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A Data Fusion Approach for Ride-sourcing Demand Estimation: A Discrete Choice Model with Sampling and Endogeneity Corrections

Rico Krueger, Michel Bierlaire, Prateek Bansal

arXiv 5 Dec 2022 · Econometrics · publishedTransportation Research Part C Emerging Technologies (2023) · 16 citations (OpenAlex)

arXiv:2212.02178 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

Ride-sourcing services offered by companies like Uber and Didi have grown rapidly in the last decade. Understanding the demand for these services is essential for planning and managing modern transportation systems. Existing studies develop statistical models for ride-sourcing demand estimation at an aggregate level due to limited data availability. These models lack foundations in microeconomic theory, ignore competition of ride-sourcing with other travel modes, and cannot be seamlessly integrated into existing individual-level (disaggregate) activity-based models to evaluate system-level impacts of ride-sourcing services. In this paper, we present and apply an approach for estimating ride-sourcing demand at a disaggregate level using discrete choice models and multiple data sources. We first construct a sample of trip-based mode choices in Chicago, USA by enriching household travel survey with publicly available ride-sourcing and taxi trip records. We then formulate a multivariate extreme value-based discrete choice with sampling and endogeneity corrections to account for the construction of the estimation sample from multiple data sources and endogeneity biases arising from supply-side constraints and surge pricing mechanisms in ride-sourcing systems. Our analysis of the constructed dataset reveals insights into the influence of various socio-economic, land use and built environment features on ride-sourcing demand. We also derive elasticities of ride-sourcing demand relative to travel cost and time. Finally, we illustrate how the developed model can be employed to quantify the welfare implications of ride-sourcing policies and regulations such as terminating certain types of services and introducing ride-sourcing taxes.

Citation extraction

73
references
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distinct cited
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Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Ghaffar, A., Mitra, S., and Hyland, M (2020) Modeling determinants of ridesourcing usage: A census tract-level analysis of chicago0.8434375%
2Petrin, A. and Train, K (2010) A control function approach to endogeneity in consumer choice models0.84333100%
3Lurkin, V., Garrow, L. A., Higgins, M. J., Newman, J. P., and Schyns… (2017) Accounting for price endogeneity in airline itinerary choice models: An application to continental us markets0.73732100%
4Tirachini, A (2020) Ride-hailing, travel behaviour and sustainable mobility: an international review0.73732100%
5Bierlaire, M. and Krueger, R (2020) Sampling and discrete choice self0.64422100%
6Marquet, O (2020) Spatial distribution of ride-hailing trip demand and its association with walkability and neighborhood characteristics0.5112250%
7McFadden, D (2012) Computing willingness–to–pay in random utility models0.5112250%
8von Behren, S., Chlond, B., and Vortisch, P (2021) Exploring the role of individuals’ attitudes in the use of on-demand mobility services for commuting–a case study in eight chine…0.5112250%
9Goletz, M. and Bahamonde-Birke, F. J (2021) The ride-sourcing industry: status-quo and outlook0.51121100%
10Koppelman, F. S., Coldren, G. M., and Parker, R. A (2008) Schedule delay impacts on air-travel itinerary demand0.51121100%

Showing the top 10 of 73 scored citations.