Ulrike Unterhofer, Conny Wunsch
arXiv 22 Nov 2022 · Econometrics · 1 citations (OpenAlex)
arXiv:2211.12437 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text
This study evaluates the macroeconomic effects of active labour market policies (ALMP) in Germany over the period 2005 to 2018. We propose a novel identification strategy to overcome the simultaneity of ALMP and labour market outcomes at the regional level. It exploits the imperfect overlap of local labour markets and local employment agencies that decide on the local implementation of policies. Specifically, we instrument for the use of ALMP in a local labour market with the mix of ALMP implemented outside this market but in local employment agencies that partially overlap with this market. We find no effects of short-term activation measures and further vocational training on aggregate labour market outcomes. In contrast, wage subsidies substantially increase the share of workers in unsubsidised employment while lowering long-term unemployment and welfare dependency. Our results suggest that negative externalities of ALMP partially offset the effects for program participants and that some segments of the labour market benefit more than others.
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The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.
| Reference | Intensity | Mentions | Sections | Main text | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Card, Kluve and Weber (2018) What works? A meta analysis of recent active labor market program evaluations | 1.000 | 5 | 3 | 100% |
| 2 | Wapler, Werner and Wolf (2018) Active labour market policies in Germany: do regional labour markets benefit? | 0.843 | 3 | 3 | 100% |
| 3 | Kropp and Schwengler (2016) Three-Step Method for Delineating Functional Labour Market Regions | 0.811 | 5 | 2 | 80% |
| 4 | Biewen, Fitzenberger, Osikominu and Paul (2014) The Effectiveness of Public-Sponsored Training Revisited: The Importance of Data and Methodological Choices | 0.811 | 4 | 2 | 100% |
| 5 | Calmfors (1994) Active Labour Market Policy and Unemployment - A Framework for the Analysis of crucial Design Features | 0.811 | 4 | 2 | 100% |
| 6 | Dahlberg and Forslund (2005) Direct Displacement Effects of Labour Market Programmes | 0.811 | 4 | 2 | 100% |
| Calmfors2002 | unmatched citation key Calmfors2002 | 0.737 | 3 | 2 | 100% |
| Crepon2013 | unmatched citation key Crepon2013 | 0.737 | 3 | 2 | 100% |
| 9 | Fertig, Kluve and Schmidt (2006) Die makroökonomische Wirkung aktiver Arbeitsmarktpolitik - eine Panelanalyse auf Ebene regionaler Arbeitsmärkte | 0.737 | 3 | 2 | 100% |
| 10 | Osikominu (2013) Quick Job Entry or Long-Term Human Capital Development? The Dynamic Effects of Alternative Training Schemes | 0.737 | 3 | 2 | 100% |
Showing the top 10 of 98 scored citations. 2 of these could not be matched to a bibliography entry, so only the citation key is shown.