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Misspecification and Weak Identification in Asset Pricing

Frank Kleibergen, Zhaoguo Zhan

arXiv 27 Jun 2022 · Econometrics · 1 citations (OpenAlex)

arXiv:2206.13600 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

The widespread co-existence of misspecification and weak identification in asset pricing has led to an overstated performance of risk factors. Because the conventional Fama and MacBeth (1973) methodology is jeopardized by misspecification and weak identification, we infer risk premia by using a double robust Lagrange multiplier test that remains reliable in the presence of these two empirically relevant issues. Moreover, we show how the identification, and the resulting appropriate interpretation, of the risk premia is governed by the relative magnitudes of the misspecification J-statistic and the identification IS-statistic. We revisit several prominent empirical applications and all specifications with one to six factors from the factor zoo of Feng, Giglio, and Xiu (2020) to emphasize the widespread occurrence of misspecification and weak identification.

Citation extraction

37
references
54
in-text mentions
37
distinct cited
9
self-citations
14,655
main-text words

appendix boundary found by appendix_titled_section at “Appendix” · 85% of the source is main text. Read the extracted text to check this.

Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1Kleibergen F. and Z. Zhan (2015) Unexplained factors and their effects on second pass r-squared's self0.84333100%
2Kleibergen, F (2009) Tests of Risk Premia in Linear Factor Models self0.81142100%
3Kan, R., C. Robotti and J. Shanken (2013) Pricing Model Performance and the Two-Pass Cross-Sectional Regression Methodology0.81142100%
4Feng, G. and Giglio, S. and Xiu, D (2020) Taming the factor zoo: A test of new factors0.73732100%
5Kan, R. and C. Zhang (1999) Two-Pass Tests of Asset Pricing Models with Useless Factors0.73732100%
6Shanken, J (1992) On the Estimation of Beta-Pricing Models0.73732100%
7Hansen, L.P., J. Heaton and A. Yaron (1996) Finite Sample Properties of Some Alternative GMM Estimators0.64422100%
8Kleibergen, F. and Z. Zhan (2020) Robust Inference for Consumption-Based Asset Pricing self0.51121100%
9Staiger, D. and J.H. Stock (1997) Instrumental Variables Regression with Weak Instruments0.51121100%
10Kroencke, T.A (2017) Asset Pricing without Garbage0.40511100%

Showing the top 10 of 37 scored citations.