obtained under similar conditions to existing analyses in the high-dimensional and nonparametric literatures.

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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Semenova, V. and V. Chernozhukov (2021, 08) (2021) Debiased machine learning of conditional average treatment effects and other causal functions0.9209678%
2Tan, Z (2020) Model-assisted inference for treatment effects using regularized calibrated estimation with high-dimensional data0.87452100%
3Belloni, A., V. Chernozhukov, D. Chetverikov, and K. Kato (2015) Some new asymptotic theory for least squares series: Pointwise and uniform results0.85516562%
4Newey, W (1997) Convergence rates and asymptotic normality for series estimators0.8434475%
5Chetverikov, D. and J. R.-V. Sørensen (2021) Analytic and bootstrap-after-cross-validation methods for selecting penalty parameters of high-dimensional m-estimators0.8229556%
6Bickel, P. J., Y. Ritov, and A. B. Tsybakov (2009) Simultaneous analysis of Lasso and Dantzig selector0.73732100%
7Zimmert, M. and M. Lechner (2019) Nonparametric estimation of causal heterogeneity under high-dimensional confounding0.69351100%
8Belloni, A. and V. Chernozhukov (2013) Least squares after model selection in high-dimensional sparse models0.64422100%
9Wang, W. and J. Yan (2021) Shape-restricted regression splines with R package splines20.64422100%
10Tan, Z (2017) Regularized calibrated estimation of propensity scores with model misspecification and high-dimensional data0.5113233%

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Cited by, within the corpus

arXiv econ.EM papers that cite this one, ranked by how heavily they lean on it.

Citing paperIntensityMentionsSections
1Uniform Confidence Band for Marginal Treatment Effect Function0.40511