Nathan Kettlewell, Peter Siminski
arXiv 8 Dec 2022 · Econometrics · 3 citations (OpenAlex)
arXiv:2212.04043 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text
We propose a new model-selection algorithm for Regression Discontinuity Design, Regression Kink Design, and related IV estimators. Candidate models are assessed within a 'placebo zone' of the running variable, where the true effects are known to be zero. The approach yields an optimal combination of bandwidth, polynomial, and any other choice parameters. It can also inform choices between classes of models (e.g. RDD versus cohort-IV) and any other choices, such as covariates, kernel, or other weights. We outline sufficient conditions under which the approach is asymptotically optimal. The approach also performs favorably under more general conditions in a series of Monte Carlo simulations. We demonstrate the approach in an evaluation of changes to Minimum Supervised Driving Hours in the Australian state of New South Wales. We also re-evaluate evidence on the effects of Head Start and Minimum Legal Drinking Age. Our Stata commands implement the procedure and compare its performance to other approaches.
appendix boundary found by none_found · 100% of the source is main text. Read the extracted text to check this.
The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.
| Reference | Intensity | Mentions | Sections | Main text | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ludwig_miller_2007 APACrefauthors Ludwig, J. \ Miller, D L. APACrefa… (2007) 2007 | 1.000 | 6 | 3 | 100% |
| 2 | kettlewell_siminski_2020 APACrefauthors Kettlewell, N. \ Siminski, P… (2020) 2020 | 1.000 | 5 | 4 | 100% |
| 3 | ganong_jager_2018 APACrefauthors Ganong, P. \ Jäger, S. APACrefautho… (2018) 2018 | 0.928 | 4 | 3 | 100% |
| 4 | lindo_siminski_yerokhin_2016 APACrefauthors Lindo, J. , Siminski, P.… (2016) 2016 | 0.928 | 4 | 3 | 100% |
| 5 | carpenter_dobkin_2009 APACrefauthors Carpenter, C. \ Dobkin, C. APAC… (2009) 2009 | 0.811 | 4 | 2 | 100% |
| 6 | calonico_et_al_2019 APACrefauthors Calonico, S. , Cattaneo, M D. , F… (2019) 2019 | 0.693 | 6 | 1 | 100% |
| 7 | calonico_cattaneo_titiunik_2014 APACrefauthors Calonico, S. , Cattan… (2014) 2014 | 0.644 | 2 | 2 | 100% |
| 8 | card_etal_2017 APACrefauthors Card, D. , Lee, D S. , Pei, Z. \ Weber… (2017) 2017 | 0.585 | 3 | 1 | 100% |
| 9 | gelman_imbens_2019 APACrefauthors Gelman, A. \ Imbens, G. APACrefaut… (2019) 2019 | 0.585 | 3 | 1 | 100% |
| 10 | angrist_lavy_1999 APACrefauthors Angrist, J D. \ Lavy, V. APACrefaut… (1999) 1999 | 0.511 | 2 | 1 | 100% |
Showing the top 10 of 33 scored citations.