EconBase
← All papers

Bootstrap Cointegration Tests in ARDL Models

Stefano Bertelli, Gianmarco Vacca, Maria Grazia Zoia

arXiv 11 Apr 2022 · Econometrics · publishedEconomic Modelling (2022) · 25 citations (OpenAlex)

arXiv:2204.04939 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text

Abstract

The paper proposes a new bootstrap approach to the Pesaran, Shin and Smith's bound tests in a conditional equilibrium correction model with the aim to overcome some typical drawbacks of the latter, such as inconclusive inference and distortion in size. The bootstrap tests are worked out under several data generating processes, including degenerate cases. Monte Carlo simulations confirm the better performance of the bootstrap tests with respect to bound ones and to the asymptotic F test on the independent variables of the ARDL model. It is also proved that any inference carried out in misspecified models, such as unconditional ARDLs, may be misleading. Empirical applications highlight the importance of employing the appropriate specification and provide definitive answers to the inconclusive inference of the bound tests when exploring the long-term equilibrium relationship between economic variables.

Citation extraction

19
references
47
in-text mentions
19
distinct cited
0
self-citations
10,900
main-text words

appendix boundary found by appendix_command · 75% of the source is main text. Read the extracted text to check this.

Most heavily cited references

The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.

ReferenceIntensityMentionsSectionsMain text
1McNown, Robert and Sam, Chung Yan and Goh, Soo Khoon (2018) Bootstrapping the autoregressive distributed lag test for cointegration1.000113100%
2Sam, Chung Yan and McNown, Robert and Goh, Soo Khoon (2019) An augmented autoregressive distributed lag bounds test for cointegration1.00053100%
3Pesaran, M Hashem and Shin, Yongcheol and Smith, Richard J (2001) Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships0.95014486%
4Goh, Soo Khoon and Sam, Chung Yan and McNown, Robert (2017) Re-examining foreign direct investment, exports, and economic growth in asian economies using a bootstrap ardl test for cointegr…0.64422100%
5Banerjee, Anindya and Dolado, Juan J and Galbraith, John W and Hendr… (1993) Co-integration, error correction, and the econometric analysis of non-stationary data0.40511100%
6Davidson, James EH and Hendry, David F and Srba, Frank and Yeo, Step… (1978) Econometric modelling of the aggregate time-series relationship between consumers' expenditure and income in the united kingdom0.40511100%
7Davidson, Russell and MacKinnon, James G (2005) The case against jive0.40511100%
8Engle, Robert F and Granger, Clive WJ (1987) Co-integration and error correction: representation, estimation, and testing0.40511100%
9Granger, Clive WJ (1981) Some properties of time series data and their use in econometric model specification0.40511100%
10Johansen, Sren and Juselius, Katarina (1990) Maximum likelihood estimation and inference on cointegration—with applications to the demand for money0.40511100%

Showing the top 10 of 19 scored citations.