arXiv 6 Mar 2022 · Econometrics · publishedDecisions in Economics and Finance (2023) · 3 citations (OpenAlex)
arXiv:2203.03040 · PDF · DOI · OpenAlex · Extracted main text
`All models are wrong but some are useful' (George Box 1979). But, how to find those useful ones starting from an imperfect model? How to make informed data-driven decisions equipped with an imperfect model? These fundamental questions appear to be pervasive in virtually all empirical fields -- including economics, finance, marketing, healthcare, climate change, defense planning, and operations research. This article presents a modern approach (builds on two core ideas: abductive thinking and density-sharpening principle) and practical guidelines to tackle these issues in a systematic manner.
appendix boundary found by appendix_command · 79% of the source is main text. Read the extracted text to check this.
The works this paper leans on most, across its whole bibliography — not restricted to papers in our corpus. Ranked by composite intensity, which combines how often a work is mentioned, how many sections mention it, and how much of that falls in the main text rather than the appendix.
| Reference | Intensity | Mentions | Sections | Main text | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| box1980sampling | unmatched citation key box1980sampling | 0.511 | 2 | 2 | 50% |
| D21discrete | unmatched citation key D21discrete | 0.511 | 2 | 1 | 100% |
| D21peirce | unmatched citation key D21peirce | 0.511 | 2 | 1 | 100% |
| Deep17LPMode | unmatched citation key Deep17LPMode | 0.511 | 2 | 1 | 100% |
| efron2016computer | unmatched citation key efron2016computer | 0.511 | 2 | 1 | 100% |
| D20copula | unmatched citation key D20copula | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| box1979robustness | unmatched citation key box1979robustness | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| box2001dis | unmatched citation key box2001dis | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| breiman96bagging | unmatched citation key breiman96bagging | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| coletti2002book | unmatched citation key coletti2002book | 0.405 | 1 | 1 | 100% |
Showing the top 10 of 50 scored citations. 10 of these could not be matched to a bibliography entry, so only the citation key is shown.